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An urn contains 3 green balls, 2 blue balls, and 4 red balls. In a random sample: of 5 balls, find the probability that both blue balls and at. least 1 reel ball are selected.

Short Answer

Expert verified
The probability that both blue balls and at least one red ball are selected is 0.2857

Step by step solution

01

Calculate Total Possible Outcomes

The total number of ways 5 balls can be drawn from 9 balls is calculated using combination formula as \( C(9, 5) = \frac{9!}{5!(9 - 5)!} = 126 \)
02

Compute the Desired Outcomes

The desired outcome is both blue balls and at least one red ball are selected. There are two blue balls, so both must be selected, we can calculate it as \( C(2, 2) = 1 \). Now, we select at least 1 red ball, it means we can select 1, 2 or 3 red balls. We calculate these possibilities as: \( C(4, 1)*C(3, 2) + C(4, 2)*C(3, 1) + C(4, 3) = 36 \). The product is due to the law of product in probability.
03

Compute the Probability

Probability is the ratio of the desired outcome to the total possible outcomes. So, the required probability is: \( \frac{36}{126} = 0.2857 \)

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Key Concepts

These are the key concepts you need to understand to accurately answer the question.

Combination Formula
When we need to count the number of ways to select a subset of items from a larger set without considering the order of selection, we use the combination formula. Mathematically, this formula is represented as \( C(n, k) = \frac{n!}{k!(n - k)!} \), wherein \( n \) stands for the total number of items, and \( k \) is the number of items to choose.

For instance, if you have a set of books and you wish to know how many ways you can choose 2 books out of 5, you would use this formula. Here, \( n \) would be 5, and \( k \) would be 2. Using the combination formula, you could easily calculate the total number of ways to make such a selection. The exclamation point (!) denotes a factorial, which is the product of all positive integers up to that number. For example, \( 5! = 5 \times 4 \times 3 \times 2 \times 1 \).

Relevance to Probability

In probability, the combination formula is crucial as it helps to find out how many possible ways events can occur, without worrying about the sequence in which they happen. This is essential when calculating the probability of events where order does not change the outcome, such as drawing balls from an urn.
Total Possible Outcomes
The concept of 'total possible outcomes' is fundamental to understanding probability. It represents all the different outcomes that could possibly occur during a random experiment. To calculate the probability of a particular event, one must first understand the entire set of outcomes that are possible.

For example, when tossing a fair six-sided die, there are six total possible outcomes, one for each side of the die. If an urn contains balls of different colors, and we draw a few balls, the total possible outcomes would be all the different combinations of balls that could be selected. In the context of our exercise, where we draw 5 balls from an urn of 9, we used the combination formula to calculate there are 126 possible outcomes.

Importance in Probability Calculations

The total number of possible outcomes is a denominator in the probability calculation. Without it, we cannot determine the likelihood of an event because probability is always a fraction of the desired outcomes over the total possible outcomes. Hence, it's crucial to accurately determine this figure to make precise probability computations.
Sample Space
Sample space is a term used in probability to describe the set of all possible outcomes of a random process or experiment. It is often denoted by the Greek letter \( \Omega \). This concept is vital as it forms the basis for calculating the probability of events.

Within the framework of our exercise, if we had to list the sample space, it would consist of all the different groups of 5 balls that can be drawn from the urn. Each group represents a unique outcome in the sample space. The size of the sample space can be determined by using the combination formula, providing us with the total number of unique groups that can possibly be drawn.

Link to Probability

Once we have defined the sample space, we can then identify the events of interest. In probability, an event is a subset of the sample space that satisfies a certain condition — in our case, drawing both blue balls and at least one red ball. By comparing the number of outcomes that align with our event to the total size of the sample space, we can determine the event's probability. This makes the concept of sample space inseparable from any probability calculation.

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Most popular questions from this chapter

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