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For which of the following sample sizes would the sampling distribution of \(\hat{p}\) be approximately normal when $$ \begin{array}{c} p=0.2 ? \text { When } p=0.8 ? \text { When } p=0.6 ? \\ n=10 \quad n=25 \\ n=50 \quad n=100 \end{array} $$

Short Answer

Expert verified
The sampling distribution of \(\hat{p}\) will be approximately normal for the following cases: when p = 0.2 for n = 50 and n = 100; when p = 0.8 for n = 50 and n = 100; and when p = 0.6 for n = 25, n = 50, and n = 100.

Step by step solution

01

List out the cases

We have three different probability values (0.2, 0.8, and 0.6) and four different sample sizes (10, 25, 50, and 100). We will create a table to list out all the possible cases: \( \begin{array}{c|c} \text{Sample Size (n)} & \text{Probability (p)} \\ \hline 10 & 0.2 \\ 10 & 0.8 \\ 10 & 0.6 \\ 25 & 0.2 \\ 25 & 0.8 \\ 25 & 0.6 \\ 50 & 0.2 \\ 50 & 0.8 \\ 50 & 0.6 \\ 100 & 0.2 \\ 100 & 0.8 \\ 100 & 0.6 \end{array} \)
02

Calculate np and n(1-p) for each case

Now, we will calculate np and n(1-p) for each case and check if both are greater than or equal to 10: \( \begin{array}{c|c|c|c} \text{Sample Size (n)} & \text{Probability (p)} & \text{np} & \text{n(1-p)} \\ \hline 10 & 0.2 & 2 & 8 \\ 10 & 0.8 & 8 & 2 \\ 10 & 0.6 & 6 & 4 \\ 25 & 0.2 & 5 & 20 \\ 25 & 0.8 & 20 & 5 \\ 25 & 0.6 & 15 & 10 \\ 50 & 0.2 & 10 & 40 \\ 50 & 0.8 & 40 & 10 \\ 50 & 0.6 & 30 & 20 \\ 100 & 0.2 & 20 & 80 \\ 100 & 0.8 & 80 & 20 \\ 100 & 0.6 & 60 & 40 \end{array} \)
03

Determine which cases result in an approximately normal distribution

We will now identify all the cases for which both np and n(1-p) are greater than or equal to 10: \( \begin{array}{c|c|c|c|c} \text{Sample Size (n)} & \text{Probability (p)} & \text{np} & \text{n(1-p)} & \text{Approximately Normal?} \\ \hline 10 & 0.2 & 2 & 8 & \text{No} \\ 10 & 0.8 & 8 & 2 & \text{No} \\ 10 & 0.6 & 6 & 4 & \text{No} \\ 25 & 0.2 & 5 & 20 & \text{No} \\ 25 & 0.8 & 20 & 5 & \text{No} \\ 25 & 0.6 & 15 & 10 & \text{Yes} \\ 50 & 0.2 & 10 & 40 & \text{Yes} \\ 50 & 0.8 & 40 & 10 & \text{Yes} \\ 50 & 0.6 & 30 & 20 & \text{Yes} \\ 100 & 0.2 & 20 & 80 & \text{Yes} \\ 100 & 0.8 & 80 & 20 & \text{Yes} \\ 100 & 0.6 & 60 & 40 & \text{Yes} \end{array} \) Based on our calculations, the sampling distribution of \(\hat{p}\) will be approximately normal when p = 0.2 for n = 50 and n = 100; when p = 0.8 for n = 50 and n = 100; and when p = 0.6 for n = 25, n = 50, and n = 100.

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Key Concepts

These are the key concepts you need to understand to accurately answer the question.

Normal Distribution
In statistics, a normal distribution is a common pattern where data tends to cluster around a central point with no skew. It's often called a "bell curve" due to its shape. This distribution is important because many natural phenomena and variables in social sciences follow a normal distribution.

For a normal distribution to apply to a sampling distribution, certain conditions must be met—one being the Central Limit Theorem (CLT). The CLT states that the distribution of the sample proportion \(\hat{p}\) will be approximately normal, given a sufficiently large sample size, regardless of the population distribution.

The magic threshold here is when both \(np\) and \(n(1-p)\) are greater than or equal to 10, as it ensures enough observations for each possible outcome (successes and failures). The normal approximation helps in calculating probabilities and making inferences about the population.
Sample Size
Sample size plays a crucial role in determining if the sampling distribution can be approximated by a normal distribution. Larger sample sizes generally result in a more reliable normal approximation.

