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Question: Manipulating rates of return with stock splits. Some firms have been accused of using stock splits to manipulate their stock prices before being acquired by another firm. An article in Financial Management (Winter 2008) investigated the impact of stock splits on long-run stock performance for acquiring firms. A simplified version of the model fit by the researchers follows:

E(y)=0+1x1+2x2+3x1x2

where

y = Firm鈥檚 3-year buy-and-hold return rate (%)

x1 = {1 if stock split prior to acquisition, 0 if not}

x2 = {1 if firm鈥檚 discretionary accrual is high, 0 if discretionary accrual is low}

a. In terms of the 尾鈥檚 in the model, what is the mean buy and- hold return rate (BAR) for a firm with no stock split and a high discretionary accrual (DA)?

b. In terms of the 尾鈥檚 in the model, what is the mean BAR for a firm with no stock split and a low DA?

c. For firms with no stock split, find the difference between the mean BAR for firms with high and low DA. (Hint: Use your answers to parts a and b.)

d. Repeat part c for firms with a stock split.

e. Note that the differences, parts c and d, are not the same. Explain why this illustrates the notion of interaction between x1 and x2.

f. A test for H0: 尾3 = 0 yielded a p-value of 0.027. Using 伪 = .05, interpret this result.

g. The researchers reported that the estimated values of both 尾2 and 尾3 are negative. Consequently, they conclude that 鈥渉igh-DA acquirers perform worse compared with low-DA acquirers. Moreover, the underperformance is even greater if high-DA acquirers have a stock split before acquisition.鈥 Do you agree?

Short Answer

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Answers

a. In terms of 尾鈥檚 in the model, mean BAR = (尾0 + 尾2颅)

b. In terms of 尾鈥檚 in the model, the mean BAR = 尾0

c. Mean Bar level for firms with high and low DA = (尾0 + 尾2颅) - 尾0= 尾2

d. Mean Bar level for firms with stock split and no stock split = (尾0 + 尾1颅) - 尾0= 尾1

e. The answers in part c and part d are different, this might indicate towards some interaction amongst the two variable of stock split and discretionary accrual. Interaction exists in a model when there is some correlation amongst the two variable.

f. At 95% confidence level 尾3 = 0 meaning there鈥檚 no interaction between x1 and x2.

g. Negative sign of the 尾2 value denotes that there鈥檚 an inverse relation between BAR and discretionary accrual meaning that for the value of x2 = 1, the base level of x2 = 0 will have higher value. Similarly, for Negative sign of the 尾3 value denotes that there鈥檚 an inverse relation between BAR and the interaction between discretionary accrual and stock split indicating that high DA acquirers with stock splits underperforms than low DA acquirers with stock split.

Step by step solution

01

Interpretation of β

In terms of 尾鈥檚 in the model, the mean buy-and-hold return rate (BAR) for a firm with no stock split and a high discretionary accrual (DA) can be computed when the value of x1= 0 and x2 = 1;

Therefore, in terms of 尾鈥檚 in the model, mean BAR = (尾0 + 尾2颅)

02

Interpretation of β

In terms of 尾鈥檚 in the model, the mean buy-and-hold return rate (BAR) for a firm with no stock split and a low discretionary accrual (DA) can be computed when the value of x1= 0 and x2 = 0, this essentially is the base level;

Therefore, in terms of 尾鈥檚 in the model, the mean BAR = 尾0

03

Interpretation of β

For firms with no stock split, the difference between the mean BAR for firms with high and low DA can be computed by subtracting the mean BAR level for firms with no stock split and high DA with the firms with mean BAR level with no stock split and low DA;

mean BAR for firms with no stock split and high DA = (尾0 + 尾2颅)

mean BAR for firms with no stock split and low DA = 尾0

Therefore, mean Bar level for firms with high and low DA = (尾0 + 尾2颅) - 尾0= 尾2

04

Interpretation of β

For firms with no DA, the difference between the mean BAR for firms with stock split and no stock split can be computed by subtracting the mean BAR level for firms with stock split and no DA with the firms with mean BAR level with no stock split and no DA;

mean BAR for firms with stock split and no DA = (尾0 + 尾1颅)

mean BAR for firms with no stock split and low DA = 尾0

Therefore, mean Bar level for firms with stock split and no stock split = (尾0 + 尾1颅) - 尾0= 尾1

05

Interaction term

The answers in part c and part d are different, this might indicate towards some interaction amongst the two variable of stock split and discretionary accrual. Interaction exists in a model when there is some correlation amongst the two variable.

06

Hypothesis testing

H0: 尾3 = 0 while Ha: 尾3 鈮 0 yielded a p-value of 0.027. Using 伪

Here, H0 is rejected if p-value < 伪. Since p-value = 0.027 and 伪 = 0.05

There鈥檚 sufficient evidence to reject H0 at 95% confidence level

Therefore, 尾3 = 0 meaning there鈥檚 no interaction between x1 and x2.

07

Interpretation of β

Negative sign of the 尾2 value denotes that there鈥檚 an inverse relation between BAR and discretionary accrual meaning that for the value of x2 = 1, the base level of x2 = 0 will have higher value.

Similarly, for Negative sign of the 尾3 value denotes that there鈥檚 an inverse relation between BAR and the interaction between discretionary accrual and stock split indicating that high DA acquirers with stock splits underperforms than low DA acquirers with stock split.

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