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A safety engineer claims that only \(40 \%\) of all workers wear safety helmets when they eat lunch at the workplace. Assuming that his claim is right, find the probability that 4 of 6 workers randomly chosen will be wearing their helmets while having lunch at the workplace.

Short Answer

Expert verified
The probability that 4 out of the 6 workers who are randomly chosen will be wearing their helmets while having lunch at the workplace, is \(0.311\) or \(31.1 \%\) .

Step by step solution

01

Identify the variables

First, Identify all the required variables from the problem. Here, number of workers \(n = 6\), number of workers who are wearing helmets (considered success) \(x = 4\) and probability of wearing a helmet at lunch \(p = 0.40\), hence the probability of failure \(q = 1 - p = 0.60\)
02

Compute the binomial coefficient

The binomial coefficient \(C(n, x)\) can be computed using the formula \(C(n, x) = n! / [x!(n-x)!]\) which is equivalent to \((6! / 4!(6-4)!)\). Where '!' denotes the factorial operator meaning \(n! = n * (n-1) *(n-2) *...*3*2*1\). Using these formulas, the binomial coefficient can be calculated as \(15\).
03

Compute the binomial probability

Substitute these values in the binomial probability formula: \(P(x|n, p) = C(n, x) * p^x * q^{(n-x)}\) which implies \(P(4|6, 0.40) = 15 * (0.40)^4 * (0.60)^2\). After calculating, the answer will approximate to \(0.311\).

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Key Concepts

These are the key concepts you need to understand to accurately answer the question.

Binomial Coefficient
The binomial coefficient is a fundamental component in probability theory, particularly within the binomial probability distribution. It's calculated using a formula involving factorials and plays a critical role in determining the number of ways to choose a given number of successes from a set of trials.
The formula for the binomial coefficient, represented as \( C(n, x) \) or sometimes \( {n \choose x} \), is defined as the number of ways to choose \( x \) successes (or objects) out of \( n \) trials (or objects) without considering the order of selection. The mathematical expression is \( C(n, x) = \frac{n!}{x!(n-x)!} \), where \( n \) is the total number of trials, \( x \) is the number of successes, and the exclamation point \( ! \) denotes the factorial operation.
For example, if you want to find out the probability of choosing 4 workers wearing helmets out of 6 (as in our original problem), you'd use the binomial coefficient to calculate the different ways this can occur. This is crucial because each combination represents a unique possible outcome that needs to be accounted for when determining the overall probability.
Factorial Operation
Understanding the factorial operation is essential when dealing with probabilities and combinations. A factorial, denoted by an exclamation mark \( ! \), is the product of all positive integers less than or equal to a certain number.
For instance, the factorial of 5, represented as \( 5! \), is calculated as \( 5 \times 4 \times 3 \times 2 \times 1 \), which equals 120. The factorial operation is especially important when computing the binomial coefficient, as it helps determine the total number of possible combinations of successes and failures in the binomial model.
In probability problems like the one posed about the workers and their safety helmets, knowing how to calculate factorials quickly allows you to determine the binomial coefficient, which you need for the next step in finding the probability of a certain number of successes in a given number of trials.
Probability Distribution
The probability distribution is a statistical function that describes all the possible values and likelihoods that a random variable can take within a given range. In the context of the binomial probability, the distribution is used to model the number of successes in a fixed number of independent Bernoulli trials.
A Bernoulli trial is a random experiment with exactly two possible outcomes, 'success' and 'failure', and the probability of success is the same in each trial. The binomial probability distribution, therefore, applies to situations where each trial is independent, and the probability of success remains constant across trials.
In our example with the workers and safety helmets, we are dealing with a binomial distribution where the probability of each worker wearing a helmet (success) is \( 40\% \), or \( p = 0.40 \), while the probability of not wearing a helmet (failure) is \( 60\% \), or \( q = 1 - p = 0.60 \). The distribution allows us to compute the probability of exactly 4 workers out of 6 wearing helmets, which is an application of the binomial probability formula.

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