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Let \(X\) denote the temperature at which a certain chemical reaction takes place. Suppose that \(X\) has pdf $$ f(x)=\left\\{\begin{array}{cl} \frac{1}{9}\left(4-x^{2}\right) & -1 \leq x \leq 2 \\ 0 & \text { otherwise } \end{array}\right. $$ a. Sketch the graph of \(f(x)\). b. Determine the cdf and sketch it. c. Is 0 the median temperature at which the reaction takes place? If not, is the median temperature smaller or larger than 0? d. Suppose this reaction is independently carried out once in each of ten different labs and that the pdf of reaction time in each lab is as given. Let \(Y=\) the number among the ten labs at which the temperature exceeds 1. What kind of distribution does \(Y\) have? (Give the names and values of any parameters.)

Short Answer

Expert verified
The median is not 0; the binomial distribution \(Y\) is \(\text{Binomial}(10, p)\).

Step by step solution

01

Understanding the Problem's PDF

The problem gives us a probability density function (pdf) for the random variable \(X\), which models the temperature at which a chemical reaction occurs. The function \(f(x)\) takes the form \(\frac{1}{9}(4-x^2)\) within the interval \([-1, 2]\) and is zero otherwise.
02

Sketching the PDF

To sketch \(f(x)\), observe that it is a parabolic function opening downwards and is defined over \([-1, 2]\). The vertices or turning points can be determined by setting the derivative of \(f(x)\) to zero. Plotting this parabolic curve from \(-1\) to \(2\), the highest point is at \(x = 0\) with \(f(0) = \frac{4}{9}\). Beyond its interval, \(f(x)\) is zero.
03

Determining the CDF

The cumulative distribution function (cdf), \(F(x)\), is calculated by integrating the pdf from the lower limit of its support up to \(x\). So,\\[ F(x) = \int_{-1}^{x} \left( \frac{4-t^2}{9} \right) dt \]Compute this integral within the bounds to find \(F(x)\).
04

Sketching the CDF

After determining \(F(x)\), plot it. This continuous function starts at 0 when \(x = -1\) and asymptotically approaches 1 as \(x\) reaches the upper bound of 2. The graph should reflect this smoothly increase from 0 to 1 over that interval.
05

Finding the Median Temperature

The median is the \(x\) value such that \(F(x) = 0.5\). Solve \(\frac{1}{9}(3x - \frac{x^3}{3}) = 0.5\) for \(x\) to determine if \(x = 0\) is the median. If the calculated median is less than or greater than zero, note that information.
06

Characterizing the Distribution for Part d

Since \(Y\) represents the number of labs where the temperature exceeds 1, and each lab's temperature observation is independent,\(Y\) follows a binomial distribution. The probability \(p\), that a temperature in a lab exceeds 1 is given by \(1 - F(1)\). Hence, \(Y\) is \(\text{Binomial}(n=10, p)\).

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Key Concepts

These are the key concepts you need to understand to accurately answer the question.

Cumulative Distribution Function
The Cumulative Distribution Function, or CDF, assists in understanding the probability distribution of a random variable. In essence, the CDF maps a given value to the probability that the random variable is less than or equal to that value. This can be expressed as:\[ F(x) = P(X \leq x) \]To find the CDF for a given probability density function (PDF), you integrate the PDF from its starting limit up to the desired point. In our given example, the PDF of the temperature is \(f(x)\), and the task is to compute the CDF, \(F(x)\). Specifically, \(F(x)\) gives us the probability that the temperature does not exceed \(x\).
  • The integral of the PDF from \(-1\) (the lower limit) to \(x\) yields the CDF result.
  • The CDF starts at 0 for \(-1\) and gradually rises to 1 by the time it reaches the upper bound of 2.
  • It provides a cumulative "look-up" for all probabilities up to \(x\).
The CDF can be visualized as a continuously increasing graph from 0 to 1, which is especially useful when identifying values such as the median or other percentiles.
Binomial Distribution
The binomial distribution is a common probability distribution that models the number of successes in a fixed number of independent trials of a binary outcome. It is characterized by two parameters: the number of trials \(n\), and the probability of success on each trial \(p\).
  • Each trial is independent.
  • The probability \(p\) remains constant across trials.
  • The outcome is binary, meaning either success or failure (yes/no, win/lose).
In the given exercise, when we determine the distribution of \(Y\), representing the number of labs where the temperature exceeds 1, it becomes clear that \(Y\) follows a binomial distribution.- There are 10 labs, which means 10 independent trials, thus \(n = 10\).- The probability of "success" \(p\), or the probability that the temperature exceeds 1 in a lab, is computed as the CDF at 1 subtracted from 1.Capturing this entire scenario under the binomial framework makes it easier to compute probabilities concerning the number of labs that record temperatures above 1.
Median Temperature
The median temperature is that temperature at which half of all occurrences are below, and half are above, a key concept in defining central tendency in probability distributions.In relation to the exercise, when determining if 0 is the median temperature, the calculation requires setting the CDF equation equal to 0.5:- Solving \(F(x) = 0.5\), gives the value of \(x\) at which exactly half the experiments occur at a lower temperature and half at a higher temperature.- In our problem, this would typically involve integrating the PDF and solving the resulting equation for \(x\).
  • If the calculated median is less than 0, the true median is below 0.
  • If greater than 0, then it is above zero.
The median is a distinct point on the CDF plot where the probability reaches 0.5, marking the mid-point of the data spread.
Random Variable
A random variable is a fundamental concept in probability and statistics, representing outcomes of a random phenomenon. It assigns numerical outcomes to the result of a random experiment.There are two main types:
  • Discrete random variables, which have countable outcomes.
  • Continuous random variables, which have outcomes that lie on a continuum.
In the given exercise, \(X\) is the random variable representing the temperature at which a chemical reaction takes place. It is a continuous random variable because it can take on a range of values in a given interval (\(-1 \leq x \leq 2\)).- The PDF \(f(x)\) provides insights into how probabilities are spread across the range of temperatures.- For continuous variables, probabilities for specific values are not directly calculated. Instead, the probabilities over intervals (ranges) are considered, often using the CDF.Understanding random variables and their distributions allows for the determination and prediction of likelihoods over various outcomes, such as identifying expected behaviors or values within provided contexts.

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