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Let \(X\) have a Weibull distribution with the pdf from Expression (4.11). Verify that \(\mu=\beta \Gamma(1+1 / \alpha)\). [Hint: In the integral for \(E(X)\), make the change of variable \(y=(x / \beta)^{\alpha}\), so that \(x=\beta y^{1 / \alpha}\).]

Short Answer

Expert verified
The expected value \( \mu = \beta \Gamma(1 + 1/\alpha) \) is verified through the variable substitution and integration steps.

Step by step solution

01

Understand the Problem

The problem involves verifying that the expected value (mean) of a Weibull distribution is given by \( \mu = \beta \Gamma(1+1/\alpha) \). We will use integration and transformation techniques to show this.
02

Identify the Weibull PDF

A Weibull distribution with scale parameter \( \beta \) and shape parameter \( \alpha \) has the probability density function (pdf): \( f(x) = \frac{\alpha}{\beta} \left(\frac{x}{\beta}\right)^{\alpha - 1} e^{-(x/\beta)^\alpha} \) for \( x \geq 0 \).
03

Set Up the Expectation Integral

The expected value \( E(X) \) of a continuous random variable is given by the integral \( E(X) = \int_0^{\infty} x f(x) \, dx \). Substituting the Weibull pdf, we get \( E(X) = \int_0^{\infty} x \frac{\alpha}{\beta} \left(\frac{x}{\beta}\right)^{\alpha - 1} e^{-(x/\beta)^\alpha} \, dx \).
04

Make the Substitution

Use the substitution \( y = (x/\beta)^\alpha \), which implies \( x = \beta y^{1/\alpha} \) and \( dx = \frac{\beta}{\alpha} y^{1/\alpha - 1} \, dy \). Substitute these into the integral: \( E(X) = \int_0^{\infty} \beta y^{1/\alpha} \frac{\alpha}{\beta} \beta y^{1/\alpha - 1} e^{-y} \frac{\beta}{\alpha} \, dy \).
05

Simplify the Integral

After substitution, the integral becomes \( E(X) = \int_0^{\infty} \beta y^{1/\alpha} e^{-y} \, dy \). Simplify this to \( E(X) = \beta \int_0^{\infty} y^{1/\alpha} e^{-y} \, dy \). This is the definition of the Gamma function, \( \Gamma(n) = \int_0^{\infty} y^{n-1} e^{-y} \, dy \).
06

Identify the Gamma Function

In the integral \( \int_0^{\infty} y^{1/\alpha} e^{-y} \, dy \), the expression matches the Gamma function where \( n = 1 + 1/\alpha \). Therefore, \( \int_0^{\infty} y^{1/\alpha} e^{-y} \, dy = \Gamma(1 + 1/\alpha) \).
07

Write the Final Expression for \( E(X) \)

Thus, substituting back, we have \( E(X) = \beta \Gamma(1 + 1/\alpha) \), which matches the expected value formula we wanted to verify: \( \mu = \beta \Gamma(1 + 1/\alpha) \).

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Key Concepts

These are the key concepts you need to understand to accurately answer the question.

Expected Value
The concept of expected value is fundamental to understanding probability and statistics.
It represents the average or mean value that one would anticipate receiving if an experiment or situation was repeated many times. In mathematical terms, the expected value of a continuous random variable, such as the Weibull distribution, is computed through integration.

For the Weibull distribution, the expected value is expressed using the formula: \[ E(X) = \int_0^{\infty} x f(x) \, dx \] Where \( f(x) \) defines the probability density function (pdf).
By calculating this integral, we effectively find the average outcome of the distribution.

In the problem at hand, the expected value of the Weibull distribution is given as \( \mu = \beta \Gamma(1 + 1 / \alpha) \). The parameter \( \beta \) is known as the scale parameter, while \( \alpha \) is the shape parameter. With the use of substitution and the definition of the Gamma Function, the expected value can be verified to match this formula.
Gamma Function
The Gamma function is a crucial concept in higher mathematics, generalizing the idea of factorials to non-integer values.
It is denoted by \( \Gamma(n) \) and defined as: \[ \Gamma(n) = \int_0^{\infty} y^{n-1} e^{-y} \, dy \] This formula represents an integral that computes values for factorial-like calculations within continuous variable distributions.

