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Suppose for the previous problem a sample of 15 operations is obtained and the sample mean of these operations is \(6.87\) minutes with a standard deviation of 4 minute. Would these results indicate that the worker deviates from the standard of \(6.4\) minutes at a \(1 \%\) level of significance?

Short Answer

Expert verified
In this hypothesis test, we have a sample of 15 operations with a sample mean of 6.87 minutes and a standard deviation of 4 minutes. We want to determine whether the worker deviates from the standard of 6.4 minutes. Using a two-tailed t-test with a 1% level of significance (α = 0.01) and degrees of freedom (DF) = 14, we calculate the test statistic as t = 1.175. The critical values for this test are approximately ±2.977. Since the calculated t-score is not within the rejection region (-2.977, 2.977), we fail to reject the null hypothesis. Therefore, we cannot conclude that the worker deviates from the standard of 6.4 minutes at a 1% level of significance.

Step by step solution

01

State the null and alternative hypothesis

The null hypothesis (H0) is that there is no difference between the worker's mean time spent on operations and the standard time of 6.4 minutes. The alternative hypothesis (H1) is that there is a difference. H0: μ = 6.4 H1: μ ≠ 6.4
02

Determine the level of significance

The problem states that we need to determine whether the worker deviates from the standard time at a 1% level of significance. This means that α = 0.01.
03

Calculate the test statistic

To perform the hypothesis test, we will use a t-test, since the sample size is small (n = 15). The test statistic (t-score) can be calculated using the formula: t = \(\frac{\bar{x} – μ0}{(s/\sqrt n)}\) where t = test statistic \(\bar{x}\) = sample mean (6.87 minutes) μ0 = hypothesized mean (6.4 minutes) s = sample standard deviation (4 minutes) n = sample size (15) Plugging in the values, we get: t = \(\frac{6.87 – 6.4}{(4/\sqrt 15)}\) = 1.175
04

Determine the critical value and rejection region

We are given a 1% level of significance, so we will need to determine the critical value (t-alpha) for a two-tailed test with α/2 = 0.005 in each tail and degrees of freedom (DF) = n - 1 = 14. Using a t-distribution table or calculator, we find the critical value is approximately ±2.977. The rejection region is defined by the critical values: if the calculated t-score is less than -2.977 or greater than 2.977, we will reject the null hypothesis.
05

Make a decision

Our calculated test statistic, t = 1.175, is not within the rejection region (-2.977, 2.977). Therefore, we fail to reject the null hypothesis. #Conclusion# We cannot conclude that the worker deviates from the standard of 6.4 minutes at a 1% level of significance.

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Key Concepts

These are the key concepts you need to understand to accurately answer the question.

Understanding the t-test
The t-test is a statistical test used to determine if there is a significant difference between the means of two groups. It is particularly useful when dealing with small sample sizes. In our exercise, we are examining whether the mean operation time of a worker differs from a standard time of 6.4 minutes.

A t-test calculates the t-score, which measures the size of the difference relative to the variation in your sample data. The formula for the t-score is:
  • \( t = \frac{\bar{x} – μ_0}{(s/\sqrt{n})} \)
where \(\bar{x}\) is the sample mean, \(μ_0\) is the hypothesized mean, \(s\) is the sample standard deviation, and \(n\) is the sample size.

The result of this test statistic is compared against critical t-values to decide if the observed data satisfies the null hypothesis.
The Level of Significance
The level of significance, denoted as \( \alpha \), is a probability threshold used in hypothesis testing to determine when to reject the null hypothesis. It represents the risk of concluding that a difference exists when there actually is none.

In our example, the level of significance is set at 1%, or \( \alpha = 0.01 \). This implies that there is a 1% risk of making a Type I error, where we wrongly reject the null hypothesis assuming there is an effect when there is not. Thus, a lower \( \alpha \) offers more stringent evidence needed to conclude a difference.

In hypothesis testing, the \( \alpha \) level helps define the rejection region for the test statistic.
The Null Hypothesis
In hypothesis testing, the null hypothesis, denoted as \( H_0 \), is a statement that there is no effect or no difference. It serves as a default assumption with no deviation unless proven otherwise. In the problem at hand, the null hypothesis posits that the worker’s average operation time is equal to the standard time of 6.4 minutes.

In symbols, this is expressed as:
  • \( H_0: \mu = 6.4 \)
The burden lies on the data to show enough evidence against this hypothesis. Our initial analysis centers on checking if deviations from the null hypothesis are significant enough beyond chance alone.

Failing to reject the null hypothesis, as evidenced in our calculations, indicates we have insufficient evidence to say there is a significant difference from the standard time.
The Alternative Hypothesis
The alternative hypothesis, denoted as \( H_1 \), is a statement that contradicts the null hypothesis, indicating that there is an effect or difference. It challenges the status quo defined by the null hypothesis.

In our scenario, the alternative hypothesis contends there is a difference in the worker's mean operation time from the standard time of 6.4 minutes.
  • \( H_1: \mu eq 6.4 \)
An alternative hypothesis can be either one-tailed or two-tailed, depending on the direction of the inquiry. For our problem, a two-tailed test is used since we are interested in differences in both directions (either more or less than the standard).

To accept the alternative hypothesis, the test's calculated t-value must fall within the rejection region defined by the critical values, showing strong evidence against the null hypothesis.

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