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What type of variable is required to construct a confidence interval for a population proportion?

Short Answer

Expert verified
A categorical variable with two categories (binary) is required.

Step by step solution

01

Understand the Concept of Population Proportion

A population proportion represents the fraction of the population that has a particular characteristic. For example, in a survey, the population proportion could be the percentage of respondents who prefer a certain product.
02

Identify the Type of Data

The population proportion is derived from categorical data. Categorical variables are those that describe characteristics or attributes and can be divided into groups. Examples include gender, race, yes/no responses, and preferred types of products.
03

Determine the Appropriate Type of Variable

To construct a confidence interval for a population proportion, the variable involved must be a categorical variable that is divided into two categories (binary). For instance, responses such as 'success' or 'failure', 'yes' or 'no' are suitable.

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Key Concepts

These are the key concepts you need to understand to accurately answer the question.

Categorical Data
Categorical data refers to variables that represent characteristics or attributes within a dataset. Unlike numerical data, which deals with quantities and amounts, categorical data is more about grouping and categorizing things into different classes. Examples of categorical data include:
  • Gender (male, female)
  • Race (Caucasian, African American, Hispanic, etc.)
  • Responses (yes, no)
  • Preferred product types (Product A, Product B)
These types of variables are crucial in understanding population proportions. By classifying data into categories, we can easily determine how many members of a population fall into each category. This is essential for calculating proportions and, subsequently, for constructing confidence intervals.
Confidence Interval
A confidence interval provides a range of values that likely contain the true population parameter (such as a population proportion). It is an important statistical tool used when you want to estimate uncertainty about a population parameter based on sample data. Here are the steps to understand how to construct a confidence interval:
  • Sample Proportion: This is your estimate from the data you collected. For example, if 200 people were surveyed and 50 respondents preferred Product A, then the sample proportion is \( \frac{50}{200} = 0.25 \).
  • Margin of Error: This accounts for the fact that your sample may not perfectly represent the population. The margin of error depends on the sample size and the population variability.
  • Confidence Level: This is how confident you are that the true population proportion lies within your interval. Common confidence levels include 90%, 95%, and 99%. For example, a 95% confidence level means that if you were to take 100 different samples and construct a confidence interval from each sample, approximately 95 of those intervals would contain the true population proportion.
The formula for constructing a confidence interval for a population proportion with a given confidence level is: \[ \text{Sample Proportion} \pm \text{Margin of Error} \].
Binary Variables
Binary variables are a specific type of categorical variable that can take one of only two possible values. These values are often coded as 0 or 1 but can also be 'yes' or 'no', 'true' or 'false', etc. Binary variables are particularly useful in constructing confidence intervals for population proportions because they simplify the categorization process.
Some common examples of binary variables include:
  • Success/Failure (such as in a clinical trial)
  • Pass/Fail (such as in a test)
  • Yes/No responses (such as in a survey)
Because binary variables are straightforward to analyze, they make it easier to determine the proportion of the population that exhibits a particular characteristic. When you're working with binary variables, your data analysis becomes more manageable and helps in providing clearer insights for constructing reliable confidence intervals.

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Most popular questions from this chapter

The data sets represent simple random samples from a population whose mean is \(100 .\) $$ \begin{array}{rrrrr} & {\text { Data Set I }} \\ \hline 106 & 122 & 91 & 127 & 88 \\ \hline 74 & 77 & 108 & & \end{array} $$ $$ \begin{array}{rrrrr} \quad{\text { Data Set II }} \\ \hline 106 & 122 & 91 & 127 & 88 \\ \hline 74 & 77 & 108 & 87 & 88 \\ \hline 111 & 86 & 113 & 115 & 97 \\ \hline 122 & 99 & 86 & 83 & 102 \end{array} $$ $$ \begin{array}{rrrrr} {\text { Data Set III }} \\ \hline 106 & 122 & 91 & 127 & 88 \\ \hline 74 & 77 & 108 & 87 & 88 \\ \hline 111 & 86 & 113 & 115 & 97 \\ \hline 122 & 99 & 86 & 83 & 102 \\ \hline 88 & 111 & 118 & 91 & 102 \\ \hline 80 & 86 & 106 & 91 & 116 \end{array} $$ (a) Compute the sample mean of each data set. (b) For each data set, construct a \(95 \%\) confidence interval about the population mean. (c) What effect does the sample size \(n\) have on the width of the interval? For parts \((d)-(e),\) suppose that the data value 106 was accidentally recorded as \(016 .\) (d) For each data set, construct a \(95 \%\) confidence interval about the population mean using the incorrectly entered data. (e) Which intervals, if any, still capture the population mean, 100? What concept does this illustrate?

