/*! This file is auto-generated */ .wp-block-button__link{color:#fff;background-color:#32373c;border-radius:9999px;box-shadow:none;text-decoration:none;padding:calc(.667em + 2px) calc(1.333em + 2px);font-size:1.125em}.wp-block-file__button{background:#32373c;color:#fff;text-decoration:none} Problem 26 Assuming that 6 in 10 automobile... [FREE SOLUTION] | 91Ó°ÊÓ

91Ó°ÊÓ

Assuming that 6 in 10 automobile accidents are due mainly to a speed violation, find the probability that among 8 automobile accidents 6 will be due mainly to a speed violation (a) by using the formula for the binomial distribution; (b) by using the binomial table.

Short Answer

Expert verified
The probability that among 8 automobile accidents, 6 will be due mainly to a speed violation is approximately 0.2508 or 25.08%.

Step by step solution

01

Set up the problem

We have \(p = 0.6\) (probability of an auto accident due to a speed violation), \(q = 1- p = 0.4\) (probability of an auto accident not due to a speed violation), \(n = 8\) (number of total auto accidents) and \(x = 6\) (the number of auto accidents due specifically to a speed violation). The formula for a binomial distribution is \[P(X = x) = C(n, x) * (p^x) * (q^{n-x})\] where \(C(n, x)\) is the combination of \(n\) things taken \(x\) at a time.
02

Apply the formula

Substituting the values from step 1 into the formula, we get \[P(X = 6) = C(8, 6) * (0.6^6) * (0.4^2)\]. The combination \(C(8, 6)\) is given by \(\frac{8!}{6!(8-6)!}\), which is 28. Therefore, \[P(X = 6) = 28 * (0.6^6) * (0.4^2) = 0.2508\] (approximately).
03

Use the binomial table

The binomial table has values for different \(n\), \(p\) and \(x\). Find the row for \(n=8\) and \(p=0.6\) and find the column for \(x=6\). The value is the probability \(P(X = 6)\). The binomial table should provide the same value as calculated in step 2.

Unlock Step-by-Step Solutions & Ace Your Exams!

  • Full Textbook Solutions

    Get detailed explanations and key concepts

  • Unlimited Al creation

    Al flashcards, explanations, exams and more...

  • Ads-free access

    To over 500 millions flashcards

  • Money-back guarantee

    We refund you if you fail your exam.

Over 30 million students worldwide already upgrade their learning with 91Ó°ÊÓ!

Key Concepts

These are the key concepts you need to understand to accurately answer the question.

Probability of Speed Violation Accidents
When driving, obeying the speed limit is crucial for safety, but unfortunately, speed violations are a common cause of automobile accidents. Understanding the likelihood of such events can help in various analyses, including road safety assessments and insurance calculations.

To identify the probability of speed violation accidents occurring within a set number of incidents, we use the concepts of probability theory. In our example, we consider a hypothesis that states 6 out of every 10 automobile accidents are attributed to speed violations. This gives us a probability, denoted as \(p\), of 0.6 that any single accident is due to a speed violation. Conversely, the probability that an accident is not due to a speed violation, denoted as \(q\), is 0.4.

With these probabilities, we can calculate the likelihood of observing a particular number of speed-related accidents out of a specific total. This scenario is perfectly modeled by the binomial distribution, which applies to situations with two possible outcomes for each independent event, one with probability \(p\) and the other with probability \(1-p\) or \(q\), across a certain number of trials, which in our case is 8 accidents.
Binomial Formula Application
The binomial distribution expresses the probability of obtaining exactly \(x\) successes in \(n\) independent trials of a binary experiment. The formula for calculating a binomial probability is:
\[P(X = x) = C(n, x) \times (p^x) \times (q^{n-x})\]
where:\(P(X=x)\) is the probability of \(x\) successes in \(n\) trials, \(C(n, x)\) is the number of combinations, \(p\) is the probability of success on a single trial, and \(q\) is the probability of failure on a single trial.

In our specific problem, we wish to find the probability of exactly 6 out of 8 accidents being due to speed violations. By plugging our values into the binomial formula, we start by calculating the number of combinations of 8 accidents taken 6 at a time, which is 28. The probability is then calculated by raising 0.6 to the power of 6, 0.4 to the power of 2, and multiplying these values with 28. This results in a probability of approximately 0.2508, or 25.08%, indicating that there is around a one in four chance that in a series of 8 accidents, exactly 6 will be caused by speed violations.
Using Binomial Tables
Not everyone is comfortable with complex calculations, and that's where binomial tables come in handy. These tables provide a quick reference for finding the probabilities associated with binomial distributions without the need for computation.

To use a binomial table, we first need to locate the row corresponding to the total number of trials \(n\), and the column corresponding to the number of successful trials \(x\). We then match these up with the probability of success on a single trial \(p\). In the context of our exercise, where \(n = 8\), \(x = 6\), and \(p = 0.6\), we would look for the row for 8 trials, the column for 6 successes, under the probability of 0.6. The intersection of these values in the table gives us the probability of 6 speed violation accidents out of 8.

Using binomial tables is a straightforward process, but it calls for careful navigation to avoid picking the wrong value. It's usually a matter of matching the correct row and column and reading off the value. In our example, the binomial table should confirm the probability we calculated using the formula, offering a way to verify our calculations or provide a computational shortcut.

One App. One Place for Learning.

All the tools & learning materials you need for study success - in one app.

Get started for free

Most popular questions from this chapter

An electronic switching device occasionally malfunctions and may need to be replaced. It is known that the device is satisfactory if it makes, on the average, no more than 0.20 error per hour. A particular 5-hour period is chosen as a "test" on the device. If no more than 1 error occurs, the device is considered satisfactory. (a) What is the probability that a satisfactory device will be considered unsatisfactory on the basis of the rest? Assume that a Poisson process exists. (b) What is the probability that a device will be accepted as satisfactory when, in fact, the mean number of errors is \(0.25 ?\) Again, assume that a Poisson process exists.

Service calls come to a maintenance center according to a Poisson process and, on the average, 2.7 calls come per minute. Find the probability that (a) no more than 4 calls come in any minute; (b) fewer than 2 calls come in any minute; (c) more than 10 calls come in a 5 -minute period.

Homeland Security and missile defense technology make it paramount that we be able to detect incoming projectiles or missiles. To make the defense successful, multiple radar screens are: required. Suppose it is determined that three independent screens are to be operated and the probability that any one screen will detect an incoming missile is 0.8. Obviously, if no screens detect an incoming projectile, the system is unworthy and must be improved. (a) What is the probability that an incoming missile will not be detected by any of the three screens? (b) What is the probability that the missile will be detected by only one screen? (e:) What is the probability that it. will be detected by at least two out of three screens?

If 7 cards are dealt from an ordinary deck of 52 playing cards, what is the probability that (a) exactly 2 of them will be face cards? (b) at least 1 of them will be a queen?

A large company has an inspection system for the batches of small compressors purchased from vendors. A batch typically contains 15 compressors. In the inspection system a random sample of 5 is selected and all are tested. Suppose there are 2 faulty compressors in the batch of 15 (a) What, is the probability that for a given sample there will be I faulty compressor? (b) What is the probability that inspection will discover both faulty compressors?

See all solutions

Recommended explanations on Math Textbooks

View all explanations

What do you think about this solution?

We value your feedback to improve our textbook solutions.

Study anywhere. Anytime. Across all devices.