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Consider taking a random sample from a population with \(p=0.70\). a. What is the standard error of \(\hat{p}\) for random samples of size \(100 ?\) b. Would the standard error of \(\hat{p}\) be smaller for samples of size 100 or samples of size \(400 ?\) c. Does decreasing the sample size by a factor of \(4,\) from 400 to 100 , result in a standard error of \(\hat{p}\) that is four times as large?

Short Answer

Expert verified
a. The standard error of \(\hat{p}\) for random samples of size 100 is 0.045. b. The standard error of \(\hat{p}\) would be smaller for samples of size 400. c. Decreasing the sample size by a factor of 4, from 400 to 100, doesn't result in a standard error of \(\hat{p}\) that is four times as large but rather twice as large.

Step by step solution

01

Compute Standard Error for Sample of Size 100

Let's compute the standard error for a sample size of 100. Using the standard error formula \(SE = \sqrt{ \frac{p*(1-p)}{n} }\), where \(p = 0.70\) and \(n = 100\), we get \(SE = \sqrt{ \frac{0.70*(1-0.70)}{100} } = 0.045.\)
02

Discuss Standard Error for Different Sample Sizes

It is known that as the sample size increases, the standard error decreases. Hence, the standard error for a sample size of 400 would be smaller than for a sample size of 100.
03

Effect of Reducing Sample Size on Standard Error

When we reduce the sample size, we expect the standard error to increase. But it will not increase exactly by a factor of 4. If we compute the standard error for a sample size of 400, we get \(SE = \sqrt{ \frac{0.70*(1-0.70)}{400} } = 0.0225\), which is half of the standard error when the sample size was 100, rather than four times as large.

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Key Concepts

These are the key concepts you need to understand to accurately answer the question.

Sample Size
Sample size plays a crucial role in statistics, especially when determining the accuracy of an estimate. A sample size refers to the number of observations or data points collected from the population. Larger sample sizes generally lead to more reliable estimates.
The relationship between sample size and standard error is inverse. As the sample size increases, the variability or standard error of the estimate decreases. This is because with more data points, the sample better approximates the population.
Consider the formula for standard error: \[SE = \sqrt{ \frac{p*(1-p)}{n} }\]where:
  • \(p\) is the proportion of the characteristic of interest.

  • \(n\) is the sample size.

Notice that the denominator of the fraction involves \(n\). As \(n\) increases, the entire fraction gets smaller and thus the standard error decreases.
Conversely, reducing the sample size increases the standard error, which implies less precise estimates.
Random Sample
A random sample is a fundamental concept in statistics, used to ensure the unbiased representation of the population. In simple terms, a random sample means every member of the population has an equal chance of being selected. This helps in making your sample representative of the entire population.
Random sampling is crucial because it minimizes selection bias. If your sampling process is not random, certain elements of the population might be over- or under-represented, skewing results.
  • Random samples contribute to the reflection of a population's characteristics much like a mirror.

  • Ensures that the inferences made are generalizable to the whole population.

Using random samples provides a foundation for valid conclusions about the population even from smaller-sized samples.
Proportion Sampling
Proportion sampling relates to estimating the proportion of a characteristic within a population. When you have a known or assumed proportion \(p\), you can draw conclusions about how it reflects in your sample.
For example, in a population where 70% have a particular characteristic \( (p = 0.70) \), understanding proportion sampling helps in estimating how similar this will be in various sample sizes.
  • It uses proportions to predict outcomes when actual population data is unavailable.

  • Helps in calculating probabilities and interpreting results accurately.

The accuracy of these estimations is significantly affected by the sample size. Larger sample sizes tend to provide proportion estimates that are closer to the true population proportion, improving precision and reducing standard error. This illustrates why understanding and applying proportion sampling is crucial in statistical analysis.

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Most popular questions from this chapter

In an AP-AOL sports poll (Associated Press, December 18,2005\(), 394\) of 1,000 randomly selected U.S. adults indicated that they considered themselves to be baseball fans. Of the 394 baseball fans, 272 stated that they thought the designated hitter rule should either be expanded to both baseball leagues or eliminated. a. Construct and interpret a \(95 \%\) confidence interval for the proportion of U.S. adults who consider themselves to be baseball fans. b. Construct and interpret a \(95 \%\) confidence interval for the proportion of baseball fans who think the designated hitter rule should be expanded to both leagues or eliminated. c. Explain why the confidence intervals of Parts (a) and (b) are not the same width even though they both have a confidence level of \(95 \%\).

USA Today (October 14,2002 ) reported that \(36 \%\) of adult drivers admit that they often or sometimes talk on a cell phone when driving. This estimate was based on data from a representative sample of 1,004 adult drivers. A margin of error of \(3.1 \%\) was also reported. Is this margin of error correct? Explain.

High-profile legal cases have many people reevaluating the jury system. Many believe that juries in criminal trials should be able to convict on less than a unanimous vote. To assess support for this idea, investigators asked each individual in a random sample of Californians whether they favored allowing conviction by a \(10-2\) verdict in criminal cases not involving the death penalty. The Associated Press (San Luis ObispoTelegram-Tribune, September 13,1995 ) reported that \(71 \%\) favored conviction with a \(10-2\) verdict. Suppose that the sample size for this survey was \(n=900\). Construct and interpret a \(99 \%\) confidence interval for the proportion of Californians who favor conviction with a \(10-2\) verdict.

Use the formula for the standard error of \(\hat{p}\) to explain why a. The standard error is greater when the value of the population proportion \(p\) is near 0.5 than when it is near \(1 .\) b. The standard error of \(\hat{p}\) is the same when the value of the population proportion is \(p=0.2\) as it is when \(p=0.8\)

Suppose that county planners are interested in learning about the proportion of county residents who would pay a fee for a curbside recycling service if the county were to offer this service. Two different people independently selected random samples of county residents and used their sample data to construct the following confidence intervals for the proportion who would pay for curbside recycling: Interval 1:(0.68,0.74) Interval 2:(0.68,0.72) a. Explain how it is possible that the two confidence intervals are not centered in the same place. b. Which of the two intervals conveys more precise information about the value of the population proportion? c. If both confidence intervals are associated with a \(95 \%\) confidence level, which confidence interval was based on the smaller sample size? How can you tell? d. If both confidence intervals were based on the same sample size, which interval has the higher confidence level? How can you tell?

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