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An engineering construction firm is currently working on power plants at three different sites. Let \(A_{i}\) denote the event that the plant at site \(i\) is completed by the contract date. Use the operations of union, intersection, and complementation to describe each of the following events in terms of \(A_{1}, A_{2}\), and \(A_{3}\), draw a Venn diagram, and shade the region corresponding to each one. a. At least one plant is completed by the contract date. b. All plants are completed by the contract date. c. Only the plant at site 1 is completed by the contract date. d. Exactly one plant is completed by the contract date. e. Either the plant at site 1 or both of the other two plants are completed by the contract date.

Short Answer

Expert verified
a) \(A_1 \cup A_2 \cup A_3\); b) \(A_1 \cap A_2 \cap A_3\); c) \(A_1 \cap A_2^c \cap A_3^c\); d) Union of each plant alone; e) \(A_1 \cup (A_2 \cap A_3)\).

Step by step solution

01

Understand the Events

Each event \(A_i\) represents the completion of the plant at site \(i\) by the contract date. We will use union, intersection, and complement operations to describe each scenario.
02

At Least One Plant is Completed

The event that at least one plant is completed corresponds to the union of all individual events. Represented as \(A_1 \cup A_2 \cup A_3\). In a Venn diagram, this is any area that includes at least one of the circles representing \(A_1, A_2,\) or \(A_3\).
03

All Plants are Completed

This is the intersection of all the events, represented as \(A_1 \cap A_2 \cap A_3\). In a Venn diagram, this is the region where all three circles overlap.
04

Only the Plant at Site 1 is Completed

This is represented as \(A_1 \cap A_2^c \cap A_3^c\) where \(A_2^c\) and \(A_3^c\) are the complements of \(A_2\) and \(A_3\), respectively. In a Venn diagram, this is the part of \(A_1\) that does not overlap with \(A_2\) or \(A_3\).
05

Exactly One Plant is Completed

This scenario can happen in three ways: either \(A_1 \cap A_2^c \cap A_3^c\), \(A_1^c \cap A_2 \cap A_3^c\), or \(A_1^c \cap A_2^c \cap A_3\). Combine these scenarios using union: \((A_1 \cap A_2^c \cap A_3^c) \cup (A_1^c \cap A_2 \cap A_3^c) \cup (A_1^c \cap A_2^c \cap A_3)\). This combination is the sum of those specific non-overlapping regions in the diagram.
06

Either Plant 1 or Both Other Plants are Completed

This scenario is expressed as \(A_1 \cup (A_2 \cap A_3)\). It covers the regions where either \(A_1\) is present or both \(A_2\) and \(A_3\) overlap in the Venn diagram.

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Key Concepts

These are the key concepts you need to understand to accurately answer the question.

Event Operations
Event operations are fundamental when dealing with probability theory and involve manipulating sets representing various outcomes. In our context, the events refer to the completion state of power plants. We can use three primary operations:
  • Union (\(\cup\)): Combines multiple events and includes any situation where at least one of the events occurs. For example, the event \(A_1 \cup A_2\) signifies that either plant 1 or plant 2, or both, are completed.

  • Intersection (\(\cap\)): Identifies scenarios where all considered events occur simultaneously. For instance, the event \(A_1 \cap A_2\) means both plant 1 and plant 2 are completed.

  • Complementation: Represents outcomes where a specific event does not happen. Denoted as \(A^c\), it includes all situations except those in \(A\). If \(A_1^c\) is considered, it implies that plant 1 is not completed.
These tools allow us to describe complex real-world events using a concise mathematical language.
Venn Diagrams
Venn diagrams offer a visual way to represent relationships between different events. In probability and set theory, they serve as a useful tool to visualize operations like unions, intersections, and complements.
A typical Venn diagram involves circles within a rectangle, each circle representing a unique event. Overlapping areas of these circles show intersections where events coincide, while distinct circles indicate exclusive occurrences.
For instance, if we represent events \(A_1, A_2,\) and \(A_3\) in a Venn diagram, the area overlapping between all three circles represents \(A_1 \cap A_2 \cap A_3\), where all plants are completed. Conversely, any region where at least one circle exists without overlap implies the union \(A_1 \cup A_2 \cup A_3\) – a situation where at least one plant is completed.
This graphical representation aids in understanding event operations intuitively, especially when determining complex combinations of outcomes.
Set Theory
Set theory is foundational in understanding events and operations within probability. Events in probability are essentially sets of outcomes, and set theory provides the tools to handle these efficiently.
Sets allow us to encapsulate information like the states of plant completion. For example, set \(A_1\) includes all possible outcomes where the plant at site 1 is completed. Meanwhile, operations such as union and intersection are direct applications of set theory principles.
Using notation like \(A_1 \cup A_2\) or \(A_1 \cap A_2\), we leverage set theory to describe complex scenarios neatly. Set complements, like \(A_1^c\), further enrich our ability to manage and express what's possible or not within these event combinations.
Ultimately, set theory underpins our approach to event operations, making it possible to translate real-world scenarios into mathematical expressions that are manageable and understandable.
Union and Intersection of Events
Union and intersection are pivotal concepts in probability as they define how multiple events relate to one another. The union of events, denoted as \(A \cup B\), represents situations where either event \(A\), event \(B\), or both occur. This is crucial for scenarios like determining if at least one power plant completes its construction in time.
Conversely, the intersection, indicated as \(A \cap B\), focuses on cases where both events occur simultaneously. This is seen in probabilities where we need to know if all power plants meet their respective deadlines.
Understanding these operations assists in breaking down complex problems. For example, combining events with multiple unions and intersections allows us to specify conditions like completing exactly one plant or none at all.
These foundational concepts help translate conditions into mathematical language, which can then be analyzed with precision and clarity, serving as a cornerstone in probability theory.

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Most popular questions from this chapter

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