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The article "I'd Like to Buy a Vowel, Drivers Say" (USA Today, August 7, 2001) speculates that young people prefer automobile names that consist of just numbers and/or letters that do not form a word (such as Hyundai's XG300, Mazda's 626 , and BMW's 325i). The article goes on to state that Hyundai had planned to identify the car now marketed as the XG300 with the name Concerto, until they determined that consumers hated it and that they thought XG300 sounded more "technical" and deserving of a higher price. Do the students at your school feel the same way? Describe how you would go about selecting a sample to answer this question.

Short Answer

Expert verified
In essence, to answer the question, carefully define your population, choose optimal sampling method and sample size, design an unbiased survey and collect the data. Once responses are collected, validate and analyze the data to obtain the needed insights.

Step by step solution

01

Define Population

The first step is to define the population under study. In this case, the population is all the students at your school.
02

Choose Sampling Method

Decide which method of sampling will be most effective. Random sampling will provide the most unbiased results. Allocate a number to each student in the school (perhaps using school registers or a list of students) and randomly generate numbers to select the sample. Other methods could include stratified sampling (where different groups are purposively selected for representation, like grade or majors), or cluster sampling (randomly selecting certain classes or groups within the school).
03

Decide Sample Size

Choose a sample size that will adequately represent the population. If the school is small, for a more accurate result one might decide to survey all the students. If it's large, it might be practical to select a smaller but representative sample. The required sample size will also depend on desired accuracy and forecasting sensitivity.
04

Conduct the Survey

With the sample selected, the next step is to design the survey to gauge students' preferences regarding car names. Include a mix of open and closed-ended questions, make sure your questions are clear and unbiased, and request participants to choose between different types of car names.
05

Validate and Analyze

Once the data has been collected, validate the responses, check for any inconsistencies, clean and organize the data. Then, conduct detailed analyses to gain insights into students' preferences.

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Key Concepts

These are the key concepts you need to understand to accurately answer the question.

Random Sampling
Random sampling is a fundamental concept in statistical analysis that aims to give each member of a population an equal chance of being selected. Imagine you need to understand the preferences of students at your school regarding car names. Employing random sampling, you might allocate a unique number to each student in the school directory and use a random number generator to pick out the sample. This method ensures that your sample is unbiased and that the results can be generalized to the entire population.

An example of this might be drawing numbers from a hat or using a computer program. When you get a truly random sample, you could infer the population's preference accurately. It's crucial in survey design to avoid selection bias, which can skew your results and provide a false picture of the population's characteristics or opinions.
Stratified Sampling
Stratified sampling is another sophisticated method that helps in achieving a representative sample, especially when the population is not homogeneous. To create a stratified sample, you divide the population into distinct subgroups or strata. These strata could be based on variables like age, grade, or major. Then, you sample each stratum separately, often proportionally to its size in the population.

This method ensures that each subgroup is adequately represented in the sample, which is particularly useful when you suspect that preferences might vary significantly across different groups. By ensuring representation from each stratum, the results will accurately reflect the entire population. For example, suppose we want to understand if preferences for car names change between different grades. In that case, we could stratify our student population by grade levels and then randomly sample from each stratum.
Sample Size Determination
Determining the sample size is crucial in survey design, as it impacts the accuracy and reliability of your results. The size of the sample needs to be large enough to represent the population adequately but also manageable in terms of resources and effort. In our car names survey, we have to consider the total number of students and how precise we need our results to be.

A larger sample reduces the margin of error and provides more confidence in the study's findings. Statisticians rely on formulas and predefined confidence levels to calculate the necessary sample size. It's a balance: too small a sample could lead to inaccurate results, whereas too large could be unnecessarily costly or time-consuming. Ideally, we would opt for a sample size that gives us a reliable snapshot of student preferences without overwhelming our analysis capabilities.
Survey Design
Careful survey design is pivotal when gathering data. For our study on car names preferences, we need to ensure the survey includes both open and closed-ended questions, which can provide a mix of quantitative and qualitative data. Open-ended questions allow students to express their opinions in their own words, while closed-ended questions can give us specific preferences and make analysis straightforward.

