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Let \(X=\) the time it takes a read/write head to locate a desired record on a computer disk memory device once the head has been positioned over the correct track. If the disks rotate once every 25 millisec, a reasonable assumption is that \(X\) is uniformly distributed on the interval \([0,25]\). a. Compute \(P(10 \leq X \leq 20)\). b. Compute \(P(X \geq 10)\). c. Obtain the cdf \(F(X)\). d. Compute \(E(X)\) and \(\sigma_{X}\).

Short Answer

Expert verified
a) 0.4, b) 0.6, c) \(F(x) = \frac{x}{25}\) for \(0 \leq x \leq 25\), d) \(E(X) = 12.5\), \(\sigma_X \approx 7.21\).

Step by step solution

01

Identify the Distribution Characteristics

Since \(X\) is uniformly distributed on the interval \([0, 25]\), the probability density function (pdf) is constant over this interval. The pdf is given by \(f(x) = \frac{1}{b-a}\) for \(a \leq x \leq b\), where \(a = 0\) and \(b = 25\). Thus, \(f(x) = \frac{1}{25}\).
02

Compute P(10 ≤ X ≤ 20)

The probability of \(X\) falling within the interval \([10, 20]\) can be computed as the area under the uniform distribution curve from 10 to 20: \[ P(10 \leq X \leq 20) = \int_{10}^{20} \frac{1}{25} \, dx = \frac{1}{25} \times (20 - 10) = \frac{1}{25} \times 10 = \frac{10}{25} = \frac{2}{5} \approx 0.4. \]
03

Compute P(X ≥ 10)

To find \(P(X \geq 10)\), we calculate the area from 10 to 25 under the pdf:\[ P(X \geq 10) = \int_{10}^{25} \frac{1}{25} \, dx = \frac{1}{25} \times (25 - 10) = \frac{1}{25} \times 15 = \frac{15}{25} = \frac{3}{5} \approx 0.6. \]
04

Obtain the Cumulative Distribution Function (CDF) F(X)

The cumulative distribution function is obtained by integrating the pdf from the lower bound (0) to \(x\): For \(0 \leq x \leq 25\):\[ F(x) = \int_{0}^{x} \frac{1}{25} \, dt = \frac{x}{25}, \] providing \(F(x) = 0\) for \(x < 0\) and \(F(x) = 1\) for \(x > 25\).
05

Compute E(X) and \(\sigma_{X}\)

The expectation \(E(X)\) of a uniform distribution \([a, b]\) is given by \(E(X) = \frac{a + b}{2}\): \[ E(X) = \frac{0 + 25}{2} = 12.5. \] The standard deviation \(\sigma_X\) is \(\sigma_X = \sqrt{\frac{(b-a)^2}{12}}\): \[ \sigma_X = \sqrt{\frac{(25-0)^2}{12}} = \sqrt{\frac{625}{12}} \approx 7.21. \]

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Key Concepts

These are the key concepts you need to understand to accurately answer the question.

Probability Density Function (pdf)
In a uniform distribution, the probability density function (pdf) is what defines how the probability is spread across the interval. Unlike other distributions which may have more complex functions, the pdf in a uniform distribution is a simple horizontal line. It has the same height at every point in the interval because every outcome is equally likely.
For this exercise, the random variable \( X \) is uniformly distributed on the interval \([0, 25]\). The formula to find the pdf is given by \( f(x) = \frac{1}{b-a} \), where \(a\) and \(b\) are the bounds of the distribution.
Therefore, the pdf for this interval is \( f(x) = \frac{1}{25} \). This function tells us that any time between 0 and 25 milliseconds is equally probable, and the probability spread is even across all these points. You can think of the pdf as showing what share of an event's total probability happens at any given time within the range.
Cumulative Distribution Function (CDF)
The Cumulative Distribution Function (CDF) of a random variable provides the probability that the variable will take a value less or equal to a specific value. In other words, it maps every point to the cumulative probability up to that point. For a uniform distribution, the CDF is a linear function due to its constant pdf.
The CDF for a uniform distribution over the interval \([a, b]\) is given by \( F(x) = \frac{x-a}{b-a} \) for \(a \leq x \leq b\). This formula gives us the cumulative probability up to any point \(x\) within the interval.
Specifically, for our interval \([0, 25]\), it simplifies to \( F(x) = \frac{x}{25} \). This means, if you select any time point \( x \) in milliseconds within this range, \( F(x) \) will tell you the probability that the chosen time is less than or equal to \( x \). For \( x < 0 \), \( F(x) = 0 \), and for \( x > 25 \), \( F(x) = 1 \), indicating that all probability is accounted for beyond these bounds.
Expected Value (E(X))
The expected value, often denoted as \( E(X) \), of a random variable is the average or mean value that it takes on over a large number of trials. For a uniform distribution, this is the midpoint of the interval.
The formula to determine the expected value for a uniform distribution over the interval \([a, b]\) is \( E(X) = \frac{a+b}{2} \). This makes intuitive sense, as in a uniform distribution, all values are equally likely, and thus the mean falls right in the center.
Applying this formula to our interval \([0, 25]\), we find \( E(X) = \frac{0+25}{2} = 12.5 \). This tells you that, on average, the time it takes the read/write head to locate a record should be around 12.5 milliseconds.
Standard Deviation (σ_X)
Standard deviation is a measure of spread in a set of values. It tells us how much the values of a random variable deviate from the mean on average. In a uniform distribution, this quantifies how spread out the values are over the interval.
The formula for the standard deviation \( \sigma_X \) of a uniform distribution over the interval \([a, b]\) is \( \sigma_X = \sqrt{\frac{(b-a)^2}{12}} \). This formula calculates the average amount that values will differ from the expected value.
For the interval \([0, 25]\), the standard deviation is \( \sigma_X = \sqrt{\frac{(25-0)^2}{12}} = \sqrt{\frac{625}{12}} \approx 7.21 \). This tells you that times typically vary from the mean by about 7.21 milliseconds, giving you an idea of the variability in the times.

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