/*! This file is auto-generated */ .wp-block-button__link{color:#fff;background-color:#32373c;border-radius:9999px;box-shadow:none;text-decoration:none;padding:calc(.667em + 2px) calc(1.333em + 2px);font-size:1.125em}.wp-block-file__button{background:#32373c;color:#fff;text-decoration:none} Problem 38 The data below on runoff sedimen... [FREE SOLUTION] | 91Ó°ÊÓ

91Ó°ÊÓ

The data below on runoff sediment concentration for plots with varying amounts of grazing damage are representative values from a graph in the paper "Effect of Cattle Treading on Erosion from Hill Pasture: Modeling Concepts and Analysis of Rainfall Simulator Data" (Australian Journal of Soil Research [2002]: \(963-977\) ). Damage was measured by the percentage of bare ground in the plot. Data are given for gradually sloped and for steeply sloped plots. $$\begin{aligned} &\text { Gradually Sloped Plots }\\\ &\begin{array}{lrrrrrr} \text { Bare ground }(\%) & 5 & 10 & 15 & 25 & 30 & 40 \\ \text { Concentration } & 50 & 200 & 250 & 500 & 600 & 500 \end{array} \end{aligned}$$ $$\begin{aligned} &\text { Steeply Sloped Plots }\\\ &\begin{array}{lrrrrrrr} \text { Bare ground }(\%) & 5 & 5 & 10 & 15 & 20 & 25 & 20 \\ \text { Concentration } & 100 & 250 & 300 & 600 & 500 & 500 & 900 \end{array} \end{aligned}$$ $$\begin{array}{lrrrr} \text { Bare ground (\%) } & 30 & 35 & 40 & 35 \\ \text { Concentration } & 800 & 1100 & 1200 & 1000 \end{array}$$ a. Using the data for steeply sloped plots, find the equation of the least squares regression line for predicting \(y=\) Runoff sediment concentration using \(x=\) Percentage of bare ground. b. What would you predict runoff sediment concentration to be for a steeply sloped plot with \(18 \%\) bare ground? c. Would you recommend using the least squares regression line from Part (a) to predict runoff sediment concentration for gradually sloped plots? Explain.

Short Answer

Expert verified
A short answer based on the given step-by-step solution: a. The equation of the least squares regression line is \(y = 937.5 - 34.125x\), where \(y\) represents the runoff sediment concentration and \(x\) represents the percentage of bare ground. b. When using this equation to predict runoff sediment concentration for a steeply sloped plot with 18% bare ground, we find that the prediction is approximately 322.75. c. No, we wouldn't recommend using the least squares regression line from Part (a) to predict runoff sediment concentration for gradually sloped plots. Upon analysis, there is no clear linear relationship between the data for gradually sloped plots and steeply sloped plots. They do not seem to follow the same trend, making it inappropriate to use the same regression line.

Step by step solution

01

Calculate the least squares regression line

First, let's use the data for steeply sloped plots to calculate the equation of the least squares regression line for predicting runoff sediment concentration using the percentage of bare ground. We are given the following data: $$ \begin{array}{lrrrrrrr} \text { Bare ground }(\%) & 5 & 5 & 10 & 15 & 20 & 25 & 20 \\ \text { Concentration } & 100 & 250 & 300 & 600 & 500 & 500 & 900 \end{array} $$ To calculate the least squares regression line, we can use the equation: $$ y = a + bx $$ where: - \(y\) is the runoff sediment concentration - \(a\) is the y-intercept - \(b\) is the slope of the line - \(x\) is the percentage of bare ground The slope \(b\) can be calculated using the following formula: $$ b = \frac{N\sum(xy) - \sum x \sum y}{N\sum x^2 - (\sum x)^2} $$ and the y-intercept \(a\) can be calculated using: $$ a = \frac{\sum y - b\sum x}{N} $$ where \(N\) is the number of data points. Using the given data, we can calculate the necessary sums: $$ \begin{aligned} \sum x &= 5+5+10+15+20+25+20 = 100 \\ \sum y &= 100+250+300+600+500+500+900 = 3150 \\ \sum xy &= 5(100) + 5(250) + 10(300) + 15(600) + 20(500) + 25(500) + 20(900) = 25500 \\ \sum x^2 &= 5^2+5^2+10^2+15^2+20^2+25^2+20^2 = 2000 \\ N &= 7 \end{aligned} $$ Now we can find the slope \(b\) and y-intercept \(a\): $$ \begin{aligned} b &= \frac{7(25500) - 100(3150)}{7(2000) - (100)^2} = \frac{178500 - 315000}{14000 - 10000} = \frac{-136500}{4000} = -34.125 \\ a &= \frac{3150 - (-34.125)(100)}{7} = \frac{3150 + 3412.5}{7} = \frac{6562.5}{7} = 937.5 \end{aligned} $$ So the least squares regression line equation is: $$ y = 937.5 - 34.125x $$
02

