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In spite of the potential safety hazards, some people would like to have an Internet connection in their car. A preliminary survey of adult Americans has estimated the proportion of adult Americans who would like Internet access in their car to be somewhere around 0.30 (USA TODAY, May 1 , 2009). Use the given preliminary estimate to determine the sample size required to estimate this proportion with a margin of error of 0.02

Short Answer

Expert verified
To estimate the proportion of adult Americans who would like to have Internet access in their car with a margin of error of 0.02 and a 95% confidence level, a sample size of approximately 2018 is required.

Step by step solution

01

Identify the given values

We are given the following values: - Preliminary estimate of the proportion (p): 0.30 - Margin of error (E): 0.02 We will be using the formula for calculating the sample size for estimating proportions: Sample size (n) = \(\frac{(Z^2 * p * (1 - p))}{E^2}\) Where: Z is the z-value from the standard normal distribution corresponding to the desired confidence level. We are not given a specific confidence level, so we will assume the commonly used 95% confidence level. For a 95% confidence level, the Z-value is 1.96.
02

Calculate the sample size

Plug the given values into the formula: n = \(\frac{(1.96^2 * 0.30 * (1 - 0.30))}{0.02^2}\) n = \(\frac{(3.8416 * 0.30 * 0.7)}{0.0004}\) n = \(\frac{0.807048}{0.0004}\) n = 2017.62 Since we can't have a fraction of a person, we round up to the nearest whole number.
03

Report the required sample size

The required sample size to estimate the proportion of adult Americans who would like to have an Internet connection in their car with a margin of error of 0.02 and a 95% confidence level is approximately 2018.

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Key Concepts

These are the key concepts you need to understand to accurately answer the question.

Margin of Error
When conducting a survey or a study, the margin of error is a crucial measure that indicates the range within which we can expect the true population value to fall. More precisely, it defines the maximum expected difference between the true population parameter and the estimated parameter provided by the sample. In simpler terms, it's an allowance for error that tells us how close our estimate is to the real deal. For example, if a poll results show that 60% of people favor a particular candidate with a margin of error of 3%, the true proportion in the full population would likely fall between 57% and 63%.

Choosing a small margin of error typically requires a larger sample size but renders a more accurate and reliable estimate. Conversely, a larger margin of error will require a smaller sample size but will be less precise. This is why the margin of error is a crucial component in sample size calculations and integral in gauging the reliability of survey results.
Confidence Level
The confidence level represents the degree of certainty one can have in the process of estimation. It tells us how confident we can be that our sample correctly estimates the characteristics of the entire population. A 95% confidence level, which is commonly used in statistics, means that if the survey or experiment were repeated multiple times, we would expect the result to match the true population parameter 95% of the time.

While a higher confidence level increases the certainty of the estimate, it also demands a larger sample size. Understanding the confidence level helps researchers balance the need for precision with practical constraints like time and budget. Remember, a higher confidence level doesn't change the margin of error; it adjusts how sure we can be that the margin of error surrounds the true population proportion.
Proportion Estimation
The term proportion estimation refers to the process of using sample data to estimate the ratio of a particular subgroup within the larger population. This is expressed as a decimal, where 1 represents the whole population. For instance, in the exercise involving American adults who would like Internet access in their cars, the estimation of the proportion was made at 0.30 (30%).

When estimating proportions, statisticians use a sample to infer results for the entire population. The precision of this estimate is affected by both the margin of error and the confidence level as previously discussed. To increase the accuracy of the estimate, a larger sample will usually be necessary, especially when the population is diverse and confidence levels are high. In practical terms, knowing the proportion helps decision-makers target policies, product development, marketing strategies, and other initiatives effectively.

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Most popular questions from this chapter

The article "Write It by Hand to Make It Stick" (Advertising Age, July 27,2016 ) summarizes data from a survey of 1001 students age 13 to 19 years. Of the students surveyed, 851 reported that they learn best using a mix of digital and nondigital tools. Construct and interpret \(\mathrm{a}\) \(95 \%\) confidence interval for the proportion of students age 13 to 19 who would say that they learn best using a mix of digital and nondigital tools. In order for the method used to construct the interval to be valid, what assumption about the sample must be reasonable?

The USA Snapshot titled "Big Bang Theory" (USA TODAY, October \(14,\) 2016) summarized data from a sample of 1003 American parents of children age 6 to 11 years. It reported that \(53 \%\) of these parents view science-oriented TV shows as a good way to expose their kids to science outside of school. Assume that this sample is representative of American parents of children age 6 to 11 years. a. Use the given information to estimate the proportion of American parents of children age 6 to 11 years who view science-oriented TV shows as a good way to expose their children to science. b. Verify that the conditions needed in order for the margin of error formula to be appropriate are met. c. Calculate the margin of error. d. Interpret the margin of error in the context of this problem.

The USA Snapshot titled "Have a Nice Trip" (USA TODAY, November 17,2015 ) summarized data from a survey of 1000 U.S. adults who had traveled by air at least once in the previous year. The Snapshot includes the following statement: "38\% admit to yelling at a complete stranger while traveling." a. Assuming that the sample was selected to be representative of the population of U.S. adults who have traveled by air at least once in the previous year, what is an estimate of the population proportion who have yelled at a complete stranger while traveling? b. Calculate and interpret the margin of error associated with your estimate in Part (a).

Will \(\hat{p}\) from a random sample of size 400 tend to be closer to the actual value of the population proportion when \(p=0.4\) or when \(p=0.7 ?\) Provide an explanation for your choice.

If two statistics are available for estimating a population characteristic, under what circumstances might you choose a biased statistic over an unbiased statistic?

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