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A jar of peanuts is supposed to have 16 ounces of peanuts. The filling machine inevitably experiences fluctuations in filling, so a quality-control manager randomly samples 12 jars of peanuts from the storage facility and measures their contents. She obtains the following data: $$ \begin{array}{llllll} \hline 15.94 & 15.74 & 16.21 & 15.36 & 15.84 & 15.84 \\ \hline 15.52 & 16.16 & 15.78 & 15.51 & 16.28 & 16.53 \\ \hline \end{array} $$ (a) Verify that the data are normally distributed by constructing a normal probability plot. (b) Determine the sample standard deviation. (c) Construct a \(90 \%\) confidence interval for the population standard deviation of the number of ounces of peanuts. (d) The quality control manager wants the machine to have a population standard deviation below 0.20 ounce. Does the confidence interval validate this desire?

Short Answer

Expert verified
Steps involve verifying normality, calculating mean, finding standard deviation, constructing confidence interval, and comparing it with desired standard deviation. The confidence interval should validate or not validate the desired specification.

Step by step solution

01

Determine Normality with a Normal Probability Plot

A normal probability plot can be used to visually check if the data is normally distributed. If the data points lie roughly along a straight line, the data are considered to be normally distributed. Use statistical software or graphing calculator to generate the normal probability plot for the given data points: 15.94, 15.74, 16.21, 15.36, 15.84, 15.84, 15.52, 16.16, 15.78, 15.51, 16.28, 16.53.
02

Calculate the Sample Mean

Calculate the mean \( \bar{x} \) of the provided data points using the formula: \[ \bar{x} = \frac{\text{sum of all data points}}{n} \] where \( n \) is the number of data points. For the given data: \[ \bar{x} = \frac{15.94 + 15.74 + 16.21 + 15.36 + 15.84 + 15.84 + 15.52 + 16.16 + 15.78 + 15.51 + 16.28 + 16.53}{12} \]
03

Calculate the Sample Standard Deviation

Use the formula for the sample standard deviation: \[ s = \sqrt{ \frac{1}{n-1} \sum_{i=1}^{n} (x_i - \bar{x})^2 } \] Using the mean calculated in Step 2, find the deviations of each data point from the mean, square them, sum them up, and then divide by \( n-1 \). Finally, take the square root of the result.
04

Construct a 90% Confidence Interval for the Population Standard Deviation

The confidence interval for the population standard deviation can be calculated using the chi-square distribution. The formula is: \[ (\frac{(n-1)s^2}{\chi^2_{(1-\frac{\alpha}{2},n-1)}}, \frac{(n-1)s^2}{\chi^2_{(\frac{\alpha}{2},n-1)}}) \] where \( s \) is the sample standard deviation and \( \chi^2 \) is the chi-square critical value corresponding to the desired confidence level. For a 90% confidence interval, \( \alpha = 0.10 \). Obtain the chi-square critical values for 11 degrees of freedom (since \( n = 12 \)).
05

Compare Confidence Interval with Desired Standard Deviation

The quality control manager wants the machine's population standard deviation to be below 0.20 ounce. Compare the confidence interval obtained in Step 4 with 0.20 ounce to see if it falls within the desired range.

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Key Concepts

These are the key concepts you need to understand to accurately answer the question.

Normal Probability Plot
To determine if the data from the jars of peanuts follow a normal distribution, we use a tool called a normal probability plot. This plot helps you visualize the data points against a theoretical normal distribution. If the data points align roughly on a straight line, then we can say the data are normally distributed. To create this plot, you can use statistical software or a graphing calculator. Input your data points (15.94, 15.74, 16.21, 15.36, 15.84, 15.84, 15.52, 16.16, 15.78, 15.51, 16.28, 16.53) and generate the plot. If the resulting graph shows that the data points lie close to a straight line, it confirms the assumption of normality. Understanding if your data is normally distributed is crucial for many statistical methods and tests.
Sample Standard Deviation
The sample standard deviation is a measure of the amount of variation or dispersion in a set of values. To calculate it, follow these steps:
  • Step 1: Find the mean (average) of your data set using the formula:

