/*! This file is auto-generated */ .wp-block-button__link{color:#fff;background-color:#32373c;border-radius:9999px;box-shadow:none;text-decoration:none;padding:calc(.667em + 2px) calc(1.333em + 2px);font-size:1.125em}.wp-block-file__button{background:#32373c;color:#fff;text-decoration:none} Problem 30 The paper "Postmortem Changes in... [FREE SOLUTION] | 91Ó°ÊÓ

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The paper "Postmortem Changes in Strength of Gastropod Shells" (Paleobiology [1992]: 367-377) included scatterplots of data on \(x=\) shell height (in centimeters) and \(y=\) breaking strength (in newtons) for a sample of \(n=38\) hermit crab shells. The least-squares line was \(\hat{y}=-275.1+244.9 x .\) a. What are the slope and the intercept of this line? b. When shell height increases by \(1 \mathrm{~cm}\), by how much does breaking strength tend to change? c. What breaking strength would you predict when shell height is \(2 \mathrm{~cm}\) ? d. Does this approximate linear relationship appear to hold for shell heights as small as \(1 \mathrm{~cm} ?\) Explain.

Short Answer

Expert verified
The slope and intercept of the given line are 244.9 and -275.1 respectively. For each centimeter increase in shell height, the breaking strength increases by approximately 244.9 newtons. The predicted breaking strength for shell height of 2 cm is 214.7 newtons. It's not possible to definitively say whether the linear relationship holds for shell heights as small as 1 cm without inspecting the residuals, even though it could be reasonably assumed based on the given linear model.

Step by step solution

01

Identify the slope and the intercept

The equation of the least-squares line is given as \(\hat{y}=-275.1+244.9 x\). In this equation, the slope is represented by 244.9 and the intercept by -275.1.
02

Change in breaking strength per unit increase in shell height

The slope (244.9) of the linear regression line indicates the change in breaking strength for each centimeter increase in shell height. This means when shell height increases by 1 cm, the breaking strength increases by approximately 244.9 newtons, keeping all other factors constant.
03

Predict breaking strength for shell height of 2 cm

To predict the breaking strength when the shell height is 2 cm, substitute \(x = 2\) in the equation \(\hat{y}=-275.1+244.9 x\). Doing so yields \(\hat{y}=-275.1+244.9*2 = 214.7\). Hence, the breaking strength is predicted to be approximately 214.7 newtons, when shell height is 2 cm.
04

Evaluate applicability of linear relationship for small shell heights

Whether or not the relationship holds for shell heights as small as 1 cm can be determined by examining the residuals, which was not provided within the problem. Without this information, it is impossible to tell definitively. However, given the linearity of the model, it could be reasonable to assume there would be some applicability at lower heights, although certain physical constraints could limit this.

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Key Concepts

These are the key concepts you need to understand to accurately answer the question.

Least Squares Line
Imagine you're trying to find the best fitting line through a cloud of data points on a graph. The least squares line is the hero in this scenario, scientifically finding the straight line that minimizes the sum of the squares of the vertical distances (residuals) of the points from the line. It’s like trying to keep a tight rope evenly stretched amongst a series of points. In our exercise, where shell height and breaking strength of hermit crab shells are analyzed, the least squares line equation is \(\hat{y}=-275.1+244.9 x\). This equation represents the summarized relationship between the independent variable, shell height (x), and the dependent variable, breaking strength (y). Through this simple yet powerful equation, a vast amount of data can be condensed into a predictive tool.

What makes the least squares method favored among statisticians and researchers is its reliance on actual data to form the best possible predictions for future outcomes, all while being relatively resilient to the effects of outliers or abnormal data points.
Slope and Intercept
The slope and intercept are key characteristics of any straight line. In our least squares line equation, the slope is the number sitting right next to the independent variable (x), in this case, 244.9. Why should we care about the slope? Well, it tells us how much the dependent variable (breaking strength, y) is expected to increase when the independent variable (shell height) increases by one unit. Here, for every 1 cm increase in shell height, the breaking strength is anticipated to increase by 244.9 newtons.

On the other side, we have the intercept, which is the \(y\)-value when \(x\)=0, represented in our equation by -275.1. It provides a starting point for our line on the graph. It's what the breaking strength would be if, theoretically, the shell height were 0 cm, which in practical terms often doesn't make sense but calculates important for the line's position on the graph.
Statistical Prediction
Statistical prediction is all about making informed guesses about unknown values based on the data at hand, akin to forecasting the weather but with numbers. With our least squares line, we can forecast the breaking strength (y) of a shell given its height (x). For instance, if a hermit crab shell is 2 cm tall, we plug that value into our equation to foresee the breaking strength. Here, you'd calculate \(\hat{y}=-275.1+244.9*2\) to predict a breaking strength of 214.7 newtons. These predictions are quintessential for researchers and industry professionals who rely on statistical models to make decisions or understand phenomena. However, it's crucial to remember that predictions are educated estimates, not certainties, and their accuracy depends on how well the model represents the actual data.
Scatterplot Data Analysis
When we visualize data with a scatterplot, like the one used for our hermit crab shells, we're able to see the relationship between two variables at a glance. Each dot represents a data point, and by plotting many points, patterns begin to emerge. Can you spot the trend? Is it going up, down, or staying flat? This visual inspection is the first step in our analysis.

Next, by drawing the least squares line, we quantify this relationship and use it for further analysis, like detecting outliers or making predictions. The scatterplot and least squares line together form a dynamic duo for statistical analysis, succinctly conveying both the data's story and the underlying trends at play. In this way, scatterplot data analysis is not just about putting dots on a graph; it's about finding the narrative hidden within the numbers.

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Most popular questions from this chapter

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