Predict the runoff for a plot with 18% bare ground

Now we have the equation of the least squares regression line, we can use it to predict the runoff sediment concentration for a steeply sloped plot with 18% bare ground. Using the equation: $$ y = 937.5 - 34.125x $$ Let \(x = 18\): $$ y = 937.5 - 34.125(18) \approx 322.75 $$ Thus, the predicted runoff sediment concentration for a plot with 18% bare ground is approximately 322.75.
03

Determine if the regression line can be used for gradually sloped plots

To check if the least squares regression line can be used to predict runoff sediment concentration for gradually sloped plots, we have to analyze the relationship between the data from steeply sloped plots and gradually sloped plots. The data for gradually sloped plots looks like this: $$ \begin{array}{lrrrrrr} \text { Bare ground }(\%) & 5 & 10 & 15 & 25 & 30 & 40 \\ \text { Concentration } & 50 & 200 & 250 & 500 & 600 & 500 \end{array} $$ Upon inspection, there is no clear linear relationship between the data for gradually sloped plots and steeply sloped plots, as the data points for gradually sloped plots do not seem to follow the same trend as the steeply sloped plots. Therefore, it is not recommended to use the least squares regression line from Part (a) to predict runoff sediment concentration for gradually sloped plots. The relationship between the two sets of data is not strong enough to make accurate predictions using the same regression line.

Unlock Step-by-Step Solutions & Ace Your Exams!

  • Full Textbook Solutions

    Get detailed explanations and key concepts

  • Unlimited Al creation

    Al flashcards, explanations, exams and more...

  • Ads-free access

    To over 500 millions flashcards

  • Money-back guarantee

    We refund you if you fail your exam.

Over 30 million students worldwide already upgrade their learning with 91Ó°ÊÓ!

Key Concepts

These are the key concepts you need to understand to accurately answer the question.

Runoff Sediment Concentration
Understanding runoff sediment concentration is crucial in environmental management since it impacts soil quality and water bodies. Sediment concentration in runoff water is a measure of the amount of eroded soil that is carried away by surface water as it flows. In the context of agricultural landscapes, such as grazing lands, runoff sediment concentration can increase due to soil disruption from livestock movement—affect commonly known as treading. As the livestock move, they damage the vegetation and soil structure, which can lead to an increased percentage of exposed or 'bare' ground.

This bare ground has a reduced capacity to absorb rainfall, which can result in an increased volume of runoff. More importantly, the lack of cover allows for more soil to be picked up by the moving water, compounding sediment concentration in the runoff. Here, we are particularly interested in how different levels of bare ground affect the sediment concentration. In educational exercises such as the one from the paper 'Effect of Cattle Treading on Erosion from Hill Pasture,' students can analyze this relationship using real data and statistical models—for instance, by finding the least squares regression line, which allows predictions about runoff sediment concentration based on the percentage of bare ground.
Percentage of Bare Ground
The percentage of bare ground represents the portion of land that lacks vegetation cover. In environmental studies, this measure can serve as an indicator of land degradation, which can lead to increased soil erosion and runoff. Areas with higher percentages of bare ground are typically more prone to erosion since there's less plant matter to hold the soil in place during events such as rainfall.

When considering the percentage of bare ground, it's essential to take into account factors like slope angle, as evidenced by the distinction between the gradually sloped plots and steeply sloped plots in the provided dataset. In landscapes with steeper slopes, the potential for runoff and erosion is even greater, leading to higher sediment concentrations when combined with high percentages of bare ground. Thus, effective management requires accurate models for predicting the consequences of bare ground on sediment concentration, which feeds into the broader domain of predictive modeling.
Predictive Modeling
Predictive modeling is a statistical technique used to predict future events or outcomes by analyzing patterns in existing data. It involves creating mathematical models that can extrapolate trends from a dataset to make predictions about new, unseen data. In the field of environmental science, predictive modeling can be applied to a variety of phenomena, such as predicting runoff sediment concentration based on land conditions like the percentage of bare ground.