In the context of the Weibull distribution and the expected value formula, the Gamma function appears when simplifying the integral for \( E(X) \).
A notable property of the Gamma function is when \( n = 1 + 1/\alpha \), enabling us to relate it directly to the given expression in the problem \( \mu = \beta \Gamma(1 + 1/\alpha) \). This relationship allows the conversion from the integral form of \( E(X) \) to the simplified and calculable formula that incorporates the Gamma function.
Probability Density Function
The probability density function (pdf) is an essential tool in statistics, helping to define the likelihood of a random variable within certain bounds.
For continuous variables like the one in our Weibull distribution problem, the pdf provides the necessary framework to compute probabilities over a continuous range of outcomes.
  • The pdf for a Weibull distribution with parameters \( \beta \) and \( \alpha \) is given by: \[ f(x) = \frac{\alpha}{\beta} \left(\frac{x}{\beta}\right)^{\alpha - 1} e^{-(x/\beta)^\alpha} \]

In this function, \( \alpha \) is the shape parameter controlling the distribution's form, and \( \beta \) is the scale parameter altering the width.
The behavior of this pdf is crucial for deriving other statistical properties, like the expected value.
By integrating \( x f(x) \) over its range, you can determine the mean, verify its formulation, and acquire insights into the behavior of the corresponding random variable.
The pdf not only assists in finding the expected value but also in determining other characteristics, such as variance, quantiles, and modal intervals.

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Most popular questions from this chapter

The weight distribution of parcels sent in a certain manner is normal with mean value \(12 \mathrm{lb}\) and standard deviation \(3.5 \mathrm{lb}\). The parcel service wishes to establish a weight value \(c\) beyond which there will be a surcharge. What value of \(c\) is such that \(99 \%\) of all parcels are at least \(1 \mathrm{lb}\) under the surcharge weight?

The lifetime \(X\) (in hundreds of hours) of a certain type of vacuum tube has a Weibull distribution with parameters \(\alpha=2\) and \(\beta=3\). Compute the following: a. \(E(X)\) and \(V(X)\) b. \(P(X \leq 6)\) c. \(P(1.5 \leq X \leq 6)\) (This Weibull distribution is suggested as a model for time in service in "On the Assessment of Equipment Reliability: Trading Data Collection Costs for Precision," J. of Engr: Manuf., 1991: 105-109.)

The temperature reading from a thermocouple placed in a constant-temperature medium is normally distributed with mean \(\mu\), the actual temperature of the medium, and standard deviation \(\sigma\). What would the value of \(\sigma\) have to be to ensure that \(95 \%\) of all readings are within \(1^{\circ}\) of \(\mu\) ?

Find the following percentiles for the standard normal distribution. Interpolate where appropriate. a. 91 st b. 9 th c. 75 th d. 25 th e. 6 th

Let \(V\) denote rainfall volume and \(W\) denote runoff volume (both in mm). According to the article "Runoff Quality Analysis of Urban Catchments with Analytical Probability Models" (J. of Water Resource Planning and Management, 2006: 4 -14), the runoff volume will be 0 if \(V \leq v_{d}\) and will be \(k\left(V-v_{d}\right)\) if \(V>v_{d}\). Here \(v_{d}\) is the volume of depression storage (a constant), and \(k\) (also a constant) is the runoff coefficient. The cited article proposes an exponential distribution with parameter \(\lambda\) for \(V\). a. Obtain an expression for the cdf of \(W\). [Note: \(W\) is neither purely continuous nor purely discrete; instead it has a "mixed" distribution with a discrete component at 0 and is continuous for values \(w>0\).] b. What is the pdf of \(W\) for \(w>0\) ? Use this to obtain an expression for the expected value of runoff volume.

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