/*! This file is auto-generated */ .wp-block-button__link{color:#fff;background-color:#32373c;border-radius:9999px;box-shadow:none;text-decoration:none;padding:calc(.667em + 2px) calc(1.333em + 2px);font-size:1.125em}.wp-block-file__button{background:#32373c;color:#fff;text-decoration:none} Problem 9 Suppose the sediment density \((... [FREE SOLUTION] | 91Ó°ÊÓ

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Suppose the sediment density \((\mathrm{g} / \mathrm{cm})\) of a randomly selected specimen from a certain region is normally distributed with mean \(2.65\) and standard deviation .85 (suggested in "Modeling Sediment and Water Column Interactions for Hydrophobic Pollutants," Water Research, 1984: 1169-1174). a. If a random sample of 25 specimens is selected, what is the probability that the sample average sediment density is at most \(3.00\) ? Between \(2.65\) and \(3.00\) ? b. How large a sample size would be required to ensure that the first probability in part (a) is at least 99 ?

Short Answer

Expert verified
Probability that the mean is at most 3.00 is 0.9803. A sample size of 33 is required for the desired probability.

Step by step solution

01

Understanding the Problem Context

We need to find the probability that the sample average sediment density will be at most a certain value, given that the individual measurements are normally distributed. We then need to find an appropriate sample size to achieve a specific probability threshold.
02

Calculate the Standard Error

The standard error (SE) of the sample mean for a sample size of n can be calculated using the formula: \[ SE = \frac{\sigma}{\sqrt{n}} \]For this problem, the standard deviation \(\sigma\) is 0.85 and the sample size \(n\) is 25. Thus, \[ SE = \frac{0.85}{\sqrt{25}} = \frac{0.85}{5} = 0.17 \]
03

Determine the Z-score for 3.00

The Z-score for a sample mean \(\bar{x}\) can be determined using the formula: \[ Z = \frac{\bar{x} - \mu}{SE} \]For \(\bar{x} = 3.00\), \(\mu = 2.65\), and \(SE = 0.17\), calculate:\[ Z = \frac{3.00 - 2.65}{0.17} = \frac{0.35}{0.17} \approx 2.06 \]
04

Calculate Probability for Z-score of 2.06

Using a standard normal distribution table or calculator, find the probability that Z is less than or equal to 2.06. This yields a probability of approximately 0.9803. Therefore, the probability that the sample average is at most 3.00 is 0.9803.
05

Calculate Probabilities in Range 2.65 to 3.00

The probability that the average is between 2.65 and 3.00 is the difference between the probabilities for \(Z(3.00) \) and \(Z(2.65)\). Since the Z-score for 2.65 (the mean) is 0, the corresponding probability is 0.5. Thus, \[ P(2.65 < \bar{X} < 3.00) = 0.9803 - 0.5 = 0.4803 \]
06

Determine Sample Size for High Probability

To ensure a probability of at least 0.99 that the average is at most 3.00, we need to solve for \(n\) such that the Z-score of the bar is \(\Phi^{-1}(0.99)\). We know:\[ 2.33 = \frac{3.00 - 2.65}{\sigma/\sqrt{n}} \] Rearranging gives:\[ \sigma/\sqrt{n} = \frac{0.35}{2.33} \approx 0.150 \] Then solve for \(n\) using:\[ \sqrt{n} = \frac{0.85}{0.150} \approx 5.67 \] \[ n \approx (5.67)^2 \approx 32.1 \] Thus, a sample size of 33 is needed to achieve a probability of at least 0.99.

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Key Concepts

These are the key concepts you need to understand to accurately answer the question.

Normal Distribution
Normal distribution is a fundamental concept in statistics representing data that naturally clusters around a central point. Think of it as the classic bell curve, where most data points lie around the mean, with frequencies tapering off symmetrically on both sides.

In our exercise, we're examining a situation where the sediment density of specimens follows a normal distribution with a mean (\(\mu\)) of 2.65 grams per cm and a standard deviation (\(\sigma\)) of 0.85. This implies that most sediment density values are centered around 2.65, with fewer specimens having significantly higher or lower densities.

  • Key features include the mean, median, and mode being equal.
  • Approximately 68% of the data falls within one standard deviation of the mean.
  • The curve is symmetric about the mean.
Understanding normal distribution helps predict how data is spread and assists in calculating probabilities for certain values or ranges.
Sample Size Calculation
Sample size calculation is crucial to determine how many data points are necessary for a reliable statistical conclusion. It influences the accuracy and reliability of the statistical analysis. In our problem, we explore sample size to ensure a specific probability coverage when examining sediment density.

When the problem asks how large a sample size is needed to ensure the probability reaches at least 0.99, we're determining the minimum number of specimens required. The calculation involves rearranging the formula for the Z-score, ensuring the standard error is small enough to maintain our desired confidence level.

A larger sample size generally yields more precise outcomes, better approximating the entire population characteristics.
  • Key factors include desired confidence level, population variance, and margin of error.
  • Larger samples reduce the margin of error and increase precision.
Appropriate sample size accounts for variability, ensuring results are statistically significant, not just due to chance.
Standard Error
Standard error (SE) quantifies the variability of a sample mean from the population mean. It's a measure of how much we can expect the sample mean to vary from the actual population mean if we collected multiple samples.

To find SE, we use the formula \(SE = \frac{\sigma}{\sqrt{n}}\), where \(\sigma\) is the standard deviation and \(\sqrt{n}\) is the square root of the sample size. In our exercise, \(\sigma = 0.85\) and \(\sqrt{25}\) gives us an SE of 0.17.

  • SE decreases as sample size increases, indicating less variability.
  • It helps determine the precision of the sample mean as an estimate of the population mean.
SE is essential in constructing confidence intervals and hypothesis testing, reflecting upon how much the sample mean deviates from the true population mean.
Z-score Calculation
Z-score is a statistical measure that describes the position of a data point relative to the mean of the dataset. It indicates how many standard deviations a point is from the mean, thus standardizing different data points for comparison.

In our scenario, the Z-score was calculated to determine how far the sample mean of 3.00 is from the population mean of 2.65. Using \(Z = \frac{\bar{x} - \mu}{SE}\), where \(\bar{x} = 3.00, \mu = 2.65, \text{and } SE = 0.17\), gives \(Z \approx 2.06\).

This means the sample mean is 2.06 standard deviations above the population mean.
  • A positive Z-score means the data point is above the mean.
  • A negative Z-score indicates it's below the mean.
  • Z-scores enable comparisons across different normal distributions.
Understanding Z-scores, you can assess how uncommon or typical a data point is within the dataset, aiding in probability calculations.

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