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Income East and West of the Mississippi For a random sample of households in the US, we record annual household income, whether the location is east or west of the Mississippi River, and number of children. We are interested in determining whether there is a difference in average household income between those east of the Mississippi and those west of the Mississippi. (a) Define the relevant parameter(s) and state the null and alternative hypotheses. (b) What statistic(s) from the sample would we use to estimate the difference? (b) What statistic(s) from the sample would we use to estimate the difference?

Short Answer

Expert verified
The relevant parameters are the means of household incomes east (\(\mu_1\)) and west (\(\mu_2\)) of the Mississippi. The null hypothesis states that there's no difference between the means (\(\mu_1 - \mu_2 = 0\)), while the alternative hypothesis suggests there's a difference (\(\mu_1 - \mu_2\neq 0\)). The difference in sample means (\(\bar{x}_1-\bar{x}_2\)) would be used to estimate the difference in population means.

Step by step solution

01

Define the Relevant Parameters and State the Hypotheses

The relevant parameters here are the means of the household incomes east (\(\mu_1\)) and west (\(\mu_2\)) of the Mississippi. Let's define the difference between the means as \(\delta = \mu_1 - \mu_2\). The null hypothesis (\(H_0\)): \(\delta = 0\), i.e., there is no difference in average household income between those east and west of the Mississippi. The alternative hypothesis (\(H_1\)): \(\delta\neq 0\), i.e., there is a difference in average household income between those east and west of the Mississippi.
02

Identify Statistics to Estimate the Difference

The difference in sample means (\(\bar{x}_1-\bar{x}_2\)) would be used to estimate the difference in population means. If the sample is large enough, by the Central Limit Theorem, this difference will be approximately normally distributed.

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Key Concepts

These are the key concepts you need to understand to accurately answer the question.

Null and Alternative Hypotheses
Understanding the null and alternative hypotheses is crucial in the realm of hypothesis testing. The null hypothesis, represented as \(H_0\), is a statement of no effect or no difference. It is the hypothesis that researchers typically want to reject. In the context of our exercise, the null hypothesis asserts that the average household incomes on both sides of the Mississippi River are the same, mathematically expressed as \(\delta = 0\).

The alternative hypothesis, denoted as \(H_1\), is a contrasting statement which suggests that there is an effect or a difference. For our exercise, the alternative hypothesis claims that there is a difference in average household incomes between the households east and west of the Mississippi, which is expressed as \(\delta eq 0\).

The goal of hypothesis testing is to determine which hypothesis the data supports more strongly. If the evidence against the null hypothesis is strong enough, it is rejected in favor of the alternative hypothesis.
Sample Mean Difference
The sample mean difference is a useful statistic when comparing two distinct groups. In our exercise, we compare the average incomes of households on different sides of the Mississippi River. To do this, we calculate the means of household incomes for the east \(\bar{x}_1\) and for the west \(\bar{x}_2\), and then determine the difference between these two sample means \(\bar{x}_1 - \bar{x}_2\).

This difference gives us an estimate of the population mean difference, \(\delta\), between the two groups. The sample mean difference is pivotal because it helps us infer whether the observed difference in income could be due to sampling variability or if it reflects a true difference in the populations.
Average Household Income
The term 'average household income' refers to the sum of all incomes in a household divided by the number of households. It is a common parameter for assessing the economic status of a region or group. In hypothesis testing, average household income is often the parameter of interest, especially when comparing economic disparities between different segments of the population, like in our exercise comparing regions divided by the Mississippi River.

Analysing average household income can provide insights into broader socio-economic patterns and help policymakers make informed decisions. The significance of this exercise lies in understanding if geographical location correlates with economic well-being.
Central Limit Theorem
The Central Limit Theorem (CLT) is a fundamental principle in statistics that allows us to make inferences about population parameters based on sample statistics. The theorem states that, given a sufficiently large sample size, the distribution of the sample mean will be approximately normally distributed, regardless of the population's distribution.

This underpins the validity of using the sample mean difference to estimate the population mean difference in our exercise. Because of the CLT, we can proceed with the hypothesis test assuming normality for the difference of sample means even if the original income data are not normally distributed, provided that the sample sizes are large enough. The CLT enables us to use z-scores or t-scores and associated probability tables to make conclusions from our hypothesis tests.

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Most popular questions from this chapter

In Exercises 4.112 to \(4.116,\) the null and alternative hypotheses for a test are given as well as some information about the actual sample(s) and the statistic that is computed for each randomization sample. Indicate where the randomization distribution will be centered. In addition, indicate whether the test is a left-tail test, a right-tail test, or a twotailed test. Hypotheses: \(H_{0}: \mu_{1}=\mu_{2}\) vs \(H_{a}: \mu_{1} \neq \mu_{2}\) Sample: \(\bar{x}_{1}=2.7\) and \(\bar{x}_{2}=2.1\) Randomization statistic \(=\bar{x}_{1}-\bar{x}_{2}\)

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Two p-values are given. Which one provides the strongest evidence against \(\mathrm{H}_{0} ?\) p-value \(=0.007 \quad\) or \(\quad\) p-value \(=0.13\)

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