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Verify that if each \(x_{i}\) is multiplied by a positive constant \(c\) and each \(y_{i}\) is multiplied by another positive constant \(d\), the \(t\) statistic for testing \(H_{0}: \beta_{1}=0\) versus \(H_{\mathrm{a}}: \beta_{1} \neq 0\) is unchanged in value (the value of \(\hat{\beta}_{1}\) will change, which shows that the magnitude of \(\hat{\beta}_{1}\) is not by itself indicative of model utility).

Short Answer

Expert verified
The t-statistic remains unchanged when \(x_{i}\) is multiplied by \(c\) and \(y_{i}\) by \(d\).

Step by step solution

01

Understand the formula for the t-statistic

The t-statistic used for testing the hypothesis ..., is calculated as \( t = \frac{\hat{\beta}_{1}}{\text{SE}(\hat{\beta}_{1})} \), where \( \hat{\beta}_{1} \) is the estimated coefficient, and \( \text{SE}(\hat{\beta}_{1}) \) is its standard error.
02

Apply the multiplication constants

Suppose each \( x_{i} \) is multiplied by a constant \( c \) and each \( y_{i} \) by a constant \( d \). The new estimates are \( \hat{\beta}_{1}' = \frac{\text{Cov}(c x, d y)}{\text{Var}(c x)} = \frac{cd \cdot \text{Cov}(x, y)}{c^2 \cdot \text{Var}(x)} = \frac{d}{c} \hat{\beta}_{1} \).
03

Analyze the change in the standard error

The standard error \( \text{SE}(\hat{\beta}_{1}) \) also changes with the transformed variables. It becomes \( \text{SE}(\hat{\beta}_{1}') = \frac{d}{c} \text{SE}(\hat{\beta}_{1}) \), because standard error is directly proportional to both \( d \) and inversely to \( c \).
04

Examine the t-statistic for the transformed variables

For the transformed variables, the t-statistic \( t' \) is \( t' = \frac{\hat{\beta}_{1}'}{\text{SE}(\hat{\beta}_{1}')} = \frac{\frac{d}{c} \hat{\beta}_{1}}{\frac{d}{c} \text{SE}(\hat{\beta}_{1})} = \frac{\hat{\beta}_{1}}{\text{SE}(\hat{\beta}_{1})} = t \).
05

Conclude the t-statistic is unchanged

The t-statistic remains \( t \), showing that multiplying \( x_{i} \) by \( c \) and \( y_{i} \) by \( d \) does not affect the value of the t-statistic. Therefore, the t-statistic remains a valid measure for hypothesis testing regardless of these transformations.

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Key Concepts

These are the key concepts you need to understand to accurately answer the question.

Hypothesis Testing
Hypothesis testing is a statistical method used to make decisions about a population based on sample data. In the context of linear regression, we often test hypotheses about the true values of coefficients like \( \beta_1 \). Here, the null hypothesis \( H_0: \beta_1 = 0 \) suggests no relationship between the independent and dependent variables, while the alternative hypothesis \( H_a: \beta_1 eq 0 \) indicates a potential association.
To test these hypotheses, we use a t-statistic calculated from the sample data. The t-statistic helps determine whether the coefficient \( \beta_1 \) is statistically different from zero. If the calculated t-statistic is large in magnitude relative to critical values from t-distribution tables, we may reject the null hypothesis in favor of the alternative.
Hypothesis testing provides a systematic approach for determining the evidence against the null hypothesis in the presence of random data fluctuations.
Linear Regression
Linear regression is a statistical technique used to model the relationship between a dependent variable and one or more independent variables. It helps to understand how changes in the independent variables affect the dependent variable.
In simple linear regression, we have one independent variable predicting one dependent variable. The model is usually expressed in the form \( y = \beta_0 + \beta_1 x + \epsilon \), where \( \beta_0 \) is the intercept, \( \beta_1 \) is the slope or coefficient, and \( \epsilon \) is the error term.
The goal is to estimate these coefficients from the data so that the line of best fit represents the data well. Linear regression assumptions include linearity, independence, homoscedasticity, and normally distributed errors.
Understanding the coefficients, like \( \beta_1 \), helps in interpreting the strength and direction of relationships in the data, which is crucial for making informed decisions or predictions.
Standard Error
The standard error is a measure that provides insight into the precision of an estimated coefficient in a regression analysis. More precisely, it quantifies the variation of the estimate from the true population parameter.
In linear regression, the standard error of \( \hat{\beta}_1 \) helps us understand how much the estimated coefficient might be expected to vary if we were to take multiple samples from the population. A smaller standard error indicates a more precise estimate of the coefficient.
Calculating the standard error involves considerations of sample size and variability in the data. Generally, a larger sample yields a smaller standard error, providing more confidence in the estimate. Standard error is essential for constructing confidence intervals and conducting hypothesis tests on the coefficients.
It influences the reliability of the conclusions drawn from a statistical analysis, ensuring that decision-making is based on robust evidence.
Coefficient Estimation
Coefficient estimation in linear regression involves determining the values of coefficients \( \beta_0 \) and \( \beta_1 \), which best fit the given data. This procedure is typically done using the method of least squares, which minimizes the sum of the squared differences between observed and predicted values.
When coefficients are estimated, they represent the relationship magnitude and direction between independent and dependent variables. For example, a positive \( \beta_1 \) suggests that as the independent variable increases, the dependent variable also increases.
It's important to remember that transformations of data, such as multiplying by constants, affect the estimates, but not necessarily the results of hypothesis testing. In the exercise provided, multiplying each \( x_i \) and \( y_i \) by constants alters the estimate of \( \beta_1 \) but leaves the t-statistic unchanged, underscoring that the scale of \( \hat{\beta}_1 \) alone does not determine its statistical significance.
Understanding the nuances of coefficient estimation and its implications is critical for accurately interpreting and applying regression analyses.