    \( \overline{x} = \frac{\text{sum of all data points}}{n} \)

    For our data, it will be: \( \overline{x} = \frac{15.94 + 15.74 + 16.21 + 15.36 + 15.84 + 15.84 + 15.52 + 16.16 + 15.78 + 15.51 + 16.28 + 16.53}{12} \)
  • Step 2: Subtract the mean from each data point to find the deviation of each point.
  • Step 3: Square each deviation.
  • Step 4: Sum all the squared deviations.
  • Step 5: Divide this sum by the sample size minus one (n-1) to find the sample variance.
  • Step 6: Finally, take the square root of the variance to get the sample standard deviation (s).

    \( s = \sqrt{ \frac{1}{n-1} \sum_{i=1}^{n} (x_i - \overline{x})^2 } \)
For our data set, this step-by-step method will provide us with the variability in the peanut jar weights.
Confidence Interval
A confidence interval gives us a range of values which is likely to contain an unknown population parameter, such as the population standard deviation. For this problem, we want a 90% confidence interval for the population standard deviation of the number of ounces of peanuts. To construct this interval, we use the chi-square distribution. Here's the formula:

\( \left(\frac{(n-1)s^2}{\chi^2_{(1-\frac{\alpha}{2},n-1)}}, \frac{(n-1)s^2}{\chi^2_{(\frac{\alpha}{2},n-1)}}\right) \)

Where:
  • n is the sample size (12).
  • s is the sample standard deviation we calculated.
  • \( \chi^2 \) is the chi-square critical value corresponding to our confidence level (in this case, 90%).
  • \( \alpha = 1 - 0.90 = 0.10 \)
By plugging in these values and using chi-square tables or software for critical values, we get the appropriate confidence interval. This interval provides a range where we expect the population standard deviation to lie with 90% confidence. It's an essential tool for understanding the variability in our process and determining if the machine is functioning correctly.
Population Standard Deviation
The population standard deviation is a measure of the spread of all possible values of a dataset. Unlike the sample standard deviation which we calculated from our 12 jars, the population standard deviation accounts for the entire population or production from the filling machine. For this problem, the manager desires a population standard deviation lower than 0.20 ounces.

After constructing our 90% confidence interval, we compare it with the desired 0.20 ounces. If the entire confidence interval is below 0.20 ounces, it indicates that the machine's variability meets the manager's standards. However, if 0.20 ounces is within the interval, then we cannot be confident that the machine meets this requirement.

Monitoring the population standard deviation is crucial in quality control, as it helps to maintain consistent product weight, ensuring both customer satisfaction and regulatory compliance.

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Most popular questions from this chapter

Low levels of testosterone in adult males may be treated using AndroGel \(1.62 \% .\) In clinical studies of 234 adult males who were being treated with AndroGel \(1.62 \%,\) it was found that 26 saw their prostate-specific antigen (PSA) elevated. The PSA is a protein produced by cells of the prostate gland. (a) Determine a \(95 \%\) confidence interval for the proportion of adult males treated with AndroGel \(1.62 \%\) who will experience elevated levels of PSA. (b) Determine a \(99 \%\) confidence interval for the proportion of adult males treated with AndroGel \(1.62 \%\) who will experience elevated levels of PSA. (c) What is the impact of increasing the level of confidence on the margin of error?

