/*! This file is auto-generated */ .wp-block-button__link{color:#fff;background-color:#32373c;border-radius:9999px;box-shadow:none;text-decoration:none;padding:calc(.667em + 2px) calc(1.333em + 2px);font-size:1.125em}.wp-block-file__button{background:#32373c;color:#fff;text-decoration:none} Problem 69 Consider the following 10 observ... [FREE SOLUTION] | 91Ó°ÊÓ

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Consider the following 10 observations on the lifetime (in hours) for a certain type of power supply: \(\begin{array}{lllll}152.7 & 172.0 & 172.5 & 173.3 & 193.0\end{array}\) \(\begin{array}{llllll}204.7 & 216.5 & 234.9 & 262.6 & 422.6\end{array}\) Construct a normal probability plot, and comment on whether it is reasonable to think that the distribution of power supply lifetime is approximately normal. (The normal scores for a sample of size 10 are \(-1.547,-1.000,-0.655,\) \(-0.375,-0.123,0.123,0.375,0.655,1.000,\) and \(1.547 .)\)

Short Answer

Expert verified
In conclusion, after arranging the lifetimes in ascending order, pairing them with their respective normal scores, and constructing a normal probability plot, we observe that the data points do not show a linear trend. The presence of significant outliers and deviations from a straight line indicates that the distribution of power supply lifetime is not approximately normal.

Step by step solution

01

Arrange the observations in ascending order

Firstly, we need to arrange the given values in ascending order, so that they can be plotted against their respective normal scores. Ascended order of lifetimes: \(152.7, 172.0, 172.5, 173.3, 193.0, 204.7, 216.5, 234.9, 262.6, 422.6\)
02

Pair each observation with its corresponding normal score

We need to pair each lifetime observation with its corresponding normal score (given in the problem). These pairs will later be used to plot the normal probability plot. Paired data: \((-1.547, 152.7), (-1.000, 172.0), (-0.655, 172.5), (-0.375, 173.3), (-0.123, 193.0), (0.123, 204.7), (0.375, 216.5), (0.655, 234.9), (1.000, 262.6), (1.547, 422.6)\)
03

Plot the normal probability plot

Use the paired data to create a scatter plot on a Cartesian plane. The x-axis represents the normal scores, and the y-axis represents the lifetime observations. By analyzing the plot, we can identify if the distribution of power supply lifetime is approximately normal or not. In a normal probability plot, if the plotted points are approximately linear and follows a straight line with an identity or near identity slope, it indicates that the data is normally distributed.
04

Analyze the normal probability plot

After constructing the normal probability plot, we can see that the points do not follow a straight line and are far from linear. Specifically, the data point representing the highest lifetime (422.6) is a significant outlier and the points for smaller lifetimes also deviate from a linear trend. Conclusion: Based on the normal probability plot, it is not reasonable to assume that the distribution of power supply lifetime is approximately normal.

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Key Concepts

These are the key concepts you need to understand to accurately answer the question.

Normal Distribution
A normal distribution is essential in statistics because it characterizes many natural phenomena. It's a type of continuous probability distribution for a real-valued random variable. A key feature of a normal distribution is its bell-shaped curve, also known as the Gaussian distribution, where the mean, median, and mode coincide. The curve is symmetric around the mean, and about 68% of the data lies within one standard deviation of the mean, 95% within two, and 99.7% within three.

This distribution is particularly important because it allows statisticians to make inferences about populations based on sample data. Many statistical tools and tests, such as the t-test or ANOVA, rely on the assumption of normal distribution. Therefore, recognizing and modeling data that fits a normal distribution accurately is important in data analysis.
Data Analysis
Data analysis involves various techniques to inspect, clean, transform, and model data with the goal of discovering useful information, drawing conclusions, and supporting decision-making. In the context of a normal probability plot, data analysis helps to determine whether a dataset can be modeled by a normal distribution.

Onestarts by organizing the data in ascending order and then pairing each observation with a calculated normal score. This is a crucial step in preparing the data for further analysis, including statistical modeling or hypothesis testing. Effective data analysis requires careful consideration of the relationships within the data, and whether any transformations are needed to meet the assumptions of subsequent analyses. This process can often reveal trends and patterns that are not immediately obvious, such as correlations or causal relationships.
Outliers
Outliers are data points that deviate significantly from the rest of the dataset. In statistical terms, these points fall outside the overall pattern of distribution. They can have a substantial impact on the results of data analysis, affecting mean calculations, correlation, and regression outcomes. An outlier can result from variability in the measurement or it could indicate an experimental error; thus, they are important to identify and assess.

