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91Ó°ÊÓ

Two p-values are given. Which one provides the strongest evidence against \(\mathrm{H}_{0} ?\) p-value \(=0.007 \quad\) or \(\quad\) p-value \(=0.13\)

Short Answer

Expert verified
The p-value of 0.007 provides stronger evidence against the null hypothesis than a p-value of 0.13.

Step by step solution

01

Understanding P-values

The p-value is the probability of observing a statistic (or one more extreme) assuming that the null hypothesis is true. The lower the p-value, the less likely the observation occurred due to chance, implying strong evidence against the null hypothesis (H0).
02

Comparing P-values

The two p-values given are 0.007 and 0.13. Compare these two values with each other.
03

Selecting P-value

The p-value of 0.007 is smaller than 0.13. Therefore, a p-value of 0.007 provides stronger evidence against the null hypothesis.

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Key Concepts

These are the key concepts you need to understand to accurately answer the question.

Null Hypothesis
The null hypothesis, denoted as \( \mathrm{H}_0 \), is a fundamental concept in the realm of statistics and hypothesis testing. It essentially represents the default claim, or an assertion of no effect or no difference. The null hypothesis is what we attempt to disprove or reject through statistical testing.

For example, if you were looking at the effectiveness of a new drug, the null hypothesis might state that the drug has no effect on patients' recovery rates when compared to a placebo. It is a starting point, maintaining that any observed variations in data are due to chance, rather than due to the effect of the treatment or intervention being studied.

In the context of the given exercise, the goal is to assess which p-value gives stronger evidence against the null hypothesis that there is no difference or effect.
Statistical Significance
Understanding statistical significance is key to interpreting p-values and hence, to hypothesis testing. Statistical significance is used to determine if the result of an experiment is not due to random chance. It helps researchers infer whether their findings genuinely reflect a pattern in the population or are an anomaly limited to the sample tested.

A result is typically considered statistically significant if the p-value is below a predetermined threshold, known as the alpha level (commonly set at 0.05). When a p-value falls below this level, it suggests that the findings are unlikely to have occurred by chance alone, leading to the rejection of the null hypothesis.

In simpler terms, a low p-value, such as 0.007, indicates strong evidence against the null hypothesis – suggesting that the observed data are improbable under the assumption that the null is true. This brings into question the validity of the null hypothesis and indicates that the alternative hypothesis may be true. This is what makes the smaller p-value in the exercise (0.007) more compelling than the larger p-value (0.13), when trying to disprove the null hypothesis.
Hypothesis Testing
Hypothesis testing is a methodical process used in statistics to decide whether to reject the null hypothesis. The procedure begins with researchers stating both a null hypothesis \( \mathrm{H}_0 \) and an alternative hypothesis \( \mathrm{H}_1 \). Then an appropriate test statistic is calculated using sample data, after which the p-value is determined.

The p-value provides a measure of the strength of the evidence against the null hypothesis. It is the probability that the observed data (or something more extreme) would occur if the null hypothesis were true. A very low p-value suggests that such a result would be highly unlikely if \( \mathrm{H}_0 \) were true, thus pointing to a rejection of \( \mathrm{H}_0 \) in favor of \( \mathrm{H}_1 \).

Returning to the provided exercise, by comparing the p-values, we recognize that a p-value of 0.007 is considerably lower than 0.13, thus offering much stronger evidence in support of the alternative hypothesis. This small p-value challenges the validity of the null hypothesis, indicating that the observed results are statistically significant and not likely to have occurred by random chance.

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Most popular questions from this chapter

Indicate whether the analysis involves a statistical test. If it does involve a statistical test, state the population parameter(s) of interest and the null and alternative hypotheses. Testing 50 people in a driving simulator to find the average reaction time to hit the brakes when an object is seen in the view ahead.

Euchre One of the authors and some statistician friends have an ongoing series of Euchre games that will stop when one of the two teams is deemed to be statistically significantly better than the other team. Euchre is a card game and each game results in a win for one team and a loss for the other. Only two teams are competing in this series, which we'll call Team A and Team B. (a) Define the parameter(s) of interest. (b) What are the null and alternative hypotheses if the goal is to determine if either team is statistically significantly better than the other at winning Euchre? (c) What sample statistic(s) would they need to measure as the games go on? (d) Could the winner be determined after one or two games? Why or why not?

Print vs E-books Suppose you want to find out if reading speed is any different between a print book and an e-book. (a) Clearly describe how you might set up an experiment to test this. Give details. (b) Why is a hypothesis test valuable here? What additional information does a hypothesis test give us beyond the descriptive statistics we discussed in Chapter \(2 ?\) (c) Why is a confidence interval valuable here? What additional information does a confidence interval give us beyond the descriptive statistics of Chapter 2 and the results of a hypothesis test described in part (b)? (d) A similar study" has been conducted and reports that "the difference between Kindle and the book was significant at the \(p<.01\) level, and the difference between the iPad and the book was marginally significant at \(p=.06\)." The report also stated that "the iPad measured at \(6.2 \%\) slower reading speed than the printed book, whereas the Kindle measured at \(10.7 \%\) slower than print. However, the difference between the two devices [iPad and Kindle] was not statistically significant because of the data's fairly high variability." Can you tell from the first quotation which method of reading (print or e-book) was faster in the sample or do you need the second quotation for that? Explain the results in your own words.

In Exercises 4.150 to \(4.152,\) a confidence interval for a sample is given, followed by several hypotheses to test using that sample. In each case, use the confidence interval to give a conclusion of the test (if possible) and also state the significance level you are using. A \(95 \%\) confidence interval for \(p: 0.48\) to 0.57 (a) \(H_{0}: p=0.5\) vs \(H_{a}: p \neq 0.5\) (b) \(H_{0}: p=0.75\) vs \(H_{a}: p \neq 0.75\) (c) \(H_{0}: p=0.4\) vs \(H_{a}: p \neq 0.4\)

Do iPads Help Kindergartners Learn: A Series of Tests Exercise 4.163 introduces a study in which half of the kindergarten classes in a school district are randomly assigned to receive iPads. We learn that the results are significant at the \(5 \%\) level (the mean for the iPad group is significantly higher than for the control group) for the results on the HRSIW subtest. In fact, the HRSIW subtest was one of 10 subtests and the results were not significant for the other 9 tests. Explain, using the problem of multiple tests, why we might want to hesitate before we run out to buy iPads for all kindergartners based on the results of this study.

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