The least squares regression line is one form of predictive modeling; it represents the best-fitting straight line through a set of data points. This method minimizes the sum of the squares of the differences between the observed values and the values predicted by the line. It's a valuable tool for scientists and policy-makers who need to make informed decisions based on expected future trends. However, the reliability of these models heavily depends on the quality and range of the data, as well as the appropriateness of the model for the system in question. As shown in the exercise, while a regression line may fit well for data from steeply sloped plots, it may not necessarily provide accurate predictions for gradually sloped plots due to different underlying relationships.

One App. One Place for Learning.

All the tools & learning materials you need for study success - in one app.

Get started for free

Most popular questions from this chapter

The relationship between hospital patient-to-nurse ratio and various characteristics of job satisfaction and patient care has been the focus of a number of research studies. Suppose \(x=\) Patient-to-nurse ratio is the predictor variable. For each of the following response variables, indicate whether you expect the slope of the least squares regression line to be positive or negative, and give a brief explanation for your choice. a. \(y=\) Measure of nurse's job satisfaction (higher values indicate higher satisfaction) b. \(y=\) Measure of patient satisfaction with hospital care (higher values indicate higher satisfaction) c. \(y=\) Measure of quality of patient care (higher values indicate higher quality)

In a study of the relationship between TV viewing and eating habits, a sample of 548 ethnically diverse students from Massachusetts was followed over a 19 -month period (Pediatrics [2003]: 1321-1326). For each additional hour of television viewed per day, the number of fruit and vegetable servings per day was found to decrease on average by 0.14 serving. a. For this study, what is the response variable? What is the predictor variable? b. Would the least squares regression line for predicting number of servings of fruits and vegetables using number of hours spent watching TV have a positive or negative slope? Justify your choice.

The paper "Noncognitive Predictors of Student Athletes' Academic Performance" (Journal of College Reading and Learning [2000]: e167) summarizes a study of 200 Division I athletes. It was reported that the correlation coefficient for college grade point average (GPA) and a measure of academic self-worth was \(r=0.48\). Also reported were the correlation coefficient for college GPA and high school GPA \((r=0.46)\) and the correlation coefficient for college GPA and a measure of tendency to procrastinate \((r=-0.36) .\) Write a few sentences summarizing what these correlation coefficients tell you about GPA for the 200 athletes in the sample.

An article on the cost of housing in California (San Luis Obispo Tribune, March 30,2001 ) included the following statement: 'In Northern California, people from the San Francisco Bay area pushed into the Central Valley, benefiting from home prices that dropped on average $$\$ 4000$$ for every mile traveled east of the Bay." If this statement is correct, what is the slope of the least squares regression line, \(\hat{y}=a+b x,\) where \(y=\) House price (in dollars) and \(x=\) Distance east of the Bay (in miles)? Justify your answer.

The paper "The Relationship Between Cell Phone Use, Academic Performance, Anxiety, and Satisfaction with Life in College Students" (Computers in Human Behavior [2014]: \(343-350\) ) described a study of cell phone use among undergraduate college students at a large, Midwestern public university. The paper reported that the value of the correlation coefficient between \(x=\) Cell phone use (measured as total amount of time (in hours) spent using a cell phone on a typical day) and \(y=\) GPA (cumulative grade point average (GPA) determined from university records) was \(r=-0.203\) a. Interpret the given value of the correlation coefficient. Does the value of the correlation coefficient suggest that students who use a cell phone for more hours per day tend to have higher GPAs or lower GPAs? b. The study also investigated the correlation between texting (measured as the total number of texts sent and texts received per day) and GPA. The direction of the relationship between texting and GPA was the same as the direction of the relationship between cell phone use and GPA, but the relationship between texting and GPA was not as strong. Which of the following possible values for the correlation coefficient between texting and GPA could have been the one observed? \(r=-0.30 \quad r=-0.10 \quad r=0.10 \quad r=0.30\) c. The paper included the following statement: "Participants filled in two blanks- one for texts sent and one for texts received. These two texting items were nearly perfectly correlated." Do you think that the value of the correlation coefficient for texts sent and texts received was close to \(-1,\) close to \(0,\) or close to + 1 ? Explain your reasoning.

See all solutions

Recommended explanations on Math Textbooks

View all explanations

What do you think about this solution?

We value your feedback to improve our textbook solutions.

Study anywhere. Anytime. Across all devices.