In a normal probability plot, like the one discussed here, spotting outliers is crucial. For instance, an unusually high lifetime value of 422.6 hours acts as a clear outlier. This value draws attention as it doesn't align with the normal distribution implied by other data points. Detecting such outliers is essential as they can distort analyses and lead to incorrect conclusions.
Scatter Plot
A scatter plot is a type of data visualization that displays values for typically two variables for a set of data. When you plot data on a scatter plot, you set one variable along the x-axis and the other variable along the y-axis. Each data point represents an observation in the dataset. This visualization technique is incredibly useful for identifying relationships between the two variables.

In the context of a normal probability plot, the scatter plot's purpose is to check for data normality. When plotted, if the data points appear to form a straight line, the dataset may be normally distributed. However, deviations from this line, such as curves or a spread pattern of points, suggest a different distribution. As seen in the original exercise, the scattered nature of the points, especially with the presence of an outlier, indicates that the data might not be following a normal distribution.

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Most popular questions from this chapter

You are to take a multiple-choice exam consisting of 100 questions with five possible responses to each question. Suppose that you have not studied and so must guess (randomly select one of the five answers) on each question. Let \(x\) represent the number of correct responses on the test. a. What kind of probability distribution does \(x\) have? b. What is your expected score on the exam? (Hint: Your expected score is the mean value of the \(x\) distribution.) c. Calculate the variance and standard deviation of \(x\). d. Based on your answers to Parts \((\mathrm{b})\) and \((\mathrm{c}),\) is it likely that you would score over 50 on this exam? Explain the reasoning behind your answer.

Airlines sometimes overbook flights. Suppose that for a plane with 100 seats, an airline takes 110 reservations. Define the random variable \(x\) as \(x=\) the number of people who actually show up for a sold-out flight on this plane From past experience, the probability distribution of \(x\) is given in the following table: $$ \begin{array}{|cc|} \hline \boldsymbol{x} & \boldsymbol{p}(\boldsymbol{x}) \\ \hline 95 & 0.05 \\ 96 & 0.10 \\ 97 & 0.12 \\ 98 & 0.14 \\ 99 & 0.24 \\ 100 & 0.17 \\ 101 & 0.06 \\ 102 & 0.04 \\ 103 & 0.03 \\ 104 & 0.02 \\ 105 & 0.01 \\ 106 & 0.005 \\ 107 & 0.005 \\ 108 & 0.005 \\ 109 & 0.0037 \\ 110 & 0.0013 \\ \hline \end{array} $$ a. What is the probability that the airline can accommodate everyone who shows up for the flight? b. What is the probability that not all passengers can be accommodated? c. If you are trying to get a seat on such a flight and you are number 1 on the standby list, what is the probability that you will be able to take the flight? What if you are number 3 ?

Suppose that your statistics professor tells you that the scores on a midterm exam were approximately normally distributed with a mean of 78 and a standard deviation of 7 . The top \(15 \%\) of all scores have been designated A's. Your score is \(89 .\) Did you earn an \(\mathrm{A}\) ? Explain.

Suppose that a computer manufacturer receives computer boards in lots of five. Two boards are selected from each lot for inspection. You can represent possible outcomes of the selection process by pairs. For example, the pair (1,2) represents the selection of Boards 1 and 2 for inspection. a. List the 10 different possible outcomes. b. Suppose that Boards 1 and 2 are the only defective boards in a lot of five. Two boards are to be chosen at random. Let \(x=\) the number of defective boards observed among those inspected. Find the probability distribution of \(x\).

An automobile manufacturer is interested in the fuel efficiency of a proposed new car design. Six nonprofessional drivers were selected, and each one drove a prototype of the new car from Phoenix to Los Angeles. The resulting fuel efficiencies \((x,\) in miles per gallon \()\) are: $$ \begin{array}{llllll} 27.2 & 29.3 & 31.2 & 28.4 & 30.3 & 29.6 \end{array} $$ The normal scores for a sample of size 6 are $$ \begin{array}{llllll} -1.282 & -0.643 & -0.202 & 0.202 & 0.643 & 1.282 \end{array} $$ a. Construct a normal probability plot for the fuel efficiency data. Does the plot look linear? b. Calculate the correlation coefficient for the (normal score, \(x\) ) pairs. Compare this value to the appropriate critical \(r\) value from Table 6.2 to determine if it is reasonable to think that the fuel efficiency distribution is approximately normal.

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