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The probability that a married man watches a certain television show is 0.4 and the probability that a married woman watches the show is \(0.5 .\) The probability that a man watches the show, given that his wife does, is 0.7 . Find the probability that (a) a married couple watches the show; (b) a wife watches the show given that her husband does; (c) at least 1 person of a married couple will watch the show.

Short Answer

Expert verified
The probabilities are: (a) A couple watches the show: 0.35, (b) Wife watches the show given her husband does: 0.875, (c) At least 1 person in the couple watches the show: 0.7

Step by step solution

01

Define the Variables

Let's denote: \n\nM as the event that man watches the show;\nW as the event that woman watches the show; \nP(M) is the probability of M; \nP(W) is the probability of W; \nP(M|W) is the probability of M given W. \n\nFrom the problem, we know \nP(M) = 0.4, \nP(W) = 0.5, \n\(P(M|W) = 0.7 \)
02

Find the Probability of a Couple Watching the Show

The probability that a couple watch the show is \(P(M ∩ W)\). We can apply the definition of conditional probability \(P(M|W) = P(M ∩ W) / P(W)\). Hence, \(P(M ∩ W) = P(M|W) * P(W) = 0.7 * 0.5 = 0.35 \)
03

Find the Probability that Wife Watches the Show Given her Husband Does

The probability that a wife watches the show given her husband does is \(P(W|M) = P(M ∩ W) / P(M) = 0.35 / 0.4 = 0.875 \). This is by substituting the solution from step 2.
04

Probability that at Least 1 Person in the Couple Watches the Show

The probability that least one of them watches the show can be found out by subtracting the probability that neither of them watch the show from total probability i.e., \(P(M ∪ W) = 1 - [1 - P(M)]*[1 - P(W)] = 1 - (1 - 0.4)*(1 - 0.5) = 0.7 \)

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Key Concepts

These are the key concepts you need to understand to accurately answer the question.

Joint Probability
Joint probability is a key concept in understanding how two events can occur simultaneously. In our case, we are looking at the event where both a married man and his wife watch a particular television show at the same time. This event is expressed as the intersection of two independent events, denoted as \( P(M \cap W) \), where \( M \) and \( W \) represent the events of the man and the woman watching the show respectively.

The formula for joint probability can be derived from the definition of conditional probability. In general, \( P(A \cap B) = P(A | B) \times P(B) \), which tells us that the probability of both "A" and "B" happening is the probability of "A" given "B" has happened, multiplied by the probability of "B".

For our exercise, we used it to find that the probability of a couple both watching the show is \( 0.35 \). This calculation depended on having known values for the individual probabilities of the man and woman watching the show, and the probability of the man watching given that his wife does.
Married Couple Probability
Understanding probability for a married couple involves calculating probabilities for both partners, either individually or together. In the given problem, we look at different scenarios: when both watch the show, when only one watches it, and when at least one watches it.

For a married couple, calculating probabilities separately first makes problem-solving easy. First, you'll determine the probability that both watch the show, which we've found as \( 0.35 \).

The next important part was finding the conditional probability, i.e., when given that one of the partners is watching, determining if the other is too. These calculations help understand how the interests of one partner can affect the other's likelihood of engaging in similar activities.
Probability Concepts
Probability concepts play a crucial role in analyzing situations involving uncertainty and multiple events, such as the viewing habits of a married couple. These concepts include:
  • Simple Probability: Probability of a single event happening, like either a man or a woman watching the show.
  • Joint Probability: Probability of two events happening together, as seen in the determination of a couple watching the show.
  • Conditional Probability: Given event "B" happens, what's the probability that "A" happens, which we calculated to understand how often the wife watches the show given that the husband does.
  • Complementary Probability: Probability that an event does not happen, used in calculating the chance that at least one partner watches the show.
Bringing these concepts together offers a comprehensive method to evaluate both individual and combined behaviors in probability scenarios.
Conditional Events in Probability
Conditional events are significant when calculating how the occurrence of one event impacts the probability of another. In our exercise, the event of the woman watching the show influences the probability of the man watching it. We denote conditional probability as \( P(A|B) \), read as "the probability of A given B".

In solving the problem, \( P(M|W) = 0.7 \) signified that the probability of a man watching the show increased if his wife was watching. Similarly, \( P(W|M) \), which turns out to be \( 0.875 \), provided insights into the likelihood of a woman watching the show given her husband's viewership.

Understanding conditional probability helps in recognizing dependencies and can reflect behavioral patterns, especially in shared environments like that of a married couple. In conditional probability problems, knowing how one event influences another's likelihood is key to understanding the conditional dynamics involved.

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Most popular questions from this chapter

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