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What sample size is needed to give the desired margin of error in estimating a population mean with the indicated level of confidence? A margin of error within ±1 with \(99 \%\) confidence, assuming a sample from a similar population had \(s=3.4\)

Short Answer

Expert verified
The required sample size to estimate a population mean within ±1 with 99% confidence when the standard deviation of the sample from a similar population is 3.4 is 62.

Step by step solution

01

Determine the Z-Score

First, we need to find the Z value from the Z score table corresponding to the given confidence level which is 99%. The confidence level excludes both tails (alpha level) of the normal distribution. For a 99% confidence level, there is 1% remaining that will be equally split to both tails i.e. 0.5% in each tail. Considering this, the Z score for 0.5% in the Z score table is 2.57.
02

Determine the Standard Deviation

Next, we consider the given standard deviation of the sample from a similar population which is given as s=3.4.
03

Calculate Sample Size

After determining the Z score and standard deviation, we can use the margin of error formula to calculate the sample size. Using the formula \(n = ((z*s)/E)^2\): Substituting the values into the formula, \(n = ((2.57*3.4)/1)^2\) provides us with the sample size of approximately 61, which needs to be rounded up, as we can't have a fractional sample size. Hence, the required sample size is 62.

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Key Concepts

These are the key concepts you need to understand to accurately answer the question.

Margin of Error

Understanding the margin of error is essential when you are estimating population parameters like the mean. It specifies the range within which you expect the true population parameter to fall. For instance, a ±1 margin of error means that the real population mean is likely to be within 1 unit above or below the estimated mean. It's a way to measure the precision of an estimate. In research, a smaller margin of error indicates higher precision, and it's closely linked to sample size — the larger the sample, the smaller your margin of error can be.

Confidence Level

The confidence level refers to the probability that the true population parameter lies within the margin of error of your estimate. It's expressed as a percentage, such as 95% or 99%. A 99% confidence level suggests we can be 99% certain our margin of error encompasses the true mean. This confidence level is related to the Z-score in that it dictates which Z-score we use for calculations. The higher the confidence level, the larger the Z-score, because we need a wider interval to be more certain that it contains the population mean.

Population Mean Estimation

Estimating the population mean involves using sample data to predict the average value of a characteristic in a much larger population. The goal is to provide a point estimate and an interval estimate, which encompasses the margin of error around that point estimate at the specified confidence level. The accuracy of this estimation improves with a larger sample size and less variability within the data, assuming a well-designed sampling method and random selection.


Improvement advice for exercises requires the explicit demonstration of how changes in assumptions or parameters, such as population variability or desired confidence level, can affect the estimate of the mean.

Z-score

A Z-score is the number of standard deviations a data point is from the mean. When it comes to sample size determination for estimating population means, the Z-score represents the critical value that corresponds to the tail(s) cut-off points for your selected confidence level. In a standard normal distribution, a higher Z-score means a lower probability, which corresponds to higher confidence. For instance, a Z-score of 2.57 corresponds to the 99% confidence level, which states that only 0.5% lies beyond this point in either tail.

Standard Deviation

Standard deviation is a measure of how spread out numbers are in a dataset. In context of sampling and estimation, it represents the degree of variation or dispersion of individual data points. When you're looking to calculate sample size, you need to know the standard deviation of the population or, if that's not possible, use the standard deviation of a sample as a reasonable approximation.


Smaller standard deviation indicates that the data points tend to be closer to the mean (less spread out), which will result in a smaller required sample size for a given margin of error and confidence level.

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Most popular questions from this chapter

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