/*! This file is auto-generated */ .wp-block-button__link{color:#fff;background-color:#32373c;border-radius:9999px;box-shadow:none;text-decoration:none;padding:calc(.667em + 2px) calc(1.333em + 2px);font-size:1.125em}.wp-block-file__button{background:#32373c;color:#fff;text-decoration:none} Problem 26 Decide whether the problem requi... [FREE SOLUTION] | 91Ó°ÊÓ

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Decide whether the problem requires a confidence interval or hypothesis test, and determine the variable of interest. For any problem requiring a confidence interval, state whether the confidence interval will be for a population proportion or population mean. For any problem requiring a hypothesis test, write the null and alternative hypothesis. According to the Pew Research Center, \(55 \%\) of adult Americans support the death penalty for those convicted of murder. A social scientist wondered whether a higher proportion of adult Americans with at least a bachelor's degree support the death penalty for those convicted of murder.

Short Answer

Expert verified
Requires a hypothesis test. Variable: proportion of adult Americans with a bachelor's degree who support the death penalty. H_0: p = 0.55 H_a: p > 0.55

Step by step solution

01

- Identify the Problem Type

Determine whether the problem requires a confidence interval or hypothesis test. Since the problem involves investigating whether a higher proportion of a specific group (adult Americans with at least a bachelor's degree) supports the death penalty compared to the general population, it requires a hypothesis test.
02

- Define the Variable of Interest

Identify the variable of interest. In this context, the variable of interest is the proportion of adult Americans with at least a bachelor’s degree who support the death penalty.
03

- Write the Null and Alternative Hypotheses

Formulate the hypotheses for the hypothesis test. The null hypothesis (H_0) is that the proportion of adult Americans with at least a bachelor’s degree who support the death penalty is equal to 55%. The alternative hypothesis (H_a) is that this proportion is greater than 55%. ewlineH_0: p = 0.55 H_a: p > 0.55

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Key Concepts

These are the key concepts you need to understand to accurately answer the question.

Null Hypothesis
When we talk about the 'null hypothesis' in hypothesis testing, we refer to a statement that assumes there is no significant difference or effect. In our specific problem, the null hypothesis (denoted as H_0) suggests that the proportion of adult Americans with at least a bachelor’s degree who support the death penalty is equal to the general population proportion, which is 55%. To write it mathematically, we express it as:
H_0: p = 0.55.
Here, 'p' stands for the population proportion of adult Americans with at least a bachelor's degree who support the death penalty. The role of the null hypothesis is to provide a baseline or starting point for our statistical test. It is what we test against to see if there is enough evidence to suggest that the alternative hypothesis might be true.
Alternative Hypothesis
The 'alternative hypothesis' (denoted as H_a) is the statement we aim to support by conducting our hypothesis test. It suggests that there is a significant difference or effect. In our scenario, the alternative hypothesis posits that a higher proportion of adult Americans with at least a bachelor's degree support the death penalty compared to the general population. Mathematically, it can be written as:
H_a: p > 0.55.
Here, the symbol '>' signifies that we are specifically interested in whether 'p' is greater than 0.55. This makes our hypothesis test a one-tailed or one-sided test, where we are investigating if the population proportion exceeds a specific value. The alternative hypothesis is critical because it defines the direction of the test and what we are trying to demonstrate through statistical evidence.
Population Proportion
The 'population proportion' is a parameter that describes the fraction of individuals in a population who possess a particular characteristic. In this problem, the population proportion (denoted as 'p') is the proportion of adult Americans with at least a bachelor's degree who support the death penalty for those convicted of murder. Understanding population proportions is vital because they allow researchers to infer insights about an entire population based on a sample.
For example, if we survey a group of adult Americans with at least a bachelor's degree and find that 60% support the death penalty, this sample proportion (denoted as \( \hat{p} \)) helps estimate the true population proportion. Subsequently, probability theory and inferential statistics like hypothesis testing can aid in determining if this sample result is statistically significant or just due to random sampling variability.
Confidence Interval
A 'confidence interval' provides a range of values within which we expect the true population parameter to fall, given a certain level of confidence. While our primary task here involves hypothesis testing, it's essential to understand how confidence intervals complement hypothesis tests. For instance, if we wanted to estimate the population proportion of adult Americans with at least a bachelor's degree who support the death penalty, we might collect a sample, calculate the sample proportion (\( \hat{p} \)), and then construct a confidence interval around this estimate.
This confidence interval typically takes the form of:
\[ (\hat{p} - E, \hat{p} + E ) \]
where \( E \) represents the margin of error, which depends on the desired confidence level (e.g., 95%) and the standard error of the proportion. Consequently, a 95% confidence interval provides us with a range that, we can be 95% certain, contains the true population proportion. This process ensures a broader understanding of the data and strengthens the validity of the hypothesis testing results.

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Most popular questions from this chapter

A can of soda is labeled as containing 12 fluid ounces. The quality control manager wants to verify that the filling machine is neither over-filling nor under-filling the cans. (a) Determine the null and alternative hypotheses that would be used to determine if the filling machine is calibrated correctly. (b) The quality control manager obtains a sample of 75 cans and measures the contents. The sample evidence leads the manager to reject the null hypothesis. Write a conclusion for this hypothesis test. (c) Suppose, in fact, the machine is not out of calibration. Has a Type I or Type II error been made? (d) Management has informed the quality control department that it does not want to shut down the filling machine unless the evidence is overwhelming that the machine is out of calibration. What level of significance would you recommend the quality control manager use? Explain.

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Based on historical birthing records, the proportion of males born worldwide is \(0.51 .\) In other words, the commonly held belief that boys are just as likely as girls is false. Systematic lupus erythematosus (SLE), or lupus for short, is a disease in which one's immune system attacks healthy cells and tissue by mistake. It is well known that lupus tends to exist more in females than in males Researchers wondered, however, if families with a child who had lupus had a lower ratio of males to females than the general population. If this were true, it would suggest that something happens during conception that causes males to be conceived at a lower rate when the SLE gene is present. To determine if this hypothesis is true, the researchers obtained records of families with a child who had SLE A total of 23 males and 79 females were found to have SLE. The 23 males with SL \(E\) had \(a\) total of 23 male siblings and 22 female siblings The 79 females with SLE had a total of 69 male siblings and 80 female siblings Source L.N. Moorthy, M.G.E. Peterson, K.B. Onel, and T.J.A. Lehman. "Do Children with Lupus Have Fewer Male Siblings" Laprus 2008 \(17: 128-131,2008\) (a) Explain why this is an observational study. (b) Is the study retrospective or prospective? Why? (c) There are a total of \(23+69=92\) male siblings in the study How many female siblings are in the study? (d) Draw a relative frequency bar graph of gender of the siblings. (e) Find a point estimate for the proportion of male siblings in families where one of the children has SLE (f) Does the sample evidence suggest that the proportion of male siblings in families where one of the children has SLE is less than 0.51 , the accepted proportion of males born in the general population? Use the \(\alpha=0.05\) level of significance. (g) Construct a \(95 \%\) confidence interval for the proportion of male siblings in a family where one of the children has SLE.

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