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The reaction time \(X\) (in minutes) of a certain chemical process follows a uniform probability distribution with \(5 \leq X \leq 10 .\) (a) Draw the graph of the density curve. (b) What is the probability that the reaction time is between 6 and 8 minutes? (c) What is the probability that the reaction time is between 5 and 8 minutes? (d) What is the probability that the reaction time is less than 6 minutes?

Short Answer

Expert verified
The probabilities are 0.4, 0.6, and 0.2, respectively.

Step by step solution

01

Determine the Uniform Distribution Parameters

Identify that the reaction time follows a uniform distribution from 5 to 10 minutes, so the parameters are: \(a = 5\) and \(b = 10\).
02

Draw the Density Curve

The probability density function (pdf) for a uniform distribution is given by: \(f(x) = \frac{1}{b-a} = \frac{1}{10-5} = \frac{1}{5}\). The graph of the density curve is a horizontal line at \(y = \frac{1}{5}\) from \(x = 5\) to \(x = 10\).
03

Compute the Probability for 6 to 8 Minutes

To calculate the probability that the reaction time is between 6 and 8 minutes: \[ P(6 \leq X \leq 8) = (8 - 6) \times f(x) = (8 - 6) \times \frac{1}{5} = \frac{2}{5} = 0.4\]
04

Compute the Probability for 5 to 8 Minutes

To calculate the probability that the reaction time is between 5 and 8 minutes: \[ P(5 \leq X \leq 8) = (8 - 5) \times f(x) = (8 - 5) \times \frac{1}{5} = \frac{3}{5} = 0.6\]
05

Compute the Probability for Less than 6 Minutes

To calculate the probability that the reaction time is less than 6 minutes: \[ P(X < 6) = (6 - 5) \times f(x) = (6 - 5) \times \frac{1}{5} = \frac{1}{5} = 0.2\]

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Key Concepts

These are the key concepts you need to understand to accurately answer the question.

Probability Density Function
A Probability Density Function (pdf) is essential when working with continuous probability distributions. For a uniform distribution, the pdf is particularly straightforward. It represents the likelihood of the random variable falling within a particular range.

The formula for the pdf of a uniform distribution, where the range of values is from \(a\) to \(b\), is given by:
\[f(x) = \frac{1}{b-a}\]

In our example, where the reaction time \(X\) ranges from 5 to 10 minutes, the pdf becomes:
\[f(x) = \frac{1}{10-5} = \frac{1}{5}\]

This means that the probability is evenly distributed over the interval from 5 to 10 minutes. The graph of this pdf is a horizontal line at \(\frac{1}{5}\) between these two points, depicting the uniform nature of the distribution.

Understanding this function helps us calculate the probabilities of different ranges.
Calculating Probabilities
In a uniform distribution, calculating probabilities involves determining the area under the pdf curve for a given interval. Since the total area under the curve is 1, for any sub-interval, the area (and thus the probability) is simply the length of the sub-interval multiplied by the height of the pdf.

Let's break down the calculations from the exercise:

  • Probability for 6 to 8 Minutes:
    Using the interval 6 to 8, we find:
    \[P(6 \leq X \leq 8) = (8-6) \times f(x) = (8-6) \times \frac{1}{5} = \frac{2}{5} = 0.4\]
    This indicates there's a 40% chance the reaction time is between 6 and 8 minutes.

  • Probability for 5 to 8 Minutes:
    Here, extending the interval to 5 to 8, we get:
    \[P(5 \leq X \leq 8) = (8-5) \times f(x) = (8-5) \times \frac{1}{5} = \frac{3}{5} = 0.6\]
    This tells us there's a 60% chance the reaction time falls in this range.

  • Probability for Less than 6 Minutes:
    For the interval from 5 to less than 6 minutes:
    \[P(X < 6) = (6-5) \times f(x) = (6-5) \times \frac{1}{5} = \frac{1}{5} = 0.2\]
    This translates to a 20% chance of the reaction time being less than 6 minutes.

By understanding these basic properties, calculating probabilities in a uniform distribution becomes quite manageable.
Uniform Probability Distribution
A Uniform Probability Distribution is characterized by all outcomes within a certain range being equally likely. This perfect balance makes the calculations simple, as the probability for any interval is directly related to its length.

For our reaction time example spanning from 5 to 10 minutes:

  • Equal Likelihood: The reaction time is just as likely to be at any minute within the specified range as any other minute within that same range.

  • Graph Representation: The density curve is flat, reflecting the constant pdf. Every section of the interval [5, 10] has an equal contribution to the total probability.

  • Total Area Under Curve: The area under the probability density function curve between 5 and 10 is equal to 1, aligning with the definition of probability.

In practice, uniform distributions are often simplified models but are very effective for understanding fundamental probability concepts.

They are used in various fields ranging from manufacturing (where every item in a batch might be assumed to have an equal chance of a particular measurement within specifications) to natural processes (like the reaction times in our example).

This forms a solid foundation for understanding more complex distributions in future studies.

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