/*! This file is auto-generated */ .wp-block-button__link{color:#fff;background-color:#32373c;border-radius:9999px;box-shadow:none;text-decoration:none;padding:calc(.667em + 2px) calc(1.333em + 2px);font-size:1.125em}.wp-block-file__button{background:#32373c;color:#fff;text-decoration:none} Problem 31 Breaking down Brown versus Whitm... [FREE SOLUTION] | 91Ó°ÊÓ

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Breaking down Brown versus Whitman Example 2 of this chapter discusses an exit poll taken during the 2010 California gubernatorial election. The administrators of the poll also collected demographic data, which allows for further breakdown of the 3889 voters from whom information was collected. Of the 1633 voters registered as Democrats, \(91 \%\) voted for Brown, with a margin of error of \(1.4 \%\). Of the 1206 voters registered as Republicans, \(10 \%\) voted for Brown, with a margin of error of \(1.7 \%\). And of the 1050 Independent voters, \(42 \%\) voted for Brown, with a margin of error of \(3.0 \%\). a. Do these results summarize sample data or population data? b. Identify a descriptive aspect of the results. c. Identify an inferential aspect of the results.

Short Answer

Expert verified
a. Sample data; b. Voter percentage for Brown by affiliation; c. Margin of error.

Step by step solution

01

Understand the Context

The question refers to an exit poll conducted during the 2010 California gubernatorial election, focusing on voting patterns of different political affiliations with margin errors.
02

Recognize Sample vs. Population Data

Sample data refers to information collected from a subset of a population, while population data includes every member of the population. In this case, the poll results represent sample data because they are derived from a subset (3889 voters) rather than the entire voter population of California.
03

Identify Descriptive Statistics

Descriptive statistics summarize information about the sample itself. Here, descriptive aspects of the results are the percentages stating how many voters from each political affiliation voted for Brown: 91% of Democrats, 10% of Republicans, and 42% of Independents.
04

Identify Inferential Statistics

Inferential statistics involve drawing conclusions about a population based on sample data. The inferential aspect here is the inclusion of the margin of error for each group (1.4% for Democrats, 1.7% for Republicans, and 3.0% for Independents), which indicates how reliably these sample results can be generalized to the entire population.

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Key Concepts

These are the key concepts you need to understand to accurately answer the question.

Descriptive Statistics
Descriptive statistics play a crucial role in understanding and summarizing the characteristics of a specific dataset. They help us quickly ascertain essential information at a glance through straightforward numerical and graphical outputs. In the context of our election poll, descriptive statistics tell us specific details about voter behavior. For instance, we learn that 91% of registered Democrats voted for Brown, along with 10% of Republicans and 42% of Independent voters.

These percentages are examples of descriptive statistics: they summarize how each group within the sample voted, providing a snapshot of the data collected. Descriptive statistics include measures such as mean, median, mode, and percentages, all of which help in breaking down the dataset to facilitate easier understanding. In our example, the percentages are crafted without ambiguity, giving a clear picture of the sample at hand. This information is valuable because it allows researchers and analysts to grasp the immediate proportions and tendencies within the sample data.
Inferential Statistics
Inferential statistics take us a step further than just summarizing data; they help us make predictions or generalizations about a larger population. This is done by analyzing a sample data and applying statistical tests to infer the properties of the population. In the election poll example, inferential statistics come into play through the reported margins of error.

Each group of voters—Democrats, Republicans, and Independents—has an associated margin of error (1.4%, 1.7%, and 3.0% respectively). This indicates the degree of uncertainty in generalizing these sample findings to the whole voter population of California. Inferential statistics involve methodologies like hypothesis testing, confidence intervals, and regression analysis. These allow researchers to estimate how representative their sample is and how likely the patterns found in the sample exist in the entire population. The margin of error signifies that while we have sample data, it is an estimate of actual voting patterns and could vary slightly within the confidences set by these errors.
Sample Data
Sample data consists of collected information from a subset of a large group, known as the population. Instead of gathering information from every member of a population, which can be impractical or impossible, statisticians opt to collect data from a smaller, manageable group—a sample. In the election poll case, the data was collected from 3889 voters out of the potentially millions of voters in California.

This technique is not only cost-effective but also saves time, allowing researchers to draw conclusions without needing to analyze every individual in the population. Sample data must be carefully selected to ensure it is representative of the entire population. This means potentially involving random sampling methods that can include diverse members that reflect the population's characteristics. A good sample contributes to the reliability and validity of the conclusions drawn from the research. It is from this sample data that both descriptive and inferential statistics derive their insights.

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Most popular questions from this chapter

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