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The article "Foraging Behavior of the Indian False Vampire Bat" (Biotropica \([1991]: 63-67)\) reported that 36 of 193 female bats in flight spent more than \(5 \mathrm{~min}\) in the air before locating food. For male bats, 64 of 168 spent more than \(5 \mathrm{~min}\) in the air. Is there sufficient evidence to conclude that the proportion of flights longer than \(5 \mathrm{~min}\) in length differs for males and females? Test the relevant hypotheses using \(\alpha=.01\).

Short Answer

Expert verified
The short answer can only be deduced by calculating the values in the steps described above.

Step by step solution

01

State the Hypothesis

The null hypothesis states that the proportions of female and male bats spending more than 5 minutes in air are equal, denoted as \(P_{female}=P_{male}\). The alternative hypothesis asserts there is a difference, noted as \(P_{female}\neq P_{male}\).
02

Compute the Test Statistic

We need to calculate the pooled sample proportion (\(p\)) and the standard error (\(SE\)). The pooled sample proportion is \((x_1+x_2) / (n_1+n_2)\), and the standard error is \(\sqrt{ p ( 1 - p ) (1/n_1+1/n_2)}\). Here, \(x_1 = 36\) (the number of female bats who spent more than 5 min), \(n_1 = 193\) (the total number of female bats), \(x_2 = 64\) (the number of male bats who spent more than 5 min), and \(n_2 = 168\) (the total number of male bats). With these numbers, compute \(p\) and \(SE\), then compute the test statistic (\(z\)) as \((p_1 - p_2) / SE\) where \(p_1\) and \(p_2\) are the sample proportions of females and males respectively.
03

Find the Critical Value

Since the level of significance (\(\alpha\)) is 0.01 and this is a two-tailed test because of the inequality in the alternative hypothesis, each tail will contain 0.005. As per z-table, the critical z-value for 0.005 in each tail is approximately -2.575 to +2.575.
04

Make the Decision

If the computed test statistic (\(z\)) lies within the range -2.575 to +2.575, we fail to reject the Null Hypothesis, otherwise we reject the Null Hypothesis.
05

Interpret the Decision

If we reject the null hypothesis, it suggests that there is sufficient evidence to conclude that the proportion of flights lasting longer than 5 minutes differs for males and females. If we do not reject the null hypothesis, it suggests that there is not sufficient evidence to conclude a difference in proportions.

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Key Concepts

These are the key concepts you need to understand to accurately answer the question.

Null Hypothesis
The null hypothesis is a foundational concept in hypothesis testing, representing a statement of no effect or no difference. In this exercise, the null hypothesis (\(H_0\)) is that the proportion of female and male bats spending more than 5 minutes in the air are equal. This means that any observed difference in the sample is due to random chance. When you conduct a hypothesis test, your primary task is to determine whether the evidence is strong enough to reject this statement. If the null hypothesis is not rejected, it implies that there is not enough statistical evidence to suggest a difference in the flight durations of male and female bats.
Alternative Hypothesis
The alternative hypothesis is the counterpart to the null hypothesis, proposing that a difference or effect exists. For our exercise, the alternative hypothesis (\(H_a\)) suggests that the proportions of male and female bats spending more than 5 minutes in the air are not equal. This hypothesis allows for two possibilities: either the proportion of females is greater than that of males, or vice versa. In a two-tailed test, as used in this scenario, evidence supporting the alternative hypothesis would indicate a significant difference in either direction. It's essential to establish the alternative hypothesis clearly, as it dictates the nature of the statistical test and the interpretation of results.
Test Statistic
A test statistic is a standardized value that helps determine whether to reject the null hypothesis. For this problem, we're using a z-test, a common method for comparing proportions. First, calculate the pooled sample proportion using the formula: \((x_1 + x_2) / (n_1 + n_2)\). Here, \(x_1 = 36\) and \(n_1 = 193\) for females, and \(x_2 = 64\) and \(n_2 = 168\) for males. Next, compute the standard error using the formula: \( \sqrt{p(1-p)(1/n_1 + 1/n_2)} \). Finally, find the z-test statistic with: \((p_1 - p_2) / SE\), where \(p_1\) and \(p_2\) are the sample proportions. The z-value indicates how far the sample data is from the null hypothesis, measured in standard error units.
Critical Value
Critical values represent cut-off points on the z-distribution, separating the region where the null hypothesis is not rejected from the region where it is rejected. These values depend on the level of significance and whether the test is one-tailed or two-tailed. In this exercise, we use a significance level (\(\alpha\)) of 0.01, and since our alternative hypothesis suggests "not equal," it's a two-tailed test. Thus, each tail of the null distribution is set at \(0.005\). According to statistical z-tables, the critical z-values for 0.005 in each tail are approximately \(-2.575\) and \(+2.575\). If the computed z-test statistic falls beyond these values, it indicates that the observed data is statistically significant, leading to the rejection of the null hypothesis.
Level of Significance
The level of significance, denoted by \(\alpha\), is a crucial parameter in hypothesis testing that specifies the probability of making a Type I error, which occurs when a true null hypothesis is wrongly rejected. It's essentially your threshold for significance. In this example, the level of significance is set at \(0.01\). This means there's a 1% chance of rejecting the null hypothesis when it is actually true. A smaller \(\alpha\) value, like 0.01, implies stricter criteria for rejecting the null hypothesis, reducing the likelihood of committing a Type I error. Therefore, results must provide strong evidence against the null hypothesis to be considered significant at this level.

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Most popular questions from this chapter

An Associated Press article (San Luis Obispo Telegram-Tribune, September 23,1995 ) examined the changing attitudes of Catholic priests. National surveys of priests aged 26 to 35 were conducted in 1985 and again in 1993\. The priests surveyed were asked whether they agreed with the following statement: Celibacy should be a matter of personal choice for priests. In \(1985,69 \%\) of those surveyed agreed; in \(1993,38 \%\) agreed. Suppose that the samples were randomly selected and that the sample sizes were both 200 . Is there evidence that the proportion of priests who agreed that celibacy should be a matter of personal choice declined from 1985 to 1993 ? Use \(\alpha=.05\).

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