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Five students visiting the student health center for a free dental examination during National Dental Hygiene Month were asked how many months had passed since their last visit to a dentist. Their responses were as follows: \(\begin{array}{llll}6 & 17 & 11 & 22\end{array}\) 29 Assuming that these five students can be considered a random sample of all students participating in the free checkup program, construct a \(95 \%\) confidence interval for the mean number of months elapsed since the last visit to a dentist for the population of students participating in the program.

Short Answer

Expert verified
The 95% confidence interval for the mean number of months elapsed since the last visit to a dentist is: (sample mean - margin of error, sample mean + margin of error)

Step by step solution

01

Compute Sample Mean

In order to do this calculation, we first need to calculate the sample mean (also known as the arithmetic average). We add all the given values and then divide that sum by the number of values.\n The values given are 6, 17, 11, 22, and 29. The sample mean \(\overline{x}\), is therefore calculated as follows: (6+17+11+22+29) / 5
02

Calculate Sample Standard Deviation

Next, we calculate the sample standard deviation.\n We first subtract the mean from each individual data point, square the resulting values, add these, divide the sum by N-1 (where N is the sample size), and then take the square root. This gives the sample standard deviation.
03

Determine Degrees of Freedom and T-value

The degrees of freedom are equal to the sample size minus 1. In this case, they will be 5-1=4.\n Next, we have to determine the t-value corresponding to the 95% confidence level for a two-tailed test with 4 degrees of freedom. For this, we can look up the value in a t-distribution table, or use a calculator or software that can do this calculation.\n
04

Calculate Margin of Error

The margin of error is calculated as the t-value times the standard deviation divided by the square root of the sample size. This is also known as the standard error.
05

Calculate the Confidence Interval

Finally, we compute the lower and upper limit of the confidence interval by subtracting and adding the margin of error from/to the sample mean, respectively.

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Key Concepts

These are the key concepts you need to understand to accurately answer the question.

Sample Mean Calculation
Understanding the sample mean is essential when dealing with statistics, as it represents the average of a set of observations. It is the sum of all the recorded outcomes divided by the number of observations. In our exercise, the observations are the months elapsed since the last dental visit from a sample of five students, with values of 6, 17, 11, 22, and 29 months.

To calculate the sample mean, \( \overline{x} \), we use the formula:
\[ \overline{x} = \frac{\sum{x}}{n} \]
where \( \sum{x} \) denotes the sum of all observations, and \( n \) is the number of observations. So, for our sample:
\[ \overline{x} = \frac{6 + 17 + 11 + 22 + 29}{5} \]
This yields a sample mean that will serve as a point estimate for the population mean — a critical starting point for confidence interval construction.
Sample Standard Deviation
The sample standard deviation measures the dispersion of data points from their mean. It indicates how spread out the observations are in a sample. For accurate estimation, we subtract the sample mean from each data point, square the result to remove negative values, and summarize these squared differences. Then we divide by the number of observations minus one, which gives us what is known as the 'degrees of freedom'. Taking the square root of that result gives us the sample standard deviation (usually denoted as \( s \)).

The formula for the sample standard deviation is:
\[ s = \sqrt{\frac{\sum{(x - \overline{x})^2}}{n - 1}} \]
This calculation is essential when constructing confidence intervals because it factors into determining the margin of error and thus the width of the interval.
Degrees of Freedom
In statistics, the concept of degrees of freedom refers to the number of values that are free to vary when we are estimating statistical parameters. For example, when calculating the sample standard deviation, we have one less degree of freedom than the number of observations because we use the sample mean in our variance calculation. This is why the formula mentioned earlier divides by \( n - 1 \) rather than \( n \).

In the context of a t-distribution, which is often used to estimate population parameters when the sample size is small, the degrees of freedom determine the exact shape of the t-distribution that one should use. In the given exercise, the degrees of freedom would be \( 5 - 1 = 4 \), since there were five students surveyed, and we have used up one degree of freedom by calculating the sample mean.
T-Distribution
When dealing with small sample sizes, as is the case with our dental examination example, we often turn to the t-distribution to make inferences about the population. The t-distribution is similar to the normal distribution but has heavier tails, meaning there's a greater possibility for extreme values. This makes it appropriate for estimating population parameters when we're unsure about the population's standard deviation and when the sample size is less than 30.

