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Let \(U\) have the uniform distribution on the interval\([0,1]\). Show that the random variable \(W\)defined in Eq. (12.4.6) has the p.d.f. \(h\)defined in Eq. (12.4.5).

Short Answer

Expert verified

This is true because the p.d.f. of random variable with uniform distribution on \([0,1]\) is equal to\(l\).

Step by step solution

01

Definition for importance sampling

  • Many integrals can be advantageously recast as random variable functions.
  • We can estimate integrals that would otherwise be impossible to compute in closed form if we can simulate a large number of random variables with proper distributions.
02

Determine the inverse function and its derivative

Random variable \(W\)is defined as

\(W = {\mu _2} + {\sigma _2}{\Phi ^{ - 1}}\left[ {U\Phi \left( {\frac{{{c_2} - {\mu _2}}}{{{\sigma _2}}}} \right)} \right]\)And function \(h\) is defined as

\(h\left( {{x_2}} \right) = \frac{{{{\left( {2\pi \sigma _2^2} \right)}^{ - 1/2}}\exp \left[ {{{\left( {{x_2} - {\mu _2}} \right)}^2}/\left( {2\sigma _2^2} \right)} \right]}}{{\Phi \left[ {\left( {{c_2} - {\mu _2}} \right)/{\sigma _2}} \right]}},\;\;\; - \infty < {x_2} \le {c_2}\)

From

\(w = {\mu _2} + {\sigma _2}{\Phi ^{ - 1}}\left[ {u\Phi \left( {\frac{{{c_2} - {\mu _2}}}{{{\sigma _2}}}} \right)} \right]\)

It follows that

\(u = \frac{{\Phi \left[ {\left( {w - {\mu _2}} \right)/{\sigma _2}} \right]}}{{\Phi \left[ {\left( {{c_2} - {\mu _2}} \right)/{\sigma _2}} \right]}}\)Is the inverse transformation.

The derivative of \(\Phi \)is the p.d.f. of a standard normal distribution, hence, the derivative of the inverse function is

\(\frac{\partial }{{\partial w}}u = \frac{1}{{\Phi \left[ {\left( {{c_2} - {\mu _2}} \right)/{\sigma _2}} \right]}} \cdot {\left( {2\pi \sigma _2^2} \right)^{ - 1/2}}\exp \left[ {\frac{{{{\left( {{x_2} - {\mu _2}} \right)}^2}}}{{2\sigma _2^2}}} \right] = h\left( {{x_2}} \right)\)

Which is p.d.f. ofW.

This is true because the p.d.f. of random variable with uniform distribution on \([0,1]\) is equal to \(1.\)

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Most popular questions from this chapter

The method of antithetic variates is a technique for reducing the variance of simulation estimators. Antithetic variates are negatively correlated random variables with an expected mean and variance. The variance of the average of two antithetic variates is smaller than the variance of the average of two i.i.d. variables. In this exercise, we shall see how to use antithetic variates for importance sampling, but the method is very general. Suppose that we wish to compute \(\smallint \,g\left( x \right)\,\,dx\), and we wish to use the importance function f. Suppose that we generate pseudo-random variables with the p.d.f. f using the integral probability transformation. For \(\,{\bf{i = 1,2,}}...{\bf{,\nu ,}}\,\)let \({{\bf{X}}^{\left( {\bf{i}} \right)}}{\bf{ = }}{{\bf{F}}^{{\bf{ - 1}}}}\left( {{\bf{1 - }}{{\bf{U}}^{\left( {\bf{i}} \right)}}} \right)\), where \({{\bf{U}}^{\left( {\bf{i}} \right)}}\)has the uniform distribution on the interval (0, 1) and F is the c.d.f. Corresponding to the p.d.f. f . For each \(\,{\bf{i = 1,2,}}...{\bf{,\nu ,}}\,\) define

