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A certain geneticist is interested in the proportion of males and females in the population that have a certain minor blood disorder. In a random sample of 1000 males, 250 are found to be afflicted, whereas 275 of 1000 females tested appear to have the disorder. Compute a \(95 \%\) confidence interval for the difference between the proportion of males and females that have the blood disorder.

Short Answer

Expert verified
The \(95 \%\) confidence interval for the difference between the proportion of males and females that have the blood disorder is approximately \(-0.0649, 0.0149\).

Step by step solution

01

Calculate sample proportions

First, calculate the sample proportions of males and females with the disorder. For males, \(p_1 = \frac{250}{1000} = 0.25\). For females, \(p_2 = \frac{275}{1000} = 0.275\).
02

Find critical Z-value

As we're computing a 95% confidence interval, the critical value \(Z_{\alpha/2}\) for a two-tailed test from the standard normal distribution is approximately 1.96.
03

Compute standard error

Now, calculate the standard error using the formula \(\sqrt{\frac{p_1*(1-p_1)}{n_1} + \frac{p_2*(1-p_2)}{n_2}}\). Substituting the given values yields approximately 0.0201.
04

Calculate the confidence interval

Finally, substitute the obtained values into the formula for the confidence interval \(p_1 - p_2 \pm Z_{\alpha/2} * \text{SE}\) to get the desired confidence interval for the difference between the proportions. Thus, \(-0.025 \pm 1.96*0.0201\) gives us an interval \(-0.0649, 0.0149\).

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Key Concepts

These are the key concepts you need to understand to accurately answer the question.

Sample Proportions
When dealing with statistics, especially in health and genetics, understanding sample proportions is crucial. A sample proportion represents the fraction of the sample with a particular trait or characteristic. Imagine we have a bag of colored balls, and we want to know how many are red. By taking a sample, we count the red balls and divide by the total number of balls in the sample. Similarly, in our geneticist's study, the proportion of males with a certain blood disorder is calculated by dividing the number of afflicted males (250) by the total males sampled (1000), resulting in a sample proportion of 0.25. For females, the process is the same, and we find a sample proportion of 0.275. These proportions are key as they form the basis for comparison and further statistical analysis like calculating confidence intervals.
Critical Z-Value
Understanding the critical Z-value is like having a secret decoder for statistical confidence. The critical Z-value is associated with the desired confidence level, which is the probability that the true parameter lies within the interval. In a standard normal distribution, which is a bell-shaped curve representing the probability of different outcomes, the critical Z-value sets the cutoff points on either side of the mean. A 95% confidence interval corresponds to the middle 95% of the curve, leaving 2.5% on each tail end, where our critical value will lie. For a 95% confidence level, the critical Z-value is often around 1.96, which means that 95% of the time, the sample proportion will fall within 1.96 standard deviations of the population proportion we're estimating.
Standard Error
The standard error is like a measure of uncertainty in sampling. Imagine you want to jump from one stone to another across a stream, the bigger the stones (lower standard error), the more confident you are that you won't fall in. In sampling terms, the standard error quantifies the variability of a sample statistic from one sample to another. It's calculated from the standard deviation of the population and the sample size. A smaller standard error means a more precise estimate of the population parameter. In the blood disorder study, for instance, the standard error is important in calculating the width of the confidence interval. It's computed using both male and female sample proportions and their respective sizes. The resulting standard error represents the expected variation in the difference between male and female sample proportions if new samples were taken.
Proportion Difference
The proportion difference is a straightforward but pivotal concept in comparative studies. It's simply the difference between two sample proportions. Returning to our geneticist's scenario, we want to know how the proportion of males with the blood disorder compares to the proportion of females. We find this by subtracting the male proportion from the female proportion. This difference helps in assessing whether there's statistically significant evidence of a difference between male and female populations. A zero difference implies no disparity, whereas a non-zero value suggests a potential difference in the prevalence of the disorder between genders. However, statistical significance is further evaluated through confidence intervals, which include the calculated proportion difference and a margin of error, providing a range within which we expect the true difference to lie.

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