The t-distribution becomes more like the normal distribution as the degrees of freedom increase. For our five-student sample, with 4 degrees of freedom, we would consult a t-distribution table to find the t-value corresponding to our desired confidence level of 95%. This t-value is a critical component in calculating the confidence interval, as it helps determine how far our sample mean could potentially deviate from the actual population mean.

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Most popular questions from this chapter

In a study of academic procrastination, the authors of the paper "Correlates and Consequences of Behavioral Procrastination" (Procrastination, Current Issues and New Directions [20001) reported that for a sample of 411 undergraduate students at a midsize public university preparing for a final exam in an introductory psychology course, the mean time spent studying for the exam was 7.74 hours and the standard deviation of study times was 3.40 hours. For purposes of this exercise, assume thar it is reasonable to regard this sample as represcntative of students taking introductory psychology at this university. a. Construct a \(95 \%\) confidence interval to estimate \(\mu\), the mean time spent studying for the final exam for students taking introductory psychology at this university. b. The paper also gave the following sample statistics for the percentage of study time that occurred in the 24 hours prior to the exam: \(n=411 \quad \bar{x}=43.18 \quad s=21.46\) Construct and interpret a \(90 \%\) confidence interval for the mean percentage of study time that occurs in the 24 hours prior to the exam.

USA Today (October 14, 2002) reported that \(36 \%\) of adult drivers admit that they often or sometimes talk on a cell phone when driving. This estimate was based on data from a sample of 1004 adult drivers, and a bound on the error of estimation of \(3.1 \%\) was reported. Assuming a \(95 \%\) confidence level, do you agree with the reported bound on the error? Explain.

Given a variable that has a \(t\) distribution with the specified degrees of freedom, what percentage of the time will its value fall in the indicated region? a. \(10 \mathrm{df}\), between -1.81 and 1.81 b. \(10 \mathrm{df}\), between -2.23 and 2.23 c. 24 df, between -2.06 and 2.06 d. \(24 \mathrm{df}\), between -2.80 and 2.80 e. 24 df, outside the interval from -2.80 to 2.80 f. \(24 \mathrm{df}\), to the right of 2.80 g. \(10 \mathrm{df}\), to the left of -1.81

The article "Kids Digital Day: Almost 8 Hours (USA Today. January 20,2010 ) summarized results from a national survey of 2002 Americans age 8 to 18 . The sample was selected in a way that was expected to result in a sample representative of Americans in this age group. a. Of those surveyed, 1321 reported owning a cell phone. Use this information to construct and interpret a \(90 \%\) confidence interval estimate of the proportion of all Americans age 8 to 18 who own a cell phone. b. Of those surveyed, 1522 reported owning an \(\mathrm{MP} 3\) music player, Use this information to construct and interpret a \(90 \%\) confidence interval estimate of the proportion of all Americans age 8 to 18 who own an MP3 music player. c. Explain why the confidence interval from Part (b) is narrower than the confidence interval from Part (a) cven though the confidence level and the sample size used to compute the two intervals was the same.

In the article "Fluoridation Brushed Off by Utah" (Associated Press, August 24, 1998 ), it was reported that a small but vocal minority in Utah has been successful in keeping fluoride out of Utah water supplies despite evidence that fluoridation reduces tooth decay and despite the fact that a dear majority of Utah residents favor fluoridation. To support this statement, the artide included the result of a survey of Utah residents that found \(65 \%\) to be in favor of fluoridation. Suppose that this result was based on a random sample of 150 Utah residents, Construct and interpret a \(90 \%\) confidence interval for \(p\), the true proportion of Utah residents who favor fluoridation. Is this interval consistent with the statement that fluoridation is favored by a clear majority of residents?

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