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Most popular questions from this chapter

A sample of \(n=500(x, y)\) pairs was collected and a test of \(H_{0}: \rho=0\) versus \(H_{\mathrm{a}}: \rho \neq 0\) was carried out. The resulting \(P\)-value was computed to be \(.00032\). a. What conclusion would be appropriate at level of significance .001? b. Does this small \(P\)-value indicate that there is a very strong linear relationship between \(x\) and \(y\) (a value of \(\rho\) that differs considerably from 0 )? Explain. c. Now suppose a sample of \(n=10,000(x, y)\) pairs resulted in \(r=.022\). Test \(H_{0}: \rho=0\) versus \(H_{\mathrm{a}}: \rho \neq 0\) at level .05. Is the result statistically significant? Comment on the practical significance of your analysis.

Consider the following three data sets, in which the variables of interest are \(x=\) commuting distance and \(y=\) commuting time. Based on a scatterplot and the values of \(s\) and \(r^{2}\), in which situation would simple linear regression be most (least) effective, and why? $$ \begin{array}{rrrrrrrr} \text { Data Set } & & \mathbf{1} & & 2 & & & 3 \\ \hline & \boldsymbol{x} & \boldsymbol{y} & \boldsymbol{x} & \boldsymbol{y} & \boldsymbol{x} & \boldsymbol{y} \\ & 15 & 42 & 5 & 16 & 5 & 8 \\ 16 & 35 & 10 & 32 & 10 & 16 \\ & 17 & 45 & 15 & 44 & 15 & 22 \\ & 18 & 42 & 20 & 45 & 20 & 23 \\ & 19 & 49 & 25 & 63 & 25 & 31 \\ & 20 & 46 & 50 & 115 & 50 & 60 \\ \hline \end{array} $$

The article "Behavioural Effects of Mobile Telephone Use During Simulated Driving" (Ergonomics, 1995: 2536-2562) reported that for a sample of 20 experimental subjects, the sample correlation coefficient for \(x=\) age and \(y=\) time since the subject had acquired a driving license (yr) was .97. Why do you think the value of \(r\) is so close to 1 ? (The article's authors give an explanation.)

The article "Quantitative Estimation of Clay Mineralogy in Fine-Grained Soils" (J. of Geotechnical and Geoenvironmental Engr., 2011: 997-1008) reported on various chemical properties of natural and artificial soils. Here are observations on \(x=\) cation exchange capacity (CEC, in meq/100 g) and \(y=\) specific surface area (SSA, in \(\mathrm{m}^{2} / \mathrm{g}\) ) of 20 natural soils. $$ \begin{array}{c|cccccccccc} x & 66 & 121 & 134 & 101 & 77 & 89 & 63 & 57 & 117 & 118 \\ \hline y & 175 & 324 & 460 & 288 & 205 & 210 & 295 & 161 & 314 & 265 \\ x & 76 & 125 & 75 & 71 & 133 & 104 & 76 & 96 & 58 & 109 \\ \hline y & 236 & 355 & 240 & 133 & 431 & 306 & 132 & 269 & 158 & 303 \end{array} $$ Minitab gave the following output in response to a request for \(r\) : Normal probability plots of \(x\) and \(y\) are quite straight. a. Carry out a test of hypotheses to see if there is a positive linear association in the population from which the sample data was selected. b. With \(n=20\), how small would the value of \(r\) have to be in order for the null hypothesis in the test of (a) to not be rejected at significance level .01? c. Calculate a confidence interval for \(\rho\) using a \(95 \%\) confidence level.

Bivariate data often arises from the use of two different techniques to measure the same quantity. As an example, the accompanying observations on \(x=\) hydrogen concentration (ppm) using a gas chromatography method and \(y=\) concentration using a new sensor method were read from a graph in the article "'A New Method to Measure the Diffusible Hydrogen Content in Steel Weldments Using a Polymer Electrolyte-Based Hydrogen Sensor" (Welding Res., July 1997: \(251 \mathrm{~s}-256 \mathrm{~s})\). $$ \begin{array}{c|cccccccccc} x & 47 & 62 & 65 & 70 & 70 & 78 & 95 & 100 & 114 & 118 \\ \hline y & 38 & 62 & 53 & 67 & 84 & 79 & 93 & 106 & 117 & 116 \\ x & 124 & 127 & 140 & 140 & 140 & 150 & 152 & 164 & 198 & 221 \\ \hline y & 127 & 114 & 134 & 139 & 142 & 170 & 149 & 154 & 200 & 215 \end{array} $$ Construct a scatterplot. Does there appear to be a very strong relationship between the two types of concentration measurements? Do the two methods appear to be measuring roughly the same quantity? Explain your reasoning.

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