Every question should be clear, unbiased, and designed to avoid leading the respondent to a particular answer. The questions should also be sequenced logically, starting from general ones and proceeding to more specific. Additionally, the survey should not be too long to avoid respondent fatigue, which could result in incomplete responses or non-responses. The goal is to collect high-quality data that allows us to accurately gauge the students' true preferences regarding car name types.

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Most popular questions from this chapter

Based on a survey of 4113 U.S. adults, researchers at Stanford University concluded that Internet use leads to increased social isolation. The survey was conducted by an Internet-based polling company that selected its samples from a pool of 35,000 potential respondents, all of whom had been given free Internet access and WebTV hardware in exchange for agreeing to regularly participate in surveys conducted by the polling company. Two criticisms of this study were expressed in an article that appeared in the San Luis Obispo Tribune (February 28,2000 ). The first criticism was that increased social isolation was measured by asking respondents if they were talking less to family and friends on the phone. The second criticism was that the sample was selected only from a group that was induced to participate by the offer of free Internet service, yet the results were generalized to all U.S. adults. For each criticism, indicate what type of bias is being described and why it might make you question the conclusion drawn by the researchers.

A manufacturer of clay roofing tiles would like to investigate the effect of clay type on the proportion of tiles that crack in the kiln during firing. Two different types of clay are to be considered. One hundred tiles can be placed in the kiln at any one time. Firing temperature varies slightly at different locations in the kiln, and firing temperature may also affect cracking. Discuss the design of an experiment to collect information that could be used to decide between the two clay types. How does your proposed design deal with the extraneous factor temperature?

A study of more than 50,000 U.S. nurses found that those who drank just one soda or fruit punch a day tended to gain much more weight and had an \(80 \%\) increased risk in developing diabetes compared to those who drank less than one a month. (The Washington Post, August 25 , 2004). "The message is clear.... Anyone who cares about their health or the health of their family would not consume these beverages" said Walter Willett of the Harvard School of Public Health who helped conduct the study. The sugar and beverage industries said that the study was fundamentally flawed. "These allegations are inflammatory. Women who drink a lot of soda may simply have generally unhealthy lifestyles" said Richard Adamson of the American Beverage Association. a. Do you think that the study described was an observational study or an experiment? b. Is it reasonable to conclude that drinking soda or fruit punch causes the observed increased risk of diabetes? Why or why not?

An article from the Associated Press (May 14, 2002) led with the headline "Academic Success Lowers Pregnancy Risk." The article described an evaluation of a program that involved about 350 students at 18 Seattle schools in high crime areas. Some students took part in a program beginning in elementary school in which teachers showed children how to control their impulses, recognize the feelings of others, and get what they want without aggressive behavior. Others did not participate in the program. The study concluded that the program was effective because by the time young women in the program reached age 21 , the pregnancy rate among them was \(38 \%\), compared to \(56 \%\) for the women in the experiment who did not take part in the program. Explain why this conclusion is valid only if the women in the experiment were randomly assigned to one of the two experimental groups.

A pollster for the Public Policy Institute of California explains how the Institute selects a sample of California adults ("It's About Quality, Not Quantity," San Luis Obispo Tribune, January 21,2000 ): That is done by using computer-generated random residential telephone numbers with all California prefixes, and when there are no answers, calling back repeatedly to the original numbers selected to avoid a bias against hard-to- reach people. Once a call is completed, a second random selection is made by asking for the adult in the household who had the most recent birthday. It is as important to randomize who you speak to in the household as it is to randomize the household you select. If you didn't, you'd primarily get women and older people. Comment on this approach to selecting a sample. How does the sampling procedure attempt to minimize certain types of bias? Are there sources of bias that may still be a concern?

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