The American Society for Microbiology (ASM) and the Soap and Detergent Association (SDA) jointly commissioned two separate studies, both of which were conducted by Harris Interactive. In one of the studies, 1001 adults were interviewed by telephone and asked about their handwashing habits. In the telephone interviews, 921 of the adults said they always wash their hands in public restrooms. In the other study, the hand-washing behavior of 6076 adults was inconspicuously observed within public restrooms in four U.S. cities and 4679 of the 6076 adults were observed washing their hands. (a) In the telephone survey, what is the variable of interest? Is it qualitative or quantitative? (b) What is the sample in the telephone survey? What is the population to which this study applies? (c) Verify that the requirements for constructing a confidence interval for the population proportion of adults who say they always wash their hands in public restrooms are satisfied. (d) Using the results from the telephone interviews, construct a \(95 \%\) confidence interval for the proportion of adults who say they always wash their hands in public restrooms. (e) In the study where hand-washing behavior was observed, what is the variable of interest? Is it qualitative or quantitative? (f) We are told that 6076 adults were inconspicuously observed, but were not told how these adults were selected. We know randomness is a key ingredient in statistical studies that allows us to generalize results from a sample to a population. Suggest some ways randomness might have been used to select the individuals in this study. (g) Verify the requirements for constructing a confidence interval for the population proportion of adults who actually washed their hands while in a public restroom. (h) Using the results from the observational study, construct a \(95 \%\) confidence interval for the proportion of adults who wash their hands in public restrooms. (i) Based on your findings in parts (a) through (h), what might you conclude about the proportion of adults who say they always wash their hands versus the proportion of adults who actually wash their hands in public restrooms? (j) Cite some sources of variability in both studies.

Investors not only desire a high return on their money, but they would also like the rate of return to be stable from year to year. An investment manager invests with the goal of reducing volatility (year-to-year fluctuations in the rate of return). The following data represent the rate of return (in percent) for his mutual fund for the past 12 years. $$ \begin{array}{rrrrrr} \hline 13.8 & 15.9 & 10.0 & 12.4 & 11.3 & 6.6 \\ \hline 9.6 & 12.4 & 10.3 & 8.7 & 14.9 & 6.7 \\ \hline \end{array} $$ (a) Verify that the data are normally distributed by constructing a normal probability plot. (b) Determine the sample standard deviation. (c) Construct a \(95 \%\) confidence interval for the population standard deviation of the rate of return. (d) The investment manager wants to have a population standard deviation for the rate of return below \(6 \% .\) Does the confidence interval validate this desire?

The trade volume of a stock is the number of shares traded on a given day. The following data, in millions (so that 6.16 represents 6,160,000 shares traded), represent the volume of PepsiCo stock traded for a random sample of 40 trading days in 2014. \begin{array}{llllllll} \hline 6.16 & 6.39 & 5.05 & 4.41 & 4.16 & 4.00 & 2.37 & 7.71 \\ \hline 4.98 & 4.02 & 4.95 & 4.97 & 7.54 & 6.22 & 4.84 & 7.29 \\ \hline 5.55 & 4.35 & 4.42 & 5.07 & 8.88 & 4.64 & 4.13 & 3.94 \\ \hline 4.28 & 6.69 & 3.25 & 4.80 & 7.56 & 6.96 & 6.67 & 5.04 \\ \hline 7.28 & 5.32 & 4.92 & 6.92 & 6.10 & 6.71 & 6.23 & 2.42 \\ \hline \end{array} (a) Use the data to compute a point estimate for the population mean number of shares traded per day in 2014 (b) Construct a \(95 \%\) confidence interval for the population mean number of shares traded per day in 2014 . Interpret the confidence interval. (c) A second random sample of 40 days in 2014 resulted in the data shown next. Construct another \(95 \%\) confidence interval for the population mean number of shares traded per day in 2014\. Interpret the confidence interval. $$ \begin{array}{llllrlll} \hline 6.12 & 5.73 & 6.85 & 5.00 & 4.89 & 3.79 & 5.75 & 6.04 \\ \hline 4.49 & 6.34 & 5.90 & 5.44 & 10.96 & 4.54 & 5.46 & 6.58 \\ \hline 8.57 & 3.65 & 4.52 & 7.76 & 5.27 & 4.85 & 4.81 & 6.74 \\ \hline 3.65 & 4.80 & 3.39 & 5.99 & 7.65 & 8.13 & 6.69 & 4.37 \\ \hline 6.89 & 5.08 & 8.37 & 5.68 & 4.96 & 5.14 & 7.84 & 3.71 \\ \hline \end{array} $$ (d) Explain why the confidence intervals obtained in parts (b) and (c) are different.

Determine the point estimate of the population mean and margin of error for each confidence interval. Lower bound: \(5,\) upper bound: 23

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