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USA Today (Feb. 17,2011 ) reported that \(10 \%\) of 1,008 American adults surveyed about their use of e-mail said that they had ended a relationship by e-mail. You would like to use this information to estimate the proportion of all adult Americans who have used e-mail to end a relationship.

Short Answer

Expert verified
The estimate for the proportion of all American adults who have ended a relationship by e-mail is 10%

Step by step solution

01

Identify Sample Size and Number of Successes

The sample size \(n\) is given as 1008, and 10% of these have ended a relationship by e-mail. So, the number of successes (people who have ended a relationship by e-mail) \(X\) is \(0.10 * 1008 = 100.8\), which we round to 101 since we cannot have a fraction of a person.
02

Calculate Sample Proportion

The sample proportion \(\hat{p}\) is calculated by dividing the number of successes by the sample size: \(\hat{p} = X / n = 101 / 1008 = 0.100\). This means that in our sample, 10% of people ended a relationship by e-mail.
03

Estimate Population Proportion

We can use the sample proportion as our best estimate of the population proportion. Therefore, we estimate that 10% of all American adults have ended a relationship by e-mail.

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Key Concepts

These are the key concepts you need to understand to accurately answer the question.

Sample Size
When conducting a survey or experiment, the sample size is a crucial element that can influence the accuracy and reliability of the results. In statistics, the sample size, denoted as n, refers to the number of observations or individuals included in the sample. Choosing an appropriate sample size is critical because it affects the ability to make inferences about a larger population from which the sample is drawn. If the sample size is too small, the results may not be representative of the population, leading to a higher margin of error. Conversely, while larger samples can provide more precise estimates, they are often more expensive and time-consuming to obtain. In the given exercise, the sample size is 1008 American adults, which is generally considered a substantial size for statistical estimation.
Sample Proportion
The sample proportion, typically represented by \( \hat{p} \), is the fraction of the sample that exhibits the characteristic of interest. In our example, the characteristic of interest is the number of individuals who have ended a relationship via e-mail. To calculate the sample proportion, you divide the number of 'successes' (the term used for observations with the desired characteristic) by the total sample size: \( \hat{p} = \frac{X}{n} \). It is crucial to ensure that the number of successes is accurately counted to prevent any skew in the sample proportion. In the exercise, by having 101 individuals out of 1008 who ended a relationship by e-mail, the sample proportion is 0.100, meaning 10% of the sampled population shared this experience.
Successes in Statistics
Successes in statistics don't necessarily mean 'positive' outcomes; instead, they refer to the occurrence of a specific attribute being measured in a study. For example, if you are measuring the rate of a disease, each person with the disease is considered a 'success.' In the context of the exercise, a 'success' is an individual who has ended a relationship through e-mail. It is important when collecting data to clearly define what constitutes a success to maintain consistency throughout the study and ensure that the collected data accurately represents the variable of interest.
Statistical Estimation
Statistical estimation involves using sample data to estimate population parameters. There are two types of estimates: point estimates and interval estimates. A point estimate is a single value estimate of a population parameter, such as the mean or proportion. The sample proportion (\( \hat{p} \) in our example) is a point estimate of the population proportion. An interval estimate, on the other hand, provides a range within which the parameter is expected to lie, with a specified level of confidence. This range is known as the confidence interval. Estimating population parameters from sample statistics must be done with care to avoid bias and to ensure the results are as accurate as possible. The number derived from these estimates, such as the 10% figure in our problem, is used to generalize findings to the larger population, which can be powerful in understanding trends and behaviors at the population level.

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Most popular questions from this chapter

Medical personnel are required to report suspected cases of child abuse. Because some diseases have symptoms that are similar to those of child abuse, doctors who see a child with these symptoms must decide between two competing hypotheses: \(H_{0}:\) symptoms are due to child abuse \(H_{a}:\) symptoms are not due to child abuse (Although these are not hypotheses about a population characteristic, this exercise illustrates the definitions of Type I and Type II errors.) The article "Blurred Line Between IIIness, Abuse Creates Problem for Authorities" (Macon Telegraph, February 28,2000 ) included the following quote from a doctor in Atlanta regarding the consequences of making an incorrect decision: "If it's disease, the worst you have is an angry family. If it is abuse, the other kids (in the family) are in deadly danger." a. For the given hypotheses, describe Type I and Type II errors. b. Based on the quote regarding consequences of the two kinds of error, which type of error is considered more serious by the doctor quoted? Explain.

Give an example of a situation where you would not want to select a very small significance level.

The article "The Benefits of Facebook Friends: Social Capital and College Students' Use of Online Social Network Sites" (Journal of Computer-Mediated Communication [2007]: \(1143-1168\) ) describes a study of \(n=286\) undergraduate students at Michigan State University. Suppose that it is reasonable to regard this sample as a random sample of undergraduates at Michigan State. You want to use the survey data to decide if there is evidence that more than \(75 \%\) of the students at this university have a Facebook page that includes a photo of themselves. Let \(p\) denote the proportion of all Michigan State undergraduates who have such a page. (Hint: See Example 10.10\()\) a. Describe the shape, center, and spread of the sampling distribution of \(\hat{p}\) for random samples of size 286 if the null hypothesis \(H_{0}: p=0.75\) is true. b. Would you be surprised to observe a sample proportion as large as \(\hat{p}=0.83\) for a sample of size 286 if the null hypothesis \(H_{0}: p=0.75\) were true? Explain why or why not. c. Would you be surprised to observe a sample proportion as large as \(\hat{p}=0.79\) for a sample of size 286 if the null hypothesis \(H_{0}: p=0.75\) were true? Explain why or why not. d. The actual sample proportion observed in the study was \(\hat{p}=0.80 .\) Based on this sample proportion, is there convincing evidence that the null hypothesis \(H_{0}: p=\) 0.75 is not true, or is \(\hat{p}\) consistent with what you would expect to see when the null hypothesis is true? Support your answer with a probability calculation.

According to a Washington Post-ABC News poll, 331 of 502 randomly selected American adults said they would not be bothered if the National Security Agency collected records of personal telephone calls. The data were used to test \(H_{0}: p=0.5\) versus \(H_{a}: p>0.5,\) and the null hypothesis was rejected. a. Based on the hypothesis test, what can you conclude about the proportion of American adults who would not be bothered if the National Security Agency collected records of personal telephone calls? b. Is it reasonable to say that the data provide strong support for the alternative hypothesis? c. Is it reasonable to say that the data provide strong evidence against the null hypothesis?

Do state laws that allow private citizens to carry concealed weapons result in a reduced crime rate? The author of a study carried out by the Brookings Institution is reported as saying, "The strongest thing I could say is that I don't see any strong evidence that they are reducing crime" (San Luis Obispo Tribune, January 23,2003 ). a. Is this conclusion consistent with testing \(H_{0}:\) concealed weapons laws reduce crime versus \(H_{a}:\) concealed weapons laws do not reduce crime or with testing \(H_{0}:\) concealed weapons laws do not reduce crime versus \(H_{a}:\) concealed weapons laws reduce crime Explain. b. Does the stated conclusion indicate that the null hypothesis was rejected or not rejected? Explain.

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