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Suppose that X1,…â¶Ä¦,³Ýn form a random sample from a normal distribution for which the mean is known and the variance is unknown. Construct an efficient estimator that is not identically equal to a constant, and determine the expectation and the variance of this estimator.

Short Answer

Expert verified

The expectations and variance of the estimator is E (x̄n) = µ, Var (x̄n) = σ2 /n

Step by step solution

01

Given the information

It is given that X1,….,Xn is ii d variable from a normal distribution with known mean µ and unknown variance. Therefore X1,….,Xn are ii d Normal (µ , σ)

02

Define the pdf

f(x| µ, σ ) = 1/√ 2πσ2) exp(- 1/2 ((x - µ)/σ)2)

03

Define an efficient estimator

The most efficient estimator among a group of unbiased estimators is the one with the minor variance.

An efficient estimator also fetches a slight variance or mean square error. Therefore, there is a slight deviation between the estimated and parameter values.

04

Define fisher information

So, to establish efficiency, they have to compare the estimator's variance with the .

Assume X~ f (x| θ) (pdf or pmf) with θ ∈ ʘ ⊂ R

Then the fisher information is defined by

Ix(θ) = Eθ°Ú(∂ / ∂θ logf(X|θ))2]

= Eθ°Ú(-∂2 / ∂θ logf(X|θ)]

And

Ix(θ) = nlx1 (θ)

05

Calculating fisher information for normal distribution

Let X =X1

From the definition

Ix(σ) = Eθ°Ú(∂2 / ∂ σ2 ±ô´Ç²µ´Ú(³Ý´¥Ïƒ)]

= -3(x-µ)2/ σ4 + 1/σ2

= 2/ σ2

Ix(σ2) = nIX1(σ2)

= 2n/ σ2

Therefore, the fisher information is 2n/ σ2

Therefore 1/l (σ) = σ2/ 2n

06

Applying CRLB bound

Now, by the Cramer Rao bound

V (σ)≥ Ix(σ2)-1= n/2σ2

Since the lowest bound of variance is attained by CRLB equality, the M.L.E. X̄n is the most efficient estimator of µ.

07

Calculating the expectation and variance

The expectations and variance of the estimator is E (x̄n) = µ, Var (x̄n) = σ2 /n

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