/*! This file is auto-generated */ .wp-block-button__link{color:#fff;background-color:#32373c;border-radius:9999px;box-shadow:none;text-decoration:none;padding:calc(.667em + 2px) calc(1.333em + 2px);font-size:1.125em}.wp-block-file__button{background:#32373c;color:#fff;text-decoration:none} Problem 90 A soft-drink machine dispenses o... [FREE SOLUTION] | 91Ó°ÊÓ

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A soft-drink machine dispenses only regular Coke and Diet Coke. Sixty percent of all purchases from this machine are diet drinks. The machine currently has 10 cans of each type. If 15 customers want to purchase drinks before the machine is restocked, what is the probability that each of the 15 is able to purchase the type of drink desired? (Hint: Let \(x\) denote the number among the 15 who want a diet drink. For which possible values of \(x\) is everyone satisfied?)

Short Answer

Expert verified
The probability that each of the 15 customers is able to purchase the type of drink desired is calculated by summing the probabilities for each possible value of \(x\) from 0 to 10.

Step by step solution

01

Identify The Variable Range

Based on the hint given, define \(x\) as the number of customers who want diet drinks. As there are 15 customers and 10 cans of each drink type, \(x\) can range from 0 to 10. If \(x\) is less than 0 or greater than 10, there would not be enough cans for everyone.
02

Calculate The Total Possibilities

Calculate the total number of possibilities. This can be done by applying the binomial theorem for \(x\) number of customers who want diet drinks and \(15-x\) who want regular drinks. So, the total possibilities are \(\binom{15}{x}\) for diet Coke and \(\binom{15}{15-x}\) for regular Coke.
03

Calculate Probability For Each \(x\)

The probability that \(x\) customers desire a diet drink is \(0.6^{x}\) and the probability that \(15-x\) customers want a regular drink is \(0.4^{15-x}\). Simplifying, the probability for each \(x\) is given by \(\binom{15}{x}\) * \(0.6^{x}\) * \(0.4^{15-x}\).
04

Sum Up Probabilities

Sum up all the probabilities calculated in the previous step for \(x\) ranging from 0 to 10. Summing these probabilities will give the total probability that each of the 15 customers is able to purchase the type of drink desired.

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Key Concepts

These are the key concepts you need to understand to accurately answer the question.

Binomial Theorem
The binomial theorem is a powerful algebraic tool that provides a way to expand expressions raised to any positive integer power. In probability, it is particularly useful in determining the number of possible successful outcomes in a sequence of identical experiments. For example, in the original exercise, each customer choosing a drink represents an experiment. The theorem allows us to calculate the number of ways to achieve exactly a specified number of successes (e.g., choosing diet Coke) out of a total number of trials (e.g., 15 customers).

For the soft-drink problem, the binomial coefficient, denoted as \( \binom{n}{k} \), is used to compute the number of different ways \( k \) successes (customers choosing a diet drink) can occur in \( n \) trials (total customers). It is mathematically expressed as:
\[ \binom{n}{k} = \frac{n!}{k!(n-k)!} \]
where \( n! \) (n factorial) represents the product of all positive integers up to \( n \). The use of the binomial theorem in this context simplifies the complex probability calculations by reducing it to combinations and powers.

By applying this theorem, it becomes feasible to manage scenarios where outcomes have different probabilities, like in our drink choice scenario with a 60% preference for diet drinks.
Probability Distribution
In probability theory, a probability distribution specifies how probabilities are distributed across various possible outcomes. In the given exercise, we deal with a binomial probability distribution. This is appropriate when each trial (i.e., every customer choosing a drink) has two distinct outcomes, such as choosing either a diet or a regular Coke. The trials are independent, and the probability of each outcome is known.

For a binomial distribution to characterize the drink choices in our problem, two parameters are essential:
  • The number of trials \( n \), which in this scenario equals 15 (one trial per customer).
  • The probability of success for a single trial \( p \), which is 0.6 for choosing diet drinks.
The probability mass function for a binomial distribution is expressed as:
\[ P(X = k) = \binom{n}{k} p^k (1-p)^{n-k} \]
where \( k \) is the specific number of successes desired (e.g., number of customers who choose diet Coke). This formula helps to create a probability distribution over the possible outcomes \( k \) from 0 to 10, representing every feasible scenario where each customer can have their preferred drink.

