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The mean length of long-distance telephone calls placed with a particular phone company was known to be 7.3 minutes under an old rate structure. In an attempt to be more competitive with other long-distance carriers, the phone company lowered long-distance rates, thinking that its customers would be encouraged to make longer calls and thus that there would not be a big loss in revenue. Let \(\mu\) denote the mean length of long-distance calls after the rate reduction. What hypotheses should the phone company test to determine whether the mean length of long-distance calls increased with the lower rates?

Short Answer

Expert verified
The company should set up the following hypotheses: Null hypothesis \(H_0 : \mu = 7.3\) minutes and alternate hypothesis \(H_1 : \mu > 7.3\) minutes.

Step by step solution

01

Statement of the Null Hypothesis

The null hypothesis (\(H_0\)) is a theory which states that there is no statistical relationship and significance that exists in the set of observed data. Here, it would mean believing that the change in rate structure did not affect the mean time of calls. This can be mathematically represented as \(H_0 : \mu = 7.3\) minutes.
02

Statement of the Alternate Hypothesis

The alternate hypothesis (\(H_1\)) is one which the researcher seeks to prove. In our case, it would be that the mean length of calls increased post the rate reduction. This can be mathematically represented as \(H_1 : \mu > 7.3\) minutes.
03

Explanation

Hence, the company should test the null hypothesis (\(H_0 : \mu = 7.3\)) against the alternate hypothesis (\(H_1 : \mu > 7.3\)). If there is evidence to reject the null hypothesis in favour of the alternate, it would indicate that the average length of calls increased after the rate reduction.

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Key Concepts

These are the key concepts you need to understand to accurately answer the question.

Null Hypothesis
The null hypothesis is a keystone of hypothesis testing in statistics. It represents a default position that there is no change, no difference, or no effect detected in an experiment or observation. It is essentially a statement of skepticism, reflecting a standpoint that any observed variation is due to chance until proven otherwise.

For example, a phone company might hypothesize that the mean length of long-distance calls has not changed after introducing lower rates. The null hypothesis, often symbolized as \(H_0\), would be expressed as \(H_0 : \mu = 7.3\) minutes, signifying that the mean call duration remains at 7.3 minutes, the same as under the old rate structure.
Alternative Hypothesis
Contrasting the null hypothesis is the alternative hypothesis, denoted as \(H_1\) or \(H_a\). This hypothesis represents what a researcher wants to prove — in our case, it suggests a real effect or change due to the experiment or observation. The alternative hypothesis is formulated based on research questions or theories predicting an effect or relationship.

In the phone company scenario, they would postulate that the mean length of the long-distance calls has increased with lower rates. Mathematically, this would be indicated as \(H_1 : \mu > 7.3\) minutes. If evidence leans towards the alternative hypothesis, it could signal a successful strategy for the company.
Statistical Significance
Statistical significance is a term used to denote that the results of an analysis provide sufficient evidence to conclude that an observed effect is unlikely to have occurred just by chance. This is typically assessed by a p-value in traditional hypothesis testing, with a common threshold being 0.05 or 5%. If the p-value is less than this cut-off, the results are considered statistically significant, meaning there is enough evidence to reject the null hypothesis in favor of the alternative hypothesis.

For the phone company, establishing whether the change in mean call length is statistically significant would be crucial. If statistical tests return a p-value lower than 0.05, the company can be more confident that their pricing strategy has indeed influenced customer behavior regarding call duration.
Mean Length of Calls
The mean length of calls is an average time measurement of phone calls made over a given period. It is a central tendency metric commonly used in the telecommunications industry to gauge usage patterns. An accurate calculation of the mean can provide insights into customer behavior and inform business strategies, such as pricing.

In conducting hypothesis testing, the phone company is evaluating whether the mean length of long-distance calls has been affected by the introduction of lower rates. This metric would not only impact the company's understanding of consumer behavior but also has implications for revenue forecasts and the overall effectiveness of the rate adjustment.

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Most popular questions from this chapter

Let \(\mu\) denote the true average lifetime (in hours) for a certain type of battery under controlled laboratory conditions. A test of \(H_{0}: \mu=10\) versus \(H_{a}\) : \(\mu<10\) will be based on a sample of size \(36 .\) Suppose that \(\sigma\) is known to be 0.6 , from which \(\sigma_{\bar{x}}=.1\). The appropriate test statistic is then $$ z=\frac{\bar{x}-10}{0.1} $$ a. What is \(\alpha\) for the test procedure that rejects \(H_{0}\) if \(z \leq-1.28 ?\) b. If the test procedure of Part (a) is used, calculate \(\beta\) when \(\mu=9.8\), and interpret this error probability. c. Without doing any calculation, explain how \(\beta\) when \(\mu=9.5\) compares to \(\beta\) when \(\mu=9.8\). Then check your assertion by computing \(\beta\) when \(\mu=9.5\). d. What is the power of the test when \(\mu=9.8\) ? when \(\mu=9.5 ?\)

Do state laws that allow private citizens to carry concealed weapons result in a reduced crime rate? The author of a study carried out by the Brookings Institution is reported as saying, "The strongest thing I could say is that I don't see any strong evidence that they are reducing crime" (San Luis Obispo Tribune, January 23 . 2003 ). a. Is this conclusion consistent with testing \(H_{0}:\) concealed weapons laws reduce crime versus \(H_{a}:\) concealed weapons laws do not reduce crime or with testing \(H_{0}:\) concealed weapons laws do not reduce crime versus \(H_{a}\) : concealed weapons laws reduce crime Explain. b. Does the stated conclusion indicate that the null hypothesis was rejected or not rejected? Explain.

Explain why the statement \(\bar{x}=50\) is not a legitimate hypothesis.

"Most Like it Hot" is the title of a press release issued by the Pew Research Center (March 18, 2009 , www.pewsocialtrends.org). The press release states that "by an overwhelming margin, Americans want to live in a sunny place." This statement is based on data from a nationally representative sample of 2260 adult Americans. Of those surveyed, 1288 indicated that they would prefer to live in a hot climate rather than a cold climate. Do the sample data provide convincing evidence that a majority of all adult Americans prefer a hot climate over a cold climate? Use the nine-step hypothesis testing process with \(\alpha=.01\) to answer this question.

The paper "Playing Active Video Games Increases Energy Expenditure in Children" (Pediatrics [2009]: \(534-539\) ) describes an interesting investigation of the possible cardiovascular benefits of active video games. Mean heart rate for healthy boys age 10 to 13 after walking on a treadmill at \(2.6 \mathrm{~km} /\) hour for 6 minutes is 98 beats per minute (bpm). For each of 14 boys, heart rate was measured after 15 minutes of playing Wii Bowling. The resulting sample mean and standard deviation were 101 bpm and 15 bpm, respectively. For purposes of this exercise, assume that it is reasonable to regard the sample of boys as representative of boys age 10 to 13 and that the distribution of heart rates after 15 minutes of Wii Bowling is approximately normal. a. Does the sample provide convincing evidence that the mean heart rate after 15 minutes of Wii Bowling is different from the known mean heart rate after 6 minutes walking on the treadmill? Carry out a hypothesis test using \(\alpha=.01\). b. The known resting mean heart rate for boys in this age group is \(66 \mathrm{bpm}\). Is there convincing evidence that the mean heart rate after Wii Bowling for 15 minutes is higher than the known mean resting heart rate for boys of this age? Use \(\alpha=.01\). c. Based on the outcomes of the tests in Parts (a) and (b), write a paragraph comparing the benefits of treadmill walking and Wii Bowling in terms of raising heart rate over the resting heart rate.

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