/*! This file is auto-generated */ .wp-block-button__link{color:#fff;background-color:#32373c;border-radius:9999px;box-shadow:none;text-decoration:none;padding:calc(.667em + 2px) calc(1.333em + 2px);font-size:1.125em}.wp-block-file__button{background:#32373c;color:#fff;text-decoration:none} Problem 21 Arsenic is a known carcinogen an... [FREE SOLUTION] | 91Ó°ÊÓ

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Arsenic is a known carcinogen and poison. The standard laboratory procedures for measuring arsenic concentration \((\mu \mathrm{g} / \mathrm{L})\) in water are expensive. Consider the accompanying summary data and Minitab output for comparing a laboratory method to a new relatively quick and inexpensive field method (from the article "Evaluation of a New Field Measurement Method for Arsenic in Drinking Water Samples," J. of Envir. Engr, 2008: 382-388). Two-Sample T-Test and CI \(\begin{array}{lcccr}\text { Sample } & \text { N } & \text { Mean } & \text { StDev } & \text { SE Mean } \\ 1 & 3 & 19.70 & 1.10 & 0.64 \\ 2 & 3 & 10.90 & 0.60 & 0.35 \\ \text { Estimate for difference: } 8.800 & \end{array}\) 95? CI for difference: \((6.498,11.102)\) T-Test of difference \(=0\) (vs not \(=\) ): \(\mathrm{T}\)-Value \(=12.16 \mathrm{P}\)-Value \(=0.001 \mathrm{DF}=3\) What conclusion do you draw about the two methods, and why? Interpret the given confidence interval. [Note: One of the article's authors indicated in private communication that they were unsure why the two methods disagreed.]

Short Answer

Expert verified
The two methods yield significantly different mean results; the laboratory method shows higher arsenic levels.

Step by step solution

01

Understand the Two-Sample T-Test

The two-sample t-test is used to compare the means of two independent groups to determine if there is a statistically significant difference between them. In this case, the groups are the laboratory method and the field method for measuring arsenic concentration in water.
02

Analyze the Provided Data

The given summary data shows the mean, standard deviation, and standard error for both samples (methods). Sample 1 (laboratory) has a mean of 19.70 µg/L, and Sample 2 (field) has a mean of 10.90 µg/L.
03

Evaluate the Confidence Interval

The 95% confidence interval for the difference in means is (6.498, 11.102). This range does not contain zero, suggesting that there is a statistically significant difference between the two methods' mean arsenic concentrations.
04

Interpret the T-Test Results

The t-test results give a t-value of 12.16 and a p-value of 0.001. Since the p-value is less than the typical significance level of 0.05, we reject the null hypothesis that there is no difference between the methods. This indicates a significant difference in the means of the two methods.
05

Conclusion

Both the confidence interval and the t-test results support the conclusion that the two methods provide significantly different mean arsenic measurements. The laboratory method yields a higher mean concentration compared to the field method.

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Key Concepts

These are the key concepts you need to understand to accurately answer the question.

Confidence Interval
When dealing with data analysis, confidence intervals play a crucial role in statistical inferences. In this exercise, we have been given a 95% confidence interval for the difference between the mean arsenic concentrations measured by the laboratory method and the field method, which is (6.498, 11.102). This interval means that we can be 95% confident that the true difference in means lies somewhere between 6.498 and 11.102.
This confidence interval does not include zero, indicating that there is a statistically significant difference between the two methods. If the interval included zero, it would suggest that there might not be a true difference between the methods. Therefore, this interval provides strong evidence that the laboratory method and the field method yield different average concentrations of arsenic in the water samples.
Confidence intervals not only provide information about statistical significance but also offer insight into the magnitude of the difference. In this case, it suggests that the laboratory method is consistently detecting more arsenic than the field method. This is critical when considering the reliability and precision of these measurements in real-world applications.
Mean Comparison
The exercise involves comparing the means of two independent samples: a laboratory method and a field method for measuring arsenic concentration in water. The average (mean) concentration for the laboratory method is 19.70 micrograms per liter \(\mu g/L\), while the field method has a significantly lower mean of 10.90 \(\mu g/L\). Understanding this difference is key in evaluating the effectiveness and accuracy of each method.
Comparing the means informs us about how much the average readings vary between the two methods. This can be essential when choosing the best measurement method, especially in environmental studies. The difference in the means, estimated at 8.800, highlights that the two methods are not just different by chance but also in terms of output magnitude.
To scientifically assert that one method yields a consistently different average measurement compared to the other, statistical analysis such as a two-sample t-test is utilized. This comparison helps researchers, engineerings, and decision-makers to choose the most accurate and cost-effective method of arsenic detection.
P-Value Interpretation
A critical aspect of hypothesis testing is interpreting the p-value, which helps determine the statistical significance of the results. In this exercise, the p-value obtained is 0.001, which is substantially lower than the commonly used significance level of 0.05. This small p-value indicates strong evidence against the null hypothesis, which assumes that there is no difference in the mean concentrations measured by the two methods.
With a p-value of 0.001, we reject the null hypothesis, concluding that the two-sample means are significantly different from each other. This adds weight to the observation that the laboratory method and the field method do not measure arsenic concentrations equally.
Understanding p-value interpretation is crucial in research and hypothesis testing because it gives us a measure of how well the observed data align with the assumptions of the null hypothesis. Lower p-values suggest that the observed results are unlikely due to random chance, leading us to accept the alternative hypothesis that there is a genuine difference between the compared methods.

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