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It is known that \(80 \%\) of all brand A zip drives work in a satisfactory manner throughout the warranty period (are "successes"). Suppose that \(n=10\) drives are randomly selected. Let \(X=\) the number of successes in the sample. The statistic \(X / n\) is the sample proportion (fraction) of successes. Obtain the sampling distribution of this statistic. [Hint: One possible value of \(X / n\) is \(.3\), corresponding to \(X=3\). What is the probability of this value (what kind of random variable is \(X\) )?]

Short Answer

Expert verified
X follows a Binomial distribution, and X/n's sampling distribution is calculated from X's probabilities.

Step by step solution

01

Understanding the Problem

We are given that 80% of brand A zip drives are successful. We need to find the sampling distribution of the sample proportion of successes when n=10. Here, X is the number of successes, and the sample fraction X/n is the sample proportion.
02

Identify the Random Variable

The random variable X follows a Binomial distribution because you have trials with two outcomes (success or failure) and a known probability of success. In this case, X is a binomial random variable with parameters n = 10 and p = 0.8.
03

Calculate Possible Values of X/n

The possible values of X range from 0 to 10, depending on how many of the 10 drives work successfully. Thus, the possible values of X/n are 0, 0.1, 0.2, ..., to 1 (X=0 to X=10).
04

Calculate Probabilities for each X Value

Using the Binomial probability formula, \( P(X = k) = \binom{n}{k} p^k (1-p)^{n-k} \), calculate the probability for each value of X from 0 to 10.
05

Construct the Sampling Distribution of X/n

The sampling distribution of the sample proportion X/n is the set of probabilities calculated in Step 4 for all possible values (0, 0.1, 0.2, ..., 1). Each probability corresponds to each specific fraction X/n.

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Key Concepts

These are the key concepts you need to understand to accurately answer the question.

Binomial Distribution
A binomial distribution is a helpful way to understand scenarios where there are two possible outcomes, like success or failure. When we say an event follows a Binomial distribution, it means it deals with experiments having these characteristics.

In the problem, 80% of brand A zip drives are known to succeed, meaning the probability of success, denoted as \( p \), is 0.8. With \( n \) being 10 drives, the number of successful drives, \( X \), follows a binomial distribution with parameters \( n = 10 \) and \( p = 0.8 \).

Understanding this helps in calculating the likelihood of having different numbers of successes in our sample of 10 drives. Using the binomial distribution, we can calculate these probabilities by applying the binomial probability formula:
  • \( P(X = k) = \binom{n}{k} p^k (1-p)^{n-k} \)
This formula allows us to calculate how likely it is to get "\( k \)" successes out of 10 trials.

This is essential for forming the sampling distribution of our sample proportion.
Sample Proportion
When we refer to the sample proportion in statistics, we're talking about the fraction or percentage that represents the number of successes divided by the number of trials. In simpler words, it's a way to measure what part of our sample showed success.

In this scenario, we denote the number of successful zip drives as \( X \). The sample proportion is thus \( X/n \), where \( n \) is the total number of zip drives, which is 10 in our problem.

The sample proportion, therefore, can take values such as 0, 0.1, 0.2, ..., up to 1. These represent fractions like 0 out of 10 as 0, 1 out of 10 as 0.1, up to 10 out of 10 as 1.
Finding these proportions helps us understand how our sample reflects the population's behavior, in this case, the performance reliability of these drives.

The magic of sample proportions is that they make complex probability distributions easier to interpret, offering a straightforward percentage context of the entire sample's success rate.
Probability Calculation
Probability calculation in the context of Binomial distribution involves determining the likelihood of a specific number of successes. In our task, this means calculating the probability for the sample proportions of successful drives.

For each possible value of \( X/n \), ranging from 0 to 1, we use the formula:
  • \( P(X = k) = \binom{n}{k} p^k (1-p)^{n-k} \)
Here, \( \binom{n}{k} \) represents the combinations of \( n \) trials taken \( k \) at a time. "\( p \)" is the probability of success, and "\( 1-p \)" is the probability of failure.

Thus, calculating \( P(X = 3) \) for, say, \( X/n = 0.3 \), tells us the likelihood of precisely 3 out of 10 drives working correctly. You apply this same formula for all other fractions from 0 to 1.

This process provides the entire probability landscape of possible outcomes, culminating in the sampling distribution of the sample proportion \( X/n \). It paints a vivid picture of all the possible situations our sample might represent from the larger population.

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Most popular questions from this chapter

Each front tire on a particular type of vehicle is supposed to be filled to a pressure of 26 psi. Suppose the actual air pressure in each tire is a random variable- \(X\) for the right tire and \(Y\) for the left tire, with joint pdf $$ f(x, y)=\left\\{\begin{array}{cl} K\left(x^{2}+y^{2}\right) & 20 \leq x \leq 30,20 \leq y \leq 30 \\ 0 & \text { otherwise } \end{array}\right. $$ a. What is the value of \(K\) ? b. What is the probability that both tires are underfilled? c. What is the probability that the difference in air pressure between the two tires is at most 2 psi? d. Determine the (marginal) distribution of air pressure in the right tire alone. e. Are \(X\) and \(Y\) independent rv's?

Manufacture of a certain component requires three different machining operations. Machining time for each operation has a normal distribution, and the three times are independent of one another. The mean values are 15,30 , and 20 min, respectively, and the standard deviations are 1,2 , and \(1.5\) min, respectively. What is the probability that it takes at most 1 hour of machining time to produce a randomly selected component?

A health-food store stocks two different brands of a certain type of grain. Let \(X=\) the amount (Ib) of brand A on hand and \(Y=\) the amount of brand B on hand. Suppose the joint pdf of \(X\) and \(Y\) is $$ f(x, y)=\left\\{\begin{array}{cl} k x y & x \geq 0, y \geq 0,20 \leq x+y \leq 30 \\ 0 & \text { otherwise } \end{array}\right. $$ a. Draw the region of positive density and determine the value of \(k .\) b. Are \(X\) and \(Y\) independent? Answer by first deriving the marginal pdf of each variable. c. Compute \(P(X+Y \leq 25)\). d. What is the expected total amount of this grain on hand? e. Compute \(\operatorname{Cov}(X, Y)\) and \(\operatorname{Corr}(X, Y)\). f. What is the variance of the total amount of grain on hand?

Suppose the distribution of the time \(X\) (in hours) spent by students at a certain university on a particular project is gamma with parameters \(\alpha=50\) and \(\beta=2\). Because \(\alpha\) is large, it can be shown that \(X\) has approximately a normal distribution. Use this fact to compute the probability that a randomly selected student spends at most 125 hours on the project.

a. Use the rules of expected value to show that \(\operatorname{Cov}(a X+b\), \(c Y+d)=a c \operatorname{Cov}(X, Y)\). b. Use part (a) along with the rules of variance and standard deviation to show that \(\operatorname{Corr}(a X+b, c Y+d)=\operatorname{Corr}(X, Y)\) when \(a\) and \(c\) have the same sign. c. What happens if \(a\) and \(c\) have opposite signs?

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