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Gender gap in employment? In a town, 7600 out of 8500 graduates are males. Out of 1750 graduate employees, 1620 are males. a. For these data, \(X^{2}=23.24 .\) What is its \(d f\) value, and what is its approximate sampling distribution, if \(\mathrm{H}_{0}\) is true? b. For this test, the P-value \(<0.001\). Interpret in the context of these variables. c. What decision would you make with a 0.05 significance level? Can you accept \(\mathrm{H}_{0}\) and conclude that employment is independent of gender?

Short Answer

Expert verified
a. df = 1; b. Strong evidence against independence; c. Reject \( \mathrm{H}_{0} \) at 0.05 significance level.

Step by step solution

01

Determine degrees of freedom

To determine the degrees of freedom (df) for a chi-square test in contingency tables, use the formula \( df = (r-1)(c-1) \), where \( r \) is the number of rows and \( c \) is the number of columns. Here, we have a 2x2 table (Male/Female vs. Employed/Not employed), so \( df = (2-1)(2-1) = 1 \).
02

Identify the sampling distribution

The sampling distribution used for a chi-square test with a 2x2 table is a chi-square distribution. Since \( df = 1 \), the test statistic \( X^2 = 23.24 \) follows a chi-square distribution with 1 degree of freedom.
03

Interpret the P-value

The P-value for any test provides the probability of observing data as extreme as, or more extreme than, what was observed under the null hypothesis. A P-value < 0.001 indicates that there is strong evidence against the null hypothesis (\( \mathrm{H}_{0} \)), suggesting that the variables (gender and employment status) are associated.
04

Make a decision with significance level

To make a decision using a significance level of 0.05, compare the P-value to 0.05. Since 0.001 < 0.05, reject the null hypothesis. There is significant evidence to suggest that employment is not independent of gender. Therefore, \( \mathrm{H}_{0} \) cannot be accepted.

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Key Concepts

These are the key concepts you need to understand to accurately answer the question.

Degrees of Freedom
In statistics, the concept of "degrees of freedom" (often abbreviated as df) plays an essential role in determining how many independent values or quantities are involved when calculating a statistic.

The degrees of freedom can be thought of as the number of values in the final calculation of a statistic that are free to vary. For a chi-square test, it's commonly used to determine the shape of the chi-square distribution, which is the expected distribution of the test statistic under the null hypothesis.

When you're dealing with a contingency table, such as the 2x2 table (Male/Female vs. Employed/Not employed) in this problem, you calculate degrees of freedom using the formula:
  • \( df = (r-1)(c-1) \)
  • where \( r \) is the number of rows and \( c \) is the number of columns.
Applying this formula, a 2x2 table gives \( df = (2-1)(2-1) = 1 \).

This implies that only one cell in the table is independent to vary, confirming that we have one degree of freedom. This value is crucial as it affects the critical value at which you'd decide whether to reject the null hypothesis.
P-Value Interpretation
The P-value is an integral part of hypothesis testing and helps determine the strength of the results in context to the null hypothesis (\( H_0 \)). It represents the probability of observing the calculated chi-square statistic, or one more extreme, under the assumption that the null hypothesis is true.

A P-value is essentially a measure of how unusual or extreme the observed data is, given the null hypothesis. For example, a P-value < 0.001, as mentioned in this exercise, reveals that there is less than 0.1% probability that the observed variation in data is due to random chance alone. This is incredibly low, suggesting that the pattern in the data is very unlikely to happen by coincidence if the null hypothesis were true.

To summarize:
  • A smaller P-value indicates stronger evidence against the null hypothesis.
  • It leads us to suspect that there is a significant association between the variables being tested.
In this context, the small P-value indicates a very strong statistical association between employment status and gender.
Statistical Significance
Statistical significance is a concept that helps us decide whether to accept or reject the null hypothesis, based on the data we have and the significance level we use. It determines whether the observed effects represent a real phenomenon or are just due to random variation.

In this problem, we use a 0.05 significance level, which is a common threshold in statistical tests. This means we are willing to accept a 5% chance of incorrectly rejecting a true null hypothesis (Type I error).

When the P-value is compared to the significance level:
  • If \( \text{P-value} < \text{significance level} \), reject the null hypothesis.
  • If \( \text{P-value} \geq \text{significance level} \), fail to reject the null hypothesis.
In our exercise, we see that the P-value is < 0.001, which is much smaller than 0.05.

This leads to rejecting the null hypothesis and concludes that there is significant evidence to suggest that employment status is not independent of gender. In simple terms, the observed data provides substantial evidence to claim that employment status has a relationship with gender in this particular town.

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Most popular questions from this chapter

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