/*! This file is auto-generated */ .wp-block-button__link{color:#fff;background-color:#32373c;border-radius:9999px;box-shadow:none;text-decoration:none;padding:calc(.667em + 2px) calc(1.333em + 2px);font-size:1.125em}.wp-block-file__button{background:#32373c;color:#fff;text-decoration:none} Problem 34 A production facility employs 20... [FREE SOLUTION] | 91Ó°ÊÓ

91Ó°ÊÓ

A production facility employs 20 workers on the day shift, 15 workers on the swing shift, and 10 workers on the graveyard shift. A quality control consultant is to select 6 of these workers for in-depth interviews. Suppose the selection is made in such a way that any particular group of 6 workers has the same chance of being selected as does any other group (drawing 6 slips without replacement from among 45). a. How many selections result in all 6 workers coming from the day shift? What is the probability that all 6 selected workers will be from the day shift? b. What is the probability that all 6 selected workers will be from the same shift? c. What is the probability that at least two different shifts will be represented among the selected workers? d. What is the probability that at least one of the shifts will be unrepresented in the sample of workers?

Short Answer

Expert verified
a. \( \frac{\binom{20}{6}}{\binom{45}{6}} \); b. \( \frac{\binom{20}{6} + \binom{15}{6} + \binom{10}{6}}{\binom{45}{6}} \); c. Subtract b from 1; d. Equals b.

Step by step solution

01

Calculate total combinations of selecting 6 workers

To determine the total number of ways to select 6 workers from 45, use the combination formula \( \binom{n}{k} \), where \( n \) is the total number of workers and \( k \) is the number of workers to select. Therefore, we calculate \( \binom{45}{6} \).
02

Calculate selections with all 6 from the day shift

Among the day shift, there are 20 workers. We need to choose all 6 from these 20, so we calculate \( \binom{20}{6} \).
03

Find probability of all 6 from the day shift

To find the probability that all 6 selected workers come from the day shift, divide the number from Step 2 by the total number from Step 1: \( \frac{\binom{20}{6}}{\binom{45}{6}} \).
04

Calculate selections from the same shift

Calculate similar selections as in Step 2, but for the swing shift \( \binom{15}{6} \) and the graveyard shift \( \binom{10}{6} \).
05

Find probability of all from the same shift

Add the selections from all 3 shifts (day, swing, graveyard) and divide by total selections \( \frac{\binom{20}{6} + \binom{15}{6} + \binom{10}{6}}{\binom{45}{6}} \).
06

Find probability of representation from at least two shifts

Subtract the probability found in Step 5 from 1. This gives the probability that at least two shifts are represented.
07

Find probability of unrepresented shifts

The probability found in Step 5 already gives us the probability that all workers are from the same shift (or no representation from others). Thus, it is directly the answer for at least one shift being unrepresented.

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Key Concepts

These are the key concepts you need to understand to accurately answer the question.

Combination Formula
The combination formula is a crucial concept in combinatorial probability. It helps us determine the number of ways to select items from a larger group without considering the order. When the order doesn't matter, combinations are the perfect tool. The combination formula can be represented as:\[ \binom{n}{k} = \frac{n!}{k!(n-k)!} \]Where \(n\) is the total number of items to choose from, \(k\) is the number of items to select, and \(!\) represents factorial, which is the product of all positive integers up to a certain number. In our exercise, we use this formula to determine how many different ways we can select 6 workers from a total of 45.Understanding this formula is key to solving probability problems where we want to find out how likely it is to select a specific group out of a larger pool, which is exactly what we're aiming for in our exercises.
Probability Calculation
Probability calculation involves determining how likely an event is to occur, and it's calculated by dividing the number of favorable outcomes by the total number of possible outcomes. In our exercise, if we want to find the probability that all 6 selected workers are from the day shift, we first calculate the number of combinations for selecting 6 workers from just the day shift.These calculations are made using our combination formula. After that, to find the probability:- Calculate the number of combinations for a specific event.- Divide it by the total number of possible combinations.For example, the probability all workers come from the day shift is:\[ P = \frac{\binom{20}{6}}{\binom{45}{6}} \]This tells us how likely, on average, the event of selecting 6 workers from the day shift is, when drawing 6 workers from the total group of workers.
Shift Work Representation
Shift work representation considers how different groups within a larger group can be selected or left out. In our problem, workers are divided into three shifts: day, swing, and graveyard. To calculate probabilities about these shifts, we need to think about how these separate groups contribute to our selections. For example: - **All Workers from the Same Shift:** We calculate the number of ways to select all 6 workers from each shift individually and sum them up. Then, we check what fraction of all possible combinations this number forms. If our result from Step 5 is high, it indicates a high likelihood of all selected workers being from the same shift. - **At Least Two Shifts Represented:** This probability is calculated by subtracting the probability of all workers being from the same shift from 1. This result tells us the likelihood of having a more diverse group selected from different shifts. It reflects a key concept in understanding group dynamics in probability.
Selection Probability
Selection probability explores how likely it is that a chosen subset reflects certain conditions, such as representing at least two shifts. In the problem of worker selection for interviews, we are interested in knowing different probabilities about the selected group. To calculate such probabilities: - Determine the specific condition you're interested in (e.g., that there will be workers from at least two shifts). - Use known probabilities and combinations to derive the desired probability. For example, after finding the probability all workers are from the same shift, we found that the probability of having at least one unrepresented shift is the same. This is because if all workers come from the same shift, those other shifts are not represented at all.

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