A Rasmussen Reports national survey of 1000 adult Americans found that \(18 \%\) dreaded Valentine's Day. The margin of error for the survey was 4.5 percentage points with \(95 \%\) confidence. Explain what this means.

The trade volume of a stock is the number of shares traded on a given day. The following data, in millions (so that 6.16 represents 6,160,000 shares traded), represent the volume of PepsiCo stock traded for a random sample of 40 trading days in 2014. \begin{array}{llllllll} \hline 6.16 & 6.39 & 5.05 & 4.41 & 4.16 & 4.00 & 2.37 & 7.71 \\ \hline 4.98 & 4.02 & 4.95 & 4.97 & 7.54 & 6.22 & 4.84 & 7.29 \\ \hline 5.55 & 4.35 & 4.42 & 5.07 & 8.88 & 4.64 & 4.13 & 3.94 \\ \hline 4.28 & 6.69 & 3.25 & 4.80 & 7.56 & 6.96 & 6.67 & 5.04 \\ \hline 7.28 & 5.32 & 4.92 & 6.92 & 6.10 & 6.71 & 6.23 & 2.42 \\ \hline \end{array} (a) Use the data to compute a point estimate for the population mean number of shares traded per day in 2014 (b) Construct a \(95 \%\) confidence interval for the population mean number of shares traded per day in 2014 . Interpret the confidence interval. (c) A second random sample of 40 days in 2014 resulted in the data shown next. Construct another \(95 \%\) confidence interval for the population mean number of shares traded per day in 2014\. Interpret the confidence interval. $$ \begin{array}{llllrlll} \hline 6.12 & 5.73 & 6.85 & 5.00 & 4.89 & 3.79 & 5.75 & 6.04 \\ \hline 4.49 & 6.34 & 5.90 & 5.44 & 10.96 & 4.54 & 5.46 & 6.58 \\ \hline 8.57 & 3.65 & 4.52 & 7.76 & 5.27 & 4.85 & 4.81 & 6.74 \\ \hline 3.65 & 4.80 & 3.39 & 5.99 & 7.65 & 8.13 & 6.69 & 4.37 \\ \hline 6.89 & 5.08 & 8.37 & 5.68 & 4.96 & 5.14 & 7.84 & 3.71 \\ \hline \end{array} $$ (d) Explain why the confidence intervals obtained in parts (b) and (c) are different.

Construct a confidence interval of the population proportion at the given level of confidence. \(x=540, n=900,96 \%\) confidence

The following data represent the number of housing starts predicted for the 2 nd quarter (April through June) of 2014 for a random sample of 40 economists. $$ \begin{array}{rrrrrrrr} \hline 984 & 1260 & 1009 & 992 & 975 & 993 & 1025 & 1164 \\ \hline 1060 & 992 & 1100 & 942 & 1050 & 1047 & 1000 & 938 \\ \hline 1035 & 1030 & 964 & 970 & 1061 & 1067 & 1100 & 1095 \\ \hline 976 & 1012 & 1038 & 929 & 920 & 996 & 990 & 1095 \\ \hline 1178 & 1017 & 980 & 1125 & 964 & 888 & 946 & 1004 \\ \hline \end{array} $$ (a) Draw a histogram of the data. Comment on the shape of the distribution. (b) Draw a boxplot of the data. Are there any outliers? (c) Discuss the need for a large sample size in order to use Student's \(t\) -distribution to obtain a confidence interval for the population mean forecast of the number of housing starts in the second quarter of 2014 (d) Construct a \(95 \%\) confidence interval for the population mean forecast of the number of housing starts in the second quarter of 2014

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