\(\begin{aligned}{l}{{\bf{T}}^{\left( {\bf{i}} \right)}}{\bf{ = }}{{\bf{F}}^{ - {\bf{1}}}}\left( {{\bf{1}} - {{\bf{U}}^{\left( {\bf{i}} \right)}}} \right)\,\,{\bf{.}}\\{{\bf{W}}^{\left( {\bf{i}} \right)}}{\bf{ = }}\frac{{{\bf{g}}\left( {{{\bf{X}}^{\left( {\bf{i}} \right)}}} \right)}}{{{\bf{f}}\left( {{{\bf{X}}^{\left( {\bf{i}} \right)}}} \right)}}\\{{\bf{V}}^{\left( {\bf{i}} \right)}}{\bf{ = }}\frac{{{\bf{g}}\left( {{{\bf{T}}^{\left( {\bf{i}} \right)}}} \right)}}{{{\bf{f}}\left( {{{\bf{T}}^{\left( {\bf{i}} \right)}}} \right)}}\\{{\bf{Y}}^{\left( {\bf{i}} \right)}}{\bf{ = 0}}{\bf{.5}}\left( {{{\bf{W}}^{\left( {\bf{i}} \right)}}{\bf{ + k}}{{\bf{V}}^{\left( {\bf{i}} \right)}}} \right){\bf{.}}\end{aligned}\)

Our estimator of\(\smallint \,{\bf{g}}\left( {\bf{x}} \right)\,\,{\bf{dx}}\)is then\({\bf{Z = }}\frac{{\bf{I}}}{{\bf{\nu }}}\sum\nolimits_{{\bf{i = 1}}}^{\bf{\nu }} {{{\bf{Y}}^{\left( {\bf{i}} \right)}}{\bf{.}}} \).

a. Prove that\({T^{\left( i \right)}}\)has the same distribution as\({X^{\left( i \right)}}\).

b. Prove that\({\bf{E}}\left( {\bf{Z}} \right){\bf{ = }}\smallint \,\,{\bf{g}}\left( {\bf{x}} \right)\,\,{\bf{dx}}\).

c. If\({\bf{g}}\left( {\bf{x}} \right)\,{\bf{/f}}\left( {\bf{x}} \right)\)it is a monotone function, explain why we expect it \({{\bf{V}}^{\left( {\bf{i}} \right)}}\)to be negatively correlated.

d. If \({{\bf{W}}^{\left( {\bf{i}} \right)}}\) and \({{\bf{V}}^{\left( {\bf{i}} \right)}}\)are negatively correlated, show that Var(Z) is less than the variance one would get with 2v simulations without antithetic variates.

Use the data consisting of 30 lactic acid concentrations in cheese,10 from example 8.5.4 and 20 from Exercise 16 in sec.8,6, Fit the same model used in Example 8.6.2 with the same prior distribution, but this time use the Gibbs sampling algorithm in Example 12.5.1. simulate 10,000 pairs of \(\left( {{\bf{\mu ,\tau }}} \right)\) parameters. Estimate the posterior mean of \({\left( {\sqrt {{\bf{\tau \mu }}} } \right)^{ - {\bf{1}}}}\), and compute the standard simulation error of the estimator.

Suppose that \({x_1},...,{x_n}\) from a random sample from an exponential distribution with parameter\(\theta \).Explain how to use the parametric bootstrap to estimate the variance of the sample average\(\overline X \).(No simulation is required.)

If \({\bf{X}}\) has the Cauchy distribution, the mean \({\bf{X}}\)does not exist. What would you expect to happen if you simulated a large number of Cauchy random variables and computed their average?

Use the data in table 11.19 on page 762.This time fits the model developed in Example 12.5.6.use the prior hyperparameters \(\,{{\bf{\lambda }}_{\scriptstyle{\bf{0}}\atop\scriptstyle\,}}{\bf{ = }}{{\bf{\alpha }}_{\scriptstyle{\bf{0}}\atop\scriptstyle\,}}\,{\bf{ = 1,}}\,\,{{\bf{\beta }}_{\scriptstyle{\bf{0}}\atop\scriptstyle\,}}{\bf{ = 0}}{\bf{.1}},{{\bf{\mu }}_{\scriptstyle{\bf{0}}\atop\scriptstyle\,}}{\bf{ = 0}}{\bf{.001}}\)and \({{\bf{\psi }}_{\scriptstyle{\bf{0}}\atop\scriptstyle\,}}{\bf{ = 800}}\)obtain a sample of 10,000 from the posterior joint distribution of the parameters. Estimate the posterior mean of the three parameters \({{\bf{\mu }}_{\scriptstyle{\bf{1}}\atop\scriptstyle\,}}{\bf{,}}{{\bf{\mu }}_{\scriptstyle{\bf{2}}\atop\scriptstyle\,}}{\bf{,}}{{\bf{\mu }}_{\scriptstyle{\bf{3}}\atop\scriptstyle\,}}\)

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