Understanding this helps gauge the likelihood of various outcomes and assess whether the stock of drinks is sufficient for all customer preferences.
Probability Calculation
Calculating probability involves determining the likelihood of different outcomes within a given set of possible scenarios. In the context of the exercise, we aim to calculate the total probability that all 15 customers get their desired drink.

To compute this, we must consider each value of \( x \) from 0 to 10, where \( x \) represents customers wanting diet Coke. For each \( x \), we calculate:
  • The binomial coefficient \( \binom{15}{x} \), representing the number of ways \( x \) successes can occur out of 15 trials.
  • \( 0.6^{x} \), representing the probability that \( x \) customers choose diet Coke.
  • \( 0.4^{15-x} \), representing the probability that \( 15-x \) customers choose regular Coke.
By multiplying these components, we find the probability that a specific number of customers choose diet drinks.

This probability must be summed for all acceptable values of \( x \) (0 to 10), giving a total probability for the preferred drink choices happening. This requires adding the individual probabilities, calculated as:
\[ P( ext{All customers satisfied}) = \sum_{x=0}^{10} \binom{15}{x} (0.6)^x (0.4)^{15-x} \]
This summing ensures that every possible scenario of customer satisfaction is considered, offering a comprehensive probability calculation for the soft-drink selection situation.

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Most popular questions from this chapter

A gasoline tank for a certain car is designed to hold 15 gallons of gas. Suppose that the random variable \(x=\) actual capacity of a randomly selected tank has a distribution that is well approximated by a normal curve with mean 15.0 gallons and standard deviation 0.1 gallon. a. What is the probability that a randomly selected tank will hold at most 14.8 gallons? b. What is the probability that a randomly selected tank will hold between 14.7 and 15.1 gallons? c. If two such tanks are independently selected, what is the probability that both hold at most 15 gallons?

The Los Angeles Times (December 13,1992 ) reported that what \(80 \%\) of airline passengers like to do most on long flights is rest or sleep. Suppose that the actual percentage is exactly \(80 \%,\) and consider randomly selecting six passengers. Then \(x=\) the number among the selected six who prefer to rest or sleep is a binomial random variable with \(n=6\) and \(p=0.8\) a. Calculate \(p(4)\), and interpret this probability. b. Calculate \(p(6),\) the probability that all six selected passengers prefer to rest or sleep. c. Calculate \(P(x \geq 4)\).

Seventy percent of the bicycles sold by a certain store are mountain bikes. Among 100 randomly selected bike purchases, what is the approximate probability that a. At most 75 are mountain bikes? (Hint: See Example 6.33 ) b. Between 60 and 75 (inclusive) are mountain bikes? c. More than 80 are mountain bikes? d. At most 30 are not mountain bikes?

Suppose \(x=\) the number of courses a randomly selected student at a certain university is taking. The probability distribution of \(x\) appears in the following table: $$ \begin{array}{lccccccc} x & 1 & 2 & 3 & 4 & 5 & 6 & 7 \\ p(x) & 0.02 & 0.03 & 0.09 & 0.25 & 0.40 & 0.16 & 0.05 \end{array} $$ a. What is \(P(x=4)\) ? b. What is \(P(x \leq 4)\) ? c. What is the probability that the selected student is taking at most five courses? d. What is the probability that the selected student is taking at least five courses? More than five courses? e. Calculate \(P(3 \leq x \leq 6)\) and \(P(3 < x < 6)\). Explain in words why these two probabilities are different.

A restaurant has four bottles of a certain wine in stock. The wine steward does not know that two of these bottles (Bottles 1 and 2) are bad. Suppose that two bottles are ordered, and the wine steward selects two of the four bottles at random. Consider the random variable \(x=\) the number of good bottles among these two. a. One possible experimental outcome is (1,2) (Bottles 1 and 2 are selected) and another is (2,4) . List all possible outcomes. b. What is the probability of each outcome in Part (a)? c. The value of \(x\) for the (1,2) outcome is 0 (neither selected bottle is good), and \(x=1\) for the outcome (2,4) . Determine the \(x\) value for each possible outcome. Then use the probabilities in Part (b) to determine the probability distribution of \(x\). (Hint: See Example 6.5 )

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