/*! This file is auto-generated */ .wp-block-button__link{color:#fff;background-color:#32373c;border-radius:9999px;box-shadow:none;text-decoration:none;padding:calc(.667em + 2px) calc(1.333em + 2px);font-size:1.125em}.wp-block-file__button{background:#32373c;color:#fff;text-decoration:none} Problem 8 Explain whether the width of a c... [FREE SOLUTION] | 91Ó°ÊÓ

91Ó°ÊÓ

Explain whether the width of a confidence interval would increase, decrease, or remain the same as a result of each of the following changes: a result of each of the following changes: a. The sample size is doubled, from 400 to 800. b. The population size is doubled, from 25 million to 50 million. c. The level of confidence is lowered from 95% to 90%.

Short Answer

Expert verified
a. Decrease b. Remain the same c. Decrease

Step by step solution

01

Understand the formula for Confidence Interval width

The width of a confidence interval depends on the standard error which is influenced by sample size and the chosen confidence level. The formula is: \( \text{Width} = z \times \frac{\sigma}{\sqrt{n}} \), where \( z \) is the z-score corresponding to the chosen confidence level, \( \sigma \) is the standard deviation, and \( n \) is the sample size.
02

Effect of increasing sample size (a)

Doubling the sample size from 400 to 800 decreases the standard error as the increase in sample size increases the precision of our estimate. This reduction in standard error decreases the width of the confidence interval. The new width becomes: \( \text{Width}_{800} = z \times \frac{\sigma}{\sqrt{800}} \), which is narrower than \( \text{Width}_{400} = z \times \frac{\sigma}{\sqrt{400}} \).
03

Effect of increasing population size (b)

The population size does not directly affect the confidence interval width as long as the sample size is a small fraction of the population size. Sampling methods that assume an infinite population can still be used, and the width remains the same.
04

Effect of lowering the confidence level (c)

Lowering the confidence level from 95% to 90% decreases the z-score, which decreases the confidence interval width because a lower confidence level requires less coverage of the population's parameter range. Therefore, the confidence interval becomes narrower.

Unlock Step-by-Step Solutions & Ace Your Exams!

  • Full Textbook Solutions

    Get detailed explanations and key concepts

  • Unlimited Al creation

    Al flashcards, explanations, exams and more...

  • Ads-free access

    To over 500 millions flashcards

  • Money-back guarantee

    We refund you if you fail your exam.

Over 30 million students worldwide already upgrade their learning with 91Ó°ÊÓ!

Key Concepts

These are the key concepts you need to understand to accurately answer the question.

Sample Size
Sample size plays a crucial role in determining the width of a confidence interval. Think of it as the number of observations or pieces of data you collect from a larger group. When you increase the sample size, you get more data, which usually makes your estimates more precise.
This precision is reflected in a reduction of the standard error, which is the measure of how much your sample mean is expected to vary from the true population mean. Thus, by increasing your sample size, the confidence interval becomes narrower.
This happens because in the formula for confidence interval width \( ext{Width} = z \times \frac{\sigma}{\sqrt{n}} \), the standard error (\( \frac{\sigma}{\sqrt{n}} \)) decreases as \( n \) (the sample size) increases.
When the sample size is small, your estimates can be quite variable. Increasing the sample size reduces this variability and consequently, the confidence interval shrinks. This makes your interval more reliable in estimating the true population parameter.
Population Size
Population size refers to the total number of individual units you are interested in studying. A common misconception is that larger populations impact the width of confidence intervals. In reality, the population size itself does not directly influence the confidence interval width. This is a surprise to many given that populations can be enormous.
Instead, it is the sample size, rather than the population size, that mainly determines the confidence interval width. As long as your sample is a small fraction relative to the entire population, its size or growth (like from 25 million to 50 million) doesn’t significantly affect your ability to make inferences about the population. This is because confidence intervals are calculated assuming an infinite or very large population. This is why statistical methods designed for random sampling work the same regardless of the population size.
The independence of confidence interval width from population size simplifies data analysis, especially in cases where the population is so large that studying every single individual is impractical.
Confidence Level
The confidence level determines how sure you are that the true population parameter lies within your confidence interval. It is usually represented as a percentage, such as 90%, 95%, or 99%. More intuitively, a 95% confidence level means that if we repeated a study numerous times, 95% of the confidence intervals calculated from those samples would contain the true population parameter.
Changing the confidence level alters the z-score in the confidence interval formula. When the confidence level decreases from say 95% to 90%, the z-score also decreases. This results in a narrower confidence interval. This is because a lower confidence level implies that you are accepting less certainty that the true population parameter lies within the interval. Hence, you don't need the interval to cover as wide a range of possibilities.
Adjusting your confidence level is a balancing act between certainty and specificity in your data analysis. Lower confidence levels yield tighter intervals, possibly offering more concise insights at the cost of certainty.

