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91Ó°ÊÓ

State the Central Limit Theorem

Short Answer

Expert verified
The Central Limit Theorem states that the distribution of sample means approximates a normal distribution as the sample size becomes large, regardless of the population's distribution.

Step by step solution

01

Title - Introduction to the Central Limit Theorem

The Central Limit Theorem (CLT) is a fundamental principle in probability and statistics. It explains how the distribution of sample means approximates a normal distribution, even if the original population distribution is not normal.
02

Title - Conditions for the Central Limit Theorem

The theorem applies under the following conditions: 1. The sample size must be sufficiently large (usually n > 30).2. Samples must be independent of each other.3. The population from which samples are taken has a finite mean and variance.
03

Title - Statement of the Central Limit Theorem

The Central Limit Theorem states: Given a sufficiently large sample size from a population with a finite mean \(\mu\) and variance \(\sigma^{2}\), the distribution of the sample means will be approximately normally distributed with mean \(\mu\) and standard deviation \(\frac{\sigma}{\sqrt{n}}\). This can be expressed as: \[ \bar{X} \sim N(\mu, \frac{\sigma}{\sqrt{n}}) \] where \(\bar{X}\) is the sample mean.

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Key Concepts

These are the key concepts you need to understand to accurately answer the question.

Probability
Probability is a branch of mathematics that deals with the likelihood of different outcomes. Think of it as a measure of how likely something is to happen. When flipping a coin, there are two possible outcomes: heads or tails. The probability of each outcome is 50%. Probability ranges from 0 to 1, where 0 means an event will not happen and 1 means it definitely will happen.

In the context of the Central Limit Theorem, probability helps us understand the chance of various sample means. As we take more samples, we can predict how these sample means will distribute around the population mean. This predictive power is crucial in statistics.
Normal Distribution
The normal distribution is a common type of continuous probability distribution. It is symmetric around its mean, with data near the mean being more frequent in occurrence than data far from the mean. This creates a bell-shaped curve when graphed. A key feature of the normal distribution is that it is described by its mean \(\mu\) and standard deviation \(\sigma\).

The Central Limit Theorem states that as the sample size increases, the distribution of the sample means becomes approximately normal, regardless of the shape of the population distribution. This is significant because it allows us to apply normal distribution techniques even when we don’t know the original population distribution.
Sample Size
Sample size refers to the number of observations in a sample. It's a crucial concept in the Central Limit Theorem because a larger sample size tends to result in a more accurate estimate of the population mean. Usually, a sample size \(n > 30\) is considered large enough for the Central Limit Theorem to hold true.

With a larger sample size, individual peculiarities average out, making the sample mean more reliable. Statisticians say that a larger sample size leads to a smaller standard error, which means the sample mean is closer to the true population mean.
Sample Mean
The sample mean is the average of the observations in a sample. It is denoted as \(\bar{X}\). Calculating the sample mean involves summing all the observation values and then dividing by the number of observations. The sample mean is used as an estimate of the population mean \(\mu\).

According to the Central Limit Theorem, no matter what the shape of the population distribution is, the distribution of the sample mean \(\bar{X}\) will tend to follow a normal distribution as the sample size increases. This property of the sample mean is incredibly powerful for making inferences about the population.

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Most popular questions from this chapter

The reading speed of second grade students is approximately normal, with a mean of 90 words per minute (wpm) and a standard deviation of 10 wpm. (a) What is the probability a randomly selected student will read more than 95 words per minute? (b) What is the probability that a random sample of 12 second grade students results in a mean reading rate of more than 95 words per minute? (c) What is the probability that a random sample of 24 second grade students results in a mean reading rate of more than 95 words per minute? (d) What effect does increasing the sample size have on the probability? Provide an explanation for this result. (e) A teacher instituted a new reading program at school. After 10 weeks in the program, it was found that the mean reading speed of a random sample of 20 second grade students was 92.8 wpm. What might you conclude based on this result? (f) There is a \(5 \%\) chance that the mean reading speed of a random sample of 20 second grade students will exceed what value?

What happens to the standard deviation of \(\hat{p}\) as the sample size increases? If the sample size is increased by a factor of 4 what happens to the standard deviation of \(\hat{p} ?\)

A simple random sample of size \(n=36\) is obtained from a population with \(\mu=64\) and \(\sigma=18\). (a) Describe the sampling distribution of \(\bar{x}\). (b) What is \(P(\bar{x}<62.6) ?\) (c) What is \(P(\bar{x} \geq 68.7) ?\) (d) What is \(P(59.8<\bar{x}<65.9) ?\)

The upper leg length of 20 - to 29 -year-old males is normally distributed with a mean length of \(43.7 \mathrm{~cm}\) and a standard deviation of \(4.2 \mathrm{~cm} .\) Source: "Anthropometric Reference Data for Children and Adults: U.S. Population, 1999-2002"; Volume 361, July 7, 2005. (a) What is the probability that a randomly selected 20 - to 29 -yearold male has an upper leg length that is less than \(40 \mathrm{~cm} ?\) (b) A random sample of 9 males who are 20 to 29 years old is obtained. What is the probability that the mean upper leg length is less than \(40 \mathrm{~cm} ?\) (c) What is the probability that a random sample of 12 males who are \(20-29\) years old results in a mean upper leg length that is less than \(40 \mathrm{~cm} ?\) (d) What effect does increasing the sample size have on the probability? Provide an explanation for this result. (e) A random sample of 15 males who are \(20-29\) years old results in a mean upper leg length of \(46 \mathrm{~cm} .\) Do you find this result unusual? Why?

The quality-control manager of a Long John Silver's restaurant wants to analyze the length of time that a car spends at the drive-through window waiting for an order. It is determined that the mean time spent at the window is 59.3 seconds with a standard deviation of 13.1 seconds. The distribution of time at the window is skewed right (data based on information provided by Danica Williams, student at Joliet Junior College). (a) To obtain probabilities regarding a sample mean using the normal model, what size sample is required? (b) The quality-control manager wishes to use a new delivery system designed to get cars through the drive-through system faster. A random sample of 40 cars results in a sample mean time spent at the window of 56.8 seconds. What is the probability of obtaining a sample mean of 56.8 seconds or less, assuming that the population mean is 59.3 seconds? Do you think that the new system is effective? (c) Treat the next 50 cars that arrive as a simple random sample. There is a \(15 \%\) chance the mean time will be at or below ____ seconds

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