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A manufacturer of high-strength, lowalloy steel beams requires that the standard deviation of yield strength not exceed 7000 pounds per square inch (psi). The quality-control manager selected a sample of 20 steel beams and measured their yield strength. The standard deviation of the sample was 7500 psi. Assume that yield strengths are normally distributed. Does the evidence suggest that the standard deviation of yield strength exceeds 7000 psi at the \(\alpha=0.01\) level of significance?

Short Answer

Expert verified
Do not reject \textbf{\text{H}}_0. There is insufficient evidence to suggest the standard deviation exceeds 7000 psi at the \(\alpha=0.01 \) level.

Step by step solution

01

- State the Hypotheses

We need to set up the null and alternative hypotheses. The null hypothesis (\textbf{\text{H}}_0) is that the population standard deviation is 7000 psi, i.e., \( \textbf{\text{H}}_0: \sigma = 7000 \). The alternative hypothesis (\textbf{\text{H}}_a) is that the population standard deviation exceeds 7000 psi, i.e., \( \textbf{\text{H}}_a: \sigma > 7000 \).
02

- Determine the Test Statistic

Since we are testing a sample standard deviation against a population standard deviation, we use the chi-square distribution. The test statistic is given by: \[ \chi^2 = \frac{(n-1)s^2}{\theta^2} \] where \( n \) is the sample size, \( s \) is the sample standard deviation, and \( \theta \) is the population standard deviation. Thus, \[ \chi^2 = \frac{(20-1)(7500)^2}{(7000)^2} = \frac{19(56250000)}{49000000} = 21.806 \]
03

- Determine the Degrees of Freedom and the Critical Value

The degrees of freedom for this test is \( n-1=20-1=19 \). We need to find the critical value of \( \chi^2 \) at \(\alpha=0.01 \)for a chi-square distribution with 19 degrees of freedom. Consulting the chi-square table, the critical value is \[ \chi^2_{0.01,19 }= 36.19. \]
04

- Make the Decision

Since our calculated test statistic \( \chi^2 = 21.806 \) is less than the critical value 36.19, we do not reject the null hypothesis.
05

- Conclusion

At the \(\alpha=0.01 \) level of significance, there is not enough evidence to suggest that the standard deviation of yield strength exceeds 7000 psi.

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Key Concepts

These are the key concepts you need to understand to accurately answer the question.

Chi-Square Distribution
In hypothesis testing, the chi-square distribution is critical for various types of tests, especially tests involving the population variance. It is essential when you want to understand the variability within your data based on a sample. The chi-square distribution is asymmetric and its shape depends on the degrees of freedom (df). The more degrees of freedom, the more the distribution looks like a normal distribution. For our problem, we use the chi-square distribution because we are comparing our sample standard deviation to a known population standard deviation. The formula to compute the test statistic is: $$\chi^2 = \frac{(n-1)s^2}{\theta^2}$$ where \(n\) is the sample size, \(s\) is the sample standard deviation, and \(\theta\) is the population standard deviation. The test statistic follows a chi-square distribution with \(n-1\) degrees of freedom.
Sample Standard Deviation
The sample standard deviation measures the dispersion of sample data points around the sample mean. It is crucial when estimating and making conclusions about the population. The formula for sample standard deviation (s) is: $$s = \sqrt{\frac{\sum (X_i - \overline{X})^2}{n-1}}$$ where \(X_i\) are the sample data points, \(\overline{X}\) is the sample mean, and \(n\) is the sample size. In our exercise, the sample standard deviation is 7500 psi. We use this value in our test statistic formula to compare against the population standard deviation of 7000 psi.
Level of Significance
The level of significance (\(\alpha\)) is the probability of rejecting the null hypothesis when it is actually true. It is a threshold set by the researcher before conducting the hypothesis test. Common levels of significance are \(0.05\), \(0.01\), and \(0.10\). For our exercise, the level of significance is \(0.01\). This means there is a 1% risk of concluding that the population standard deviation is greater than 7000 psi when it actually is not. We use this \(\alpha\) value to determine the critical value from the chi-square distribution table.
Alternative Hypothesis
The alternative hypothesis (\(H_a\)) represents what we are trying to prove. It contradicts the null hypothesis (\(H_0\)). In our scenario, the null hypothesis is that the population standard deviation is 7000 psi (\(\sigma = 7000\)). The alternative hypothesis states that the population standard deviation exceeds 7000 psi (\(\sigma > 7000\)). We seek to gather evidence to support this claim using our sample data. If our test statistic exceeds the critical value from the chi-square distribution, we reject the null hypothesis in favor of the alternative. However, in this problem, the computed chi-square is less than the critical chi-square value, leading us to not reject the null hypothesis.

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Most popular questions from this chapter

In Problems \(9-14,\) the null and alternative hypotheses are given. Determine whether the hypothesis test is lefi-tailed, right-tailed, or two-tailed. What parameter is being tested? \(H_{0}: \mu=120\) \(H_{1}: \mu<120\)

To test \(H_{0}: p=0.30\) versus \(H_{1}: p<0.30,\) a simple random sample of \(n=300\) individuals is obtained and \(x=86\) successes are observed. (a) What does it mean to make a Type II error for this test? (b) If the researcher decides to test this hypothesis at the \(\alpha=0.05\) level of significance, compute the probability of making a Type II error if the true population proportion is \(0.28 .\) What is the power of the test? (c) Redo part (b) if the true population proportion is 0.25 .

In \(2000,58 \%\) of females aged 15 and older lived alone, according to the U.S. Census Bureau. A sociologist tests whether this percentage is different today by conducting a random sample of 500 females aged 15 and older and finds that 285 are living alone. Is there sufficient evidence at the \(\alpha=0.1\) level of significance to conclude the proportion has changed since \(2000 ?\)

In Problems \(9-14,\) the null and alternative hypotheses are given. Determine whether the hypothesis test is lefi-tailed, right-tailed, or two-tailed. What parameter is being tested? \(H_{0}: p=0.76\) \(H_{1}: p>0.76\)

Suppose we are testing the hypothesis \(H_{0}: p=0.3\) versus \(H_{1}: p>0.3\) and we find the \(P\) -value to be \(0.23 .\) Explain what this means. Would you reject the null hypothesis? Why?

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