One App. One Place for Learning.

All the tools & learning materials you need for study success - in one app.

Get started for free

Most popular questions from this chapter

In a special double issue of Time magazine, the cover story featured Pope John Paul II as "Man of the Year" (26 December 1994-2 January 1995, pp. 74-76). As part of the story, Time reported on the results of a survey of 507 adult American Catholics, taken by telephone on December \(7-8 .\) It was also reported that "sampling error is \(\pm 4.4 \% . "\) a. One question asked was, "Do you favor allowing women to be priests?" to which 59\% of the respondents answered yes. Using the reported margin of error of 4.4\%, calculate a 95\% confidence interval for the response to this question. Write a sentence interpreting the interval that could be understood by someone who knows nothing about statistics. Be careful about specifying the correct population. b. Calculate a \(95 \%\) confidence interval for the question in part (a), using the formula in this chapter rather than the reported margin of error. Compare your answer to the answer in part (a). c. Another question in the survey was, "Is it possible to disagree with the Pope and still be a good Catholic?" to which 89\% of respondents said yes. Using the formula in this chapter, compute a \(95 \%\) confidence interval for the true percentage who would answer yes to the question. Now compute a \(95 \%\) confidence interval using the reported margin of error of \(4.4 \%\) Compare your two intervals. d. If you computed your intervals correctly, you would have found that the two intervals in parts (a) and (b) were quite similar to each other, whereas the two intervals in part (c) were not. In part (c), the interval computed using the reported margin of error was wider than the one computed using the formula. Explain why the two methods for computing the intervals agreed more closely for the survey question in parts (a) and (b) than for the survey question in part (c).

Another question asked in the Gallup poll in Exercise 1 was: "Do you think that rich people in America today are happier than you, less happy, or about the same?" (Newport, 2012). Of the 1008 respondents, only \(11 \%\) said "happier," \(27 \%\) said "less happy," \(57 \%\) said "about the same," and the rest were "unsure." a. Find a \(95 \%\) confidence interval for the proportion of the population who would have answered "less happy" if asked. b. Convert the interval in part (a) into a \(95 \%\) confidence interval for the percentage of the population who would have responded "less happy" if asked. c. Write a few sentences interpreting the interval you found in part (b).

Suppose 200 different researchers all randomly select samples of 400 individuals from a population. Each researcher uses his or her sample to compute a \(95 \%\) confidence interval for the proportion that has blue eyes in the population. About how many of the confidence intervals will cover the population proportion? About how many of the intervals will not cover the population proportion? Briefly explain how you determined your answers.

What level of confidence would accompany each of the following intervals? a. Sample proportion $$\pm 1.0(S E P)$$ b. Sample proportion \(\pm 1.645(S E P)\) c. Sample proportion \(\pm 1.96(S E P)\) d. Sample proportion \(\pm 2.576(S E P)\)

One of the questions asked in a Pew Research Center/USA Today poll taken in June, 2013 , was: "Overall, do you approve or disapprove of the government's collection of telephone and internet data as part of anti-terrorism efforts?" (http://www,pollingreport.com/terrorhtm). of the 1512 respondents, 48% said "approve," 47% said "disapprove," and the rest were unsure. a. What is the conservative margin of error for this poll? b. Use the conservative margin of error to find a \(95 \%\) confidence interval for the proportion of all adults who would have answered "approve" if asked. c. Repeat part (b) for the answer "disapprove." d. Compare the confidence intervals in parts (b) and (c). From those intervals, can you conclude that one of the two opinions (approve or disapprove) was held by a majority of the population at that time? Explain.

See all solutions

Recommended explanations on Math Textbooks

View all explanations

What do you think about this solution?

We value your feedback to improve our textbook solutions.

Study anywhere. Anytime. Across all devices.