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Suppose that the correlation between \(x_{1}\) and \(x_{2}\) equals \(0 .\) Then, for multiple regression with those predictors, it can be shown that the slope for \(x_{1}\) is the same as in bivariate regression when \(x_{1}\) is the only predictor. Explain why you would expect this to be true.

Short Answer

Expert verified
With zero correlation, the slope for \(x_1\) in multiple regression is unchanged from bivariate regression, due to lack of influence from \(x_2\).

Step by step solution

01

Understanding Correlation and its Implication

The correlation between two variables, in this case, is exactly zero, which mathematically implies they are uncorrelated. This means that knowing the value of one variable does not provide any information about the other.
02

Setup of Bivariate Regression

In bivariate regression where there is only one predictor (i.e., regression of y on \(x_{1}\)), the slope \(b_{x_1}\) is derived from the relationship between \(x_{1}\) and dependent variable \(y\). It is calculated as \(b_{x_1} = \frac{Cov(x_1, y)}{Var(x_1)}\).
03

Setup of Multiple Regression

In multiple regression with uncorrelated predictors \(x_1\) and \(x_2\), the model is \(y = b_{x_1}x_1 + b_{x_2}x_2\). Since \(x_1\) and \(x_2\) are uncorrelated, \(b_{x_1}\) simplifies to \(\frac{Cov(x_1, y)}{Var(x_1)}\).
04

Simplicity Due to Zero Correlation

Because the correlation is zero, no adjustment is made for \(x_2\)'s influence on \(x_1\), leading to the bivariate slope value \(b_{x_1}\) being retained in the multiple regression scenario as well.

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Key Concepts

These are the key concepts you need to understand to accurately answer the question.

Understanding Correlation
Correlation is a measure that describes the extent to which two variables change together. When two variables are correlated, the value of one variable can help predict the value of the other. Correlations range from -1 to +1. A positive correlation indicates that as one variable increases, so does the other. Conversely, a negative correlation suggests that as one variable increases, the other decreases. However, when the correlation is zero, like it is between \(x_1\) and \(x_2\) in this context, it implies that there is no linear relationship between the two variables. Knowing the value of \(x_1\) tells us nothing about the value of \(x_2\), and vice versa. This lack of correlation plays a pivotal role in simplifying our understanding and calculations in multiple regression, as it implies that the effect of \(x_1\) on \(y\) can be considered independently of \(x_2\). This independence helps make sense of why the slope in the multiple regression setting remains the same as in the bivariate regression.
  • No relationship between the two variables
  • Simplifies multiple regression calculations
  • Slope for multiple regression same as bivariate when predictors uncorrelated
Bivariate Regression Basics
Bivariate regression is a simple form of regression where we predict outcomes with a single predictor variable. This form of analysis allows us to examine linear relationships between two variables: one dependent (\(y\)) and one independent (\(x_1\)). In the bivariate scenario, the slope, \(b_{x_1}\), is calculated using the covariance between \(x_1\) and \(y\), divided by the variance of \(x_1\). This can be expressed mathematically as: \(b_{x_1} = \frac{Cov(x_1, y)}{Var(x_1)}\). The slope represents the change in \(y\) for a one-unit change in \(x_1\). Therefore, in a simple bivariate regression, the simplicity of only having to deal with one predictor allows for a straightforward calculation and interpretation of the slope.
  • Involves one predictor and one outcome
  • Calculates slope using covariance and variance
  • Slope signifies the rate of change in the dependent variable
Role of Predictors in Multiple Regression
In multiple regression, we explore the relationship between a dependent variable and several independent variables, or predictors. This allows for a more robust model that provides insights into how various factors impact the outcome variable. When predictors are uncorrelated, as with \(x_1\) and \(x_2\), the regression analysis becomes more straightforward. This is because the influence of one predictor (\(x_1\)) on the dependent variable (\(y\)) does not need to adjust for potential correlations with other predictors (\(x_2\)). Thus, when \(x_1\) and \(x_2\) are uncorrelated, the formula for \(b_{x_1}\) in a multiple regression remains the same as in a bivariate regression. This means that multiple regression with uncorrelated predictors can essentially be broken down into analyzing separate bivariate regressions with each predictor, making the analysis easier to understand and apply.
  • Allows multiple variables to predict the outcome
  • Independent impact of each predictor when uncorrelated
  • Simplifies calculations when predictors are uncorrelated

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Most popular questions from this chapter

Let's use multiple regression to predict total body weight (in pounds) using data from a study of University of Georgia female athletes. Possible predictors are \(\mathrm{HGT}=\) height (in inches), \(\% \mathrm{BF}=\) percent body fat, and age. The display shows correlations among these explanatory variables. a. Which explanatory variable gives by itself the best predictions of weight? Explain. b. With height as the sole predictor, \(\hat{y}=-106+3.65\) \((\mathrm{HGT})\) and \(r^{2}=0.55 .\) If you add \(\% \mathrm{BF}\) as a predictor, you know that \(R^{2}\) will be at least \(0.55 .\) Explain why. c. When you add \% body fat to the model, \(\hat{y}=-121+3.50(\mathrm{HGT})+1.35(\% \mathrm{BF})\) and \(R^{2}=0.66 .\) When you add age to the model, \(\hat{y}=-97.7+3.43(\mathrm{HGT})+1.36(\% \mathrm{BF})-0.960(\mathrm{AGE})\) and \(R^{2}=0.67\). Once you know height and \(\%\) body fat, does age seem to help you in predicting weight? Explain, based on comparing the \(R^{2}\) values.

Suppose you fit a straight-line regression model to \(y=\) amount of time sleeping per day and \(x=\) age of subject. Values of \(y\) in the sample tend to be quite large for young children and for elderly people, and they tend to be lower for other people. Sketch what you would expect to observe for (a) the scatterplot of \(x\) and \(y\) and (b) a plot of the residuals against the values of age.

For binary response variables, one reason that logistic regression is usually preferred over straight-line regression is that a fixed change in \(x\) often has a smaller impact on a probability \(p\) when \(p\) is near 0 or near 1 than when \(p\) is near the middle of its range. Let \(y\) refer to the decision to rent or to buy a home, with \(p=\) the probability of buying, and let \(x=\) weekly family income. In which case do you think an increase of \(\$ 100\) in \(x\) has greater effect: when \(x=50,000\) (for which \(p\) is near 1 ), when \(x=0\) (for which \(p\) is near 0 ), or when \(x=500\) ? Explain how your answer relates to the choice of a linear versus logistic regression model.

Let \(y=\) death rate and \(x=\) average age of residents, measured for each county in Louisiana and in Florida. Draw a hypothetical scatterplot, identifying points for each state, such that the mean death rate is higher in Florida than in Louisiana when \(x\) is ignored, but lower when it is controlled.

If \(\hat{y}=2+3 x_{1}+5 x_{2}-8 x_{3},\) then controlling for \(x_{2}\) and \(x_{3},\) the change in the estimated mean of \(y\) when \(x_{1}\) is increased from 10 to 20 a. equals 30 . b. equals 0.3 . c. Cannot be given \(-\) depends on specific values of \(x_{2}\) and \(x_{3}\) d. Must be the same as when we ignore \(x_{2}\) and \(x_{3}\).

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