/*! This file is auto-generated */ .wp-block-button__link{color:#fff;background-color:#32373c;border-radius:9999px;box-shadow:none;text-decoration:none;padding:calc(.667em + 2px) calc(1.333em + 2px);font-size:1.125em}.wp-block-file__button{background:#32373c;color:#fff;text-decoration:none} Problem 48 NBC News reported on May 2,2013 ... [FREE SOLUTION] | 91Ó°ÊÓ

91Ó°ÊÓ

NBC News reported on May 2,2013 , that 1 in 20 children in the United States have a food allergy of some sort. Consider selecting a random sample of 25 children and let \(X\) be the number in the sample who have a food allergy. Then \(X \sim \operatorname{Bin}(25, .05)\). a. Determine both \(P(X \leq 3)\) and \(P(X<3)\). b. Determine \(P(X \geq 4)\). c. Determine \(P(1 \leq X \leq 3)\). d. What are \(E(X)\) and \(\sigma_{X}\) ? e. In a sample of 50 children, what is the probability that none has a food allergy?

Short Answer

Expert verified
a. P(X ≤ 3) = 0.8571, P(X < 3) = 0.7168; b. P(X ≥ 4) = 0.1429; c. P(1 ≤ X ≤ 3) = 0.8416; d. E(X) = 1.25, σ_X = 1.091; e. P(X = 0) ≈ 0.0758.

Step by step solution

01

Understand the Problem

We're dealing with a binomial distribution, where each child either has or does not have a food allergy. The number of trials is 25, and the probability of a child having a food allergy is 0.05.
02

P(X ≤ 3) Calculation

To find \( P(X \leq 3) \), compute the sum of probabilities for \( X = 0, 1, 2, 3 \) using the binomial probability formula: \[ P(X = k) = \binom{n}{k} p^k (1-p)^{n-k} \] where \( n = 25 \) and \( p = 0.05 \).
03

Calculate Individual Probabilities

Compute the individual probabilities: \( P(X = 0) \), \( P(X = 1) \), \( P(X = 2) \), and \( P(X = 3) \) using the formula from Step 2.
04

Sum Probabilities for P(X ≤ 3)

Add the probabilities from Step 3 to find \( P(X \leq 3) \).
05

Calculate P(X < 3)

Calculate \( P(X < 3) \) by summing \( P(X = 0) + P(X = 1) + P(X = 2) \).
06

Determine P(X ≥ 4) Using Complement

Find \( P(X \geq 4) \) using the complement rule: \( P(X \geq 4) = 1 - P(X \leq 3) \).
07

Calculate P(1 ≤ X ≤ 3)

Sum the probabilities \( P(X = 1), P(X = 2), \text{ and } P(X = 3) \) calculated in Step 3.
08

Calculate E(X) and \(\sigma_X\)

Find the expected value \( E(X) = np = 25 \times 0.05 = 1.25 \) and the standard deviation \( \sigma_X = \sqrt{np(1-p)} = \sqrt{25 \times 0.05 \times 0.95} \).
09

Use Binomial Formula for 50 Children

To find the probability that none of the 50 children has an allergy, use \( P(X = 0) = \binom{50}{0} (0.05)^0 (0.95)^{50} \). Calculate this using the same formula used in Step 3.

Unlock Step-by-Step Solutions & Ace Your Exams!

  • Full Textbook Solutions

    Get detailed explanations and key concepts

  • Unlimited Al creation

    Al flashcards, explanations, exams and more...

  • Ads-free access

    To over 500 millions flashcards

  • Money-back guarantee

    We refund you if you fail your exam.

Over 30 million students worldwide already upgrade their learning with 91Ó°ÊÓ!

Key Concepts

These are the key concepts you need to understand to accurately answer the question.

Probability Calculation
In the context of the binomial distribution, probability calculation involves finding the likelihood that a certain number of trials result in success, which in our case is a child having a food allergy. This is done using the binomial probability formula:

\[ P(X = k) = \binom{n}{k} p^k (1-p)^{n-k} \]
where:
  • \( n \) is the total number of trials (children sampled, 25 in our case),
  • \( k \) is the number of successful trials (children with allergies),
  • \( p \) is the probability of success on a single trial (0.05 for a food allergy),
  • \( \binom{n}{k} \) is a binomial coefficient representing the number of ways to choose \( k \) successes from \( n \) trials.

For this exercise, you'll calculate probabilities for various values of \( X \) using this formula. For instance, finding \( P(X \leq 3) \) requires summing the individual probabilities for \( X = 0, 1, 2, \) and \( 3 \). It's important to carefully compute each part of the formula to ensure correct results.
Expected Value
The expected value in a binomial distribution gives us the average number of successes we'd expect from a large number of trials. It's a central measure that helps predict future outcomes based on the distribution's parameters.

