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In a small city, approximately \(15 \%\) of those eligible are called for jury duty in any one calendar year. People are selected for jury duty at random from those eligible, and the same individual cannot be called more than once in the same year. What is the probability that an eligible person in this city is selected 2 years in a row? 3 years in a row?

Short Answer

Expert verified
The probability that an eligible person in this city is selected 2 years in a row is \( 2.25 \% \), while for three years in a row it is \( 0.3375 \% \).

Step by step solution

01

Understand Independent Events

The selection of an eligible individual is made independently each year. The selection in any given year does not influence the selection in subsequent years. Hence, these are independent events.
02

Calculate the Probability for two consecutive years

Given that the probability of an eligible person being selected in a year is \( 15 \% \) or \( 0.15 \), the probability of an individual being selected two years in a row, due to the independence of the events, is given by the product of individual probabilities. So, it is \( 0.15 \times 0.15 = 0.0225 \) or \( 2.25 \% \).
03

Calculate the Probability for three consecutive years

Similar to step 2, the probability of being selected three years in a row is \( 0.15 \times 0.15 \times 0.15 = 0.003375 \) or \( 0.3375 \% \) .

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