In the given problem, different sample sizes were tested with probabilities \(p = 0.2\), \(0.8\), and \(0.6\). For instance, when \(n = 10\), neither \(np\) nor \(n(1-p)\) meets the required threshold, but when \(n = 50\) or \(n = 100\), they do for these probabilities.
  • For \(n = 25\), only \(p = 0.6\) met the criteria since both \(np = 15\) and \(n(1-p) = 10\).
  • When \(n = 50\), all probabilities - \(p = 0.2\), \(0.8\), \(0.6\) - resulted in both \(np\) and \(n(1-p)\) being above 10, making a normal approximation valid.
Understanding the relationship between sample size and distribution shape leads to more accurate statistical conclusions.
Probability
Probability in this context refers to the likelihood of success in a binary outcome, such as yes/no, success/failure, etc. In sampling distribution, the probability \(p\) influences the shape and accuracy of the sampling distribution.

Each probability value requires different sample sizes to meet the normality condition of \(np \geq 10\) and \(n(1-p) \geq 10\).
  • With \(p = 0.2\), smaller sample sizes (e.g., \(n = 10\)) failed to meet necessary conditions, indicating that more trials are required to ensure variability in outcomes.
  • For probabilities close to half, like \(p = 0.6\), fewer samples are needed as both potential outcomes are more balanced.
The understanding of probability and its effect on sample size is vital for setting up effective experiments and analyses.

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Most popular questions from this chapter

A random sample is to be selected from a population that has a proportion of successes \(p=0.25 .\) Determine the mean and standard deviation of the sampling distribution of \(\hat{p}\) for each of the following sample sizes: a. \(n=10\) d. \(n=50\) b. \(n=20\) e. \(n=100\) c. \(n=30\) f. \(n=200\)

Some colleges now allow students to rent textbooks for a semester. Suppose that \(38 \%\) of all students enrolled at a particular college would rent textbooks if that option were available to them. If the campus bookstore uses a random sample of size 100 to estimate the proportion of students at the college who would rent textbooks, is it likely that this estimate would be within 0.05 of the actual population proportion? Use what you know about the sampling distribution of \(\hat{p}\) to support your answer.

In a study of pet owners, it was reported that 24\% celebrate their pet's birthday (Pet Statistics, Bissell Homecare, Inc., 2010). Suppose that this estimate was based on a random sample of 200 pet owners. Is it reasonable to conclude that the proportion of all pet owners who celebrate their pet's birthday is less than \(0.25 ?\) Use what you know about the sampling distribution of \(\hat{p}\) to support your answer.

Consider the following statement: A county tax assessor reported that the proportion of property owners who paid 2016 property taxes on time was \(\mathbf{0} . \mathbf{9 3}\). a. Is the number that appears in boldface in this statement a sample proportion or a population proportion? b. Which of the following use of notation is correct, \(p=0.93\) or \(\hat{p}=0.93 ?\)

The article "Younger Adults More Likely Than Their Elders to Prefer Reading the News" (October \(6,2016,\) www pewresearch.org/fact-tank/2016/10/06/younger- adults -more-likely-than-their-elders-to-prefer-reading-news/) estimated that only \(3 \%\) of those age 65 and older who prefer to watch the news, rather than to read or listen, watch the news online. This estimate was based on a survey of a large sample of adult Americans conducted by the Pew Research Center. Consider the population consisting of all adult Americans age 65 and older who prefer to watch the news and suppose that for this population the actual proportion who prefer to watch online is \(0.03 .\) a. A random sample of \(n=100\) people will be selected from this population and \(\hat{p},\) the proportion of people who prefer to watch online, will be calculated. What are the mean and standard deviation of the sampling distribution of \(\hat{p} ?\) b. Is the sampling distribution of \(\hat{p}\) approximately normal for random samples of size \(n=100 ?\) Explain. c. Suppose that the sample size is \(n=400\) rather than \(n=100\). Does the change in sample size affect the mean and standard deviation of the sampling distribution of \(\hat{p} ?\) If so, what are the new values for the mean and standard deviation? If not, explain why not. d. Is the sampling distribution of \(\hat{p}\) approximately normal for random samples of size \(n=400 ?\) Explain.

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