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Assume that the random variable \(X\) is normally distributed, with mean \(\mu=50\) and standard deviation \(\sigma=7 .\) Compute the following probabilities. Be sure to draw a normal curve with the area corresponding to the probability shaded. \(P(X \leq 45)\)

Short Answer

Expert verified
The probability \(P(X \leq 45)\) is approximately 0.2375.

Step by step solution

01

Identify the Given Information

Recognize the values provided in the problem: mean \(\mu=50\) and standard deviation \(\sigma=7\). We need to compute the probability \(P(X \leq 45)\).
02

Standardize the Variable

Convert the variable \(X\) into a standard normal variable \(Z\) using the formula: \[Z = \frac{X - \mu}{\sigma}\]Here, \(X = 45\), so:divide(-7)(7)\equiv Z = \frac{45 - 50}{7} = \frac{-5}{7} = -0.7143\.
03

Find the Corresponding Probability

Using the standard normal distribution table (Z-table), find the probability that corresponds to \(Z \leq -0.7143\).The table gives us \(P(Z \leq -0.7143) \approx 0.2375\).
04

Draw and Shade the Normal Curve

Draw a standard normal distribution curve centered at \(Z = 0\). Shade the area to the left of \(Z = -0.7143\), representing \(P(Z \leq -0.7143)\). This shaded area corresponds to the solution for \(P(X \leq 45)\).

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Key Concepts

These are the key concepts you need to understand to accurately answer the question.

Standard Normal Variable
Normal distribution describes how values of a variable are spread around the mean. It forms a bell-shaped curve. For practical work, we convert normal variables into a standard normal variable, often denoted as \(Z\). This process is called standardization. The purpose of standardization is to compare different normal distributions or to use standard tables with pre-calculated probabilities.
The standard normal variable \(Z\) is defined using the formula:
\[ Z = \frac{X - \mu}{\sigma} \]
where:
  • \(X\) is the original variable.
  • \(\mu\) is the mean of the distribution.
  • \(\sigma\) is the standard deviation of the distribution.

By applying this formula, we transform the original value into a standardized value. This value then corresponds to specific locations on the Z-table, making it easier to find related probabilities.
Z-score Calculation
Calculating the Z-score is a critical step in many probability problems involving normal distribution. The Z-score tells us how many standard deviations an element is from the mean. To compute it, you can use the formula:
\[ Z = \frac{X - \mu}{\sigma} \]
Let's break it down with an example:
Given: \(X = 45\), \(\mu = 50\), and \(\sigma = 7\). Plug these values into the formula:
\[ Z = \frac{45 - 50}{7} \approx -0.7143 \]
Here, the Z-score of -0.7143 indicates that 45 is approximately 0.7143 standard deviations below the mean. This calculated Z-score can then be used to find probabilities using the Z-table.
The Z-score calculation helps standardize different variables, allowing us to use standard probability tables effectively.
Probability Using Z-table
Finding probability using the Z-table is the next step after calculating the Z-score. A Z-table, or standard normal table, provides the probability that a standard normal variable is less than or equal to a given Z-value. For our example, we calculated a Z-score of -0.7143.
Here's how to use the Z-table:
  • First, locate the value -0.71 in the first column (Z-values up to the tenth place).
  • Next, in the top row, locate 0.0043 (hundredth place of Z, the final digit of -0.7143).
  • Find the intersection where the row and column meet. This gives the probability for \(Z \le -0.7143\).

The Z-table indicates that \(P(Z \le -0.7143)\) is approximately 0.2375. Thus, the probability that \(X \le 45\) in our original problem is 0.2375, which corresponds to the shaded area under the standard normal curve.

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Most popular questions from this chapter

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