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In a study investigating the effect of car speed on accident severity, the vehicle speed at impact was recorded for 5000 fatal accidents. For these accidents, the mean speed was 42 mph and the standard deviation was 15 mph. A histogram revealed that the vehicle speed distribution was mound shaped and approximately symmetric. a. Approximately what percentage of the vehicle speeds were between 27 and \(57 \mathrm{mph} ?\) b. Approximately what percentage of the vehicle speeds exceeded \(57 \mathrm{mph} ?\)

Short Answer

Expert verified
a. Approximately 68% of the vehicle speeds were between 27 and \(57 \mathrm{mph}\). b. Approximately 16% of the vehicle speeds exceeded \(57 \mathrm{mph}\).

Step by step solution

01

In a mound-shaped and symmetric distribution, we can use the Empirical Rule (also known as the 68-95-99.7 Rule) to estimate percentages of data within certain ranges. The rule states that, for such a distribution, approximately 68% of the data falls within 1 standard deviation of the mean, approximately 95% falls within 2 standard deviations, and approximately 99.7% falls within 3 standard deviations. We will use this rule to answer the questions in this exercise. #Step 2: Find the ranges within 1, 2, and 3 standard deviations from the mean#

We are given the mean (\(\mu\)) and standard deviation (\(\sigma\)) of the vehicle speeds: \(\mu = 42\) mph and \(\sigma = 15\) mph. Now, let's find the ranges within 1, 2, and 3 standard deviations from the mean: 1 standard deviation: \((\mu - \sigma , \mu + \sigma) = (42 - 15 , 42 + 15) = (27, 57) \mathrm{mph}\) 2 standard deviations: \((\mu - 2\sigma , \mu + 2\sigma) = (42 - 2(15) , 42 + 2(15)) = (12, 72) \mathrm{mph}\) 3 standard deviations: \((\mu - 3\sigma , \mu + 3\sigma) = (42 - 3(15) , 42 + 3(15)) = (-3, 87) \mathrm{mph}\) #Step 3: Estimate percentages using the Empirical Rule# a. Approximately what percentage of the vehicle speeds were between 27 and \(57 \mathrm{mph} ?\)
02

The range (27, 57) mph corresponds to the range within 1 standard deviation from the mean. According to the Empirical Rule, approximately 68% of the vehicle speeds fall in this range. b. Approximately what percentage of the vehicle speeds exceeded \(57 \mathrm{mph} ?\)

Since the range within 1 standard deviation (27, 57) mph covers 68% of the data, that leaves 100% - 68% = 32% of the data either below 27 mph or above 57 mph. Because the distribution is symmetric, half of this percentage (16%) will be below 27 mph, and the other half, 16%, will be above 57 mph. Therefore, approximately 16% of the vehicle speeds exceeded 57 mph.

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Key Concepts

These are the key concepts you need to understand to accurately answer the question.

Exploring the Concept of Standard Deviation
In statistics, the standard deviation is used to quantify the amount of variation or spread in a set of data values. It is a crucial concept since it helps in understanding how much individual data points differ from the average value — the mean. Think of it as a ruler measuring the inconsistency in a data set.

Let's relate standard deviation to real-life situations. If you were to compare the exam scores of two classes, even if both had the same average score, one class might have scores tightly grouped around the average (low standard deviation), whereas the other could have scores that are widely scattered (high standard deviation). A lower standard deviation means that the data are closely clustered around the mean; conversely, a higher standard deviation indicates more variation.

In the vehicle speed example, a standard deviation of 15 mph indicates that the variation in speed among the accidents was relatively significant since the speeds were spread out around the mean by this much on average.
Understanding Normal Distribution
The normal distribution, often symbolized as a bell-curved graph, represents how certain types of data are distributed in nature and human activities. It's foundational in statistics because many statistical tests assume that the data are normally distributed. This distribution is perfectly symmetrical around its mean, meaning half of the values fall below the mean and half above.

Picture this symmetry as balancing a seesaw, with the mean at the pivot point. Values to the left are as equally distributed as those to the right. When our vehicle speeds example cited a 'mound-shaped and symmetric' histogram, it hinted at a normal distribution. This symmetry allows us to use the empirical rule effectively, as it relies on the data conforming to the specific shape and balance of a normal distribution.
Percentages within a Range in a Normal Distribution
Knowing that a distribution is normal allows us to predict how the values are spread. The empirical rule is a handy shortcut to estimate the chances of a specific range occurring in a normally distributed set. In essence, it helps to answer questions like 'What percentage of data falls within this particular slice of the bell curve?'

For the vehicle speeds, being able to say that approximately 68% lie within one standard deviation (27 to 57 mph) is incredibly useful. It's like stating, with a good level of confidence, that about two-thirds of the accidents happened within this speed range. Similarly, this concept allows us to deduce that only a small portion — roughly 16% — of accidents involved speeds above 57 mph. These insights can help traffic safety analysts predict accident severity based on the rate of speed and potentially devise better safety measures.

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Most popular questions from this chapter

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