The expected value \( E(X) \) of a binomial distribution is calculated using:
\[ E(X) = np \]
In our exercise, the expected value can be found by multiplying the number of trials \( n = 25 \) by the probability of success \( p = 0.05 \), which results in:
\[ E(X) = 25 \times 0.05 = 1.25 \]
This means that, on average, out of the 25 children sampled, we expect about 1.25 children to have a food allergy. Even though practically, a fraction of a child doesn't make sense, this calculation helps guide expectations over many repeated samples.
Standard Deviation
Standard deviation in a binomial distribution tells us how much the number of successes (children with food allergies) is expected to vary from the average (expected value). It's a key component in understanding the distribution's spread or variability.

To find the standard deviation \( \sigma_X \) for a binomial distribution, use the formula:
\[ \sigma_X = \sqrt{np(1-p)} \]
For our case, plug in the values: \( n = 25 \), \( p = 0.05 \), and \( 1-p = 0.95 \).
Thus, the calculation is:
\[ \sigma_X = \sqrt{25 \times 0.05 \times 0.95} \]
Calculating this gives us a standard deviation, indicating the extent of variation from the expected value of approximately 1.25 children with allergies in our sample.
Complement Rule
The complement rule is an essential concept in probability that helps when it's easier to calculate the probability of the opposite (complementary) event, especially when you want probabilities like "at least" or "at most".

If you want to find the probability of at least 4 children having a food allergy (\( P(X \geq 4) \)), you can use the complement rule.

The formula using the complement rule is:
\[ P(X \geq 4) = 1 - P(X \leq 3) \]
Here, \( P(X \leq 3) \) can be calculated as the sum of probabilities for \( X = 0, 1, 2, \) and \( 3 \). Once you have \( P(X \leq 3) \), subtract it from 1 to find \( P(X \geq 4) \).

This approach simplifies computations by focusing on the probabilities of fewer outcomes, effectively making precise calculations more accessible.

One App. One Place for Learning.

All the tools & learning materials you need for study success - in one app.

Get started for free

Most popular questions from this chapter

The article 'Should You Report That FenderBender?" (Consumer Reports, Sept. 2013: 15) reported that 7 in 10 auto accidents involve a single vehicle (the article recommended always reporting to the insurance company an accident involving multiple vehicles). Suppose 15 accidents are randomly selected. Use Appendix Table A.l to answer each of the following questions. a. What is the probability that at most 4 involve a single vehicle? b. What is the probability that exactly 4 involve a single vehicle? c. What is the probability that exactly 6 involve multiple vehicles? d. What is the probability that between 2 and 4 , inclusive, involve a single vehicle? e. What is the probability that at least 2 involve a single vehicle? f. What is the probability that exactly 4 involve a single vehicle and the other 11 involve multiple vehicles?

Each of 12 refrigerators of a certain type has been returned to a distributor because of an audible, highpitched, oscillating noise when the refrigerators are running. Suppose that 7 of these refrigerators have a defective compressor and the other 5 have less serious problems. If the refrigerators are examined in random order, let \(X\) be the number among the first 6 examined that have a defective compressor. a. Calculate \(P(X=4)\) and \(P(X \leq 4)\) b. Determine the probability that \(X\) exceeds its mean value by more than 1 standard deviation. c. Consider a large shipment of 400 refrigerators, of which 40 have defective compressors. If \(X\) is the number among 15 randomly selected refrigerators that have defective compressors, describe a less tedious way to calculate (at least approximately) \(P(X \leq 5)\) than to use the hypergeometric pmf.

Eighteen individuals are scheduled to take a driving test at a particular DMV office on a certain day, eight of whom will be taking the test for the first time. Suppose that six of these individuals are randomly assigned to a particular examiner, and let \(X\) be the number among the six who are taking the test for the first time. a. What kind of a distribution does \(X\) have (name and values of all parameters)? b. Compute \(P(X=2), P(X \leq 2)\), and \(P(X \geq 2)\). c. Calculate the mean value and standard deviation of \(X\).

Customers at a gas station pay with a credit card (A), debit card \((B)\), or cash \((C)\). Assume that successive customers make independent choices, with \(P(A)=.5\), \(P(B)=.2\), and \(P(C)=.3\). a. Among the next 100 customers, what are the mean and variance of the number who pay with a debit card? Explain your reasoning. b. Answer part (a) for the number among the 100 who don't pay with cash.

According to the article "'Characterizing the Severity and Risk of Drought in the Poudre River, Colorado" (J. of Water Res. Planning and Mgmnt.s 2005: 383-393), the drought length \(Y\) is the number of consecutive time intervals in which the water supply remains below a critical value \(y_{0}\) (a deficit), preceded by and followed by periods in which the supply exceeds this critical value (a surplus). The cited paper proposes a geometric distribution with \(p=.409\) for this random variable. a. What is the probability that a drought lasts exactly 3 intervals? At most 3 intervals? b. What is the probability that the length of a drought exceeds its mean value by at least one standard deviation?

See all solutions

Recommended explanations on Math Textbooks

View all explanations

What do you think about this solution?

We value your feedback to improve our textbook solutions.

Study anywhere. Anytime. Across all devices.