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91Ó°ÊÓ

Determine the critical value \(z_{\alpha / 2}\) that corresponds to the given level of confidence. \(90 \%\)

Short Answer

Expert verified
1.645

Step by step solution

01

- Understand the Level of Confidence

The given level of confidence is 90%. This means we want the middle 90% of the normal distribution to be covered, with 5% in each tail.
02

- Find the Area in Each Tail

Since 90% of the distribution is in the middle, the remaining 10% is split between the two tails. Therefore, each tail has an area of 0.05 or 5%.
03

- Find the Z-score Corresponding to the Tail Area

To find the Z-score corresponding to an area of 0.05 in the tail, we look up the cumulative area of 0.95 (since 1 - 0.05 = 0.95) in the Z-table. The Z-score that corresponds to an area of 0.95 is approximately 1.645.
04

- Determine the Critical Value

The critical value, denoted as \(z_{\alpha / 2}\), is the Z-score we found in Step 3, which is 1.645.

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Key Concepts

These are the key concepts you need to understand to accurately answer the question.

Level of Confidence
When we talk about the level of confidence in statistics, we are referring to the probability that a certain range, calculated from the sample data, contains the true population parameter.
For example, a 90% level of confidence means we are 90% certain that the true value lies within our interval.
This interval is determined by the critical value of the Z-score, which corresponds to our desired level of confidence.
The remaining 10% is distributed in the tails of the normal distribution—5% in the left tail and 5% in the right tail.
By understanding this concept, you can have a clear idea of the likelihood that your interval estimate actually contains the real population parameter.
Normal Distribution
The normal distribution, also known as the Gaussian distribution, is a symmetrical, bell-shaped distribution that is commonly used in statistics.
It is defined by its mean and standard deviation, and it has several key properties:
  • The mean, median, and mode of a normal distribution are all equal.
  • The curve is symmetric around the mean.
  • About 68% of the data falls within one standard deviation of the mean.
  • Approximately 95% of the data is within two standard deviations.
  • Nearly all the data (99.7%) lies within three standard deviations.
When dealing with a normal distribution, Z-scores can help determine the number of standard deviations a data point is from the mean.
This is useful in finding probabilities and critical values for statistical tests.
Z-table
A Z-table, also known as the standard normal table, is a mathematical table used to find the cumulative probability associated with a particular Z-score in a standard normal distribution.
The Z-score represents the number of standard deviations a data point is from the mean.
To use a Z-table:
  • Find the Z-score that corresponds to your area of interest. For example, for a 90% confidence level, we look for a Z-score with 95% cumulative probability.
  • Locate the intersection of the row and column that corresponds to your Z-score. This will give you the cumulative probability up to that Z-score.
  • For inverse lookup, match the cumulative probability in the table to find the Z-score.
In the example exercise, we needed to find the Z-score for the area to the left of 0.95, which was found to be approximately 1.645.
This Z-score tells us how far our critical value is from the mean in a standard normal distribution, allowing us to derive the critical values for specified levels of confidence.

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Most popular questions from this chapter

Gallup polled 982 likely voters immediately preceding the 2014 North Carolina senate race. The results of the survey indicated that incumbent Kay Hagan had the support of \(47 \%\) of respondents, while challenger Thom Tillis had support of \(46 \% .\) The poll's margin of error was \(3 \% .\) Gallup suggested the race was too close to call. Use the concept of a confidence interval to explain what this means.

A survey of 2306 adult Americans aged 18 and older conducted by Harris Interactive found that 417 have donated blood in the past two years. (a) Obtain a point estimate for the population proportion of adult Americans aged 18 and older who have donated blood in the past two years. (b) Verify that the requirements for constructing a confidence interval about \(p\) are satisfied. (c) Construct a \(90 \%\) confidence interval for the population proportion of adult Americans who have donated blood in the past two years. (d) Interpret the interval.

Construct the appropriate confidence interval. A simple random sample of size \(n=17\) is drawn from a population that is normally distributed. The sample mean is found to be \(\bar{x}=3.25,\) and the sample standard deviation is found to be \(s=1.17\). Construct a \(95 \%\) confidence interval for the population mean.

What type of variable is required to construct a confidence interval for a population proportion?

Construct the appropriate confidence interval. A simple random sample of size \(n=25\) is drawn from a population that is normally distributed. The sample variance is found to be \(s^{2}=3.97\). Construct a \(95 \%\) confidence interval for the population standard deviation.

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