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91Ó°ÊÓ

Suppose that\({X_1}...{X_n}\)form a random sample from the normal distribution with mean 0 and unknown standard deviation\(\sigma > 0\). Find the lower bound specified by the information inequality for the variance of any unbiased estimator of\(\log \sigma \).

Short Answer

Expert verified

Lower bound specified by the information inequality for the variance of any biased estimator of \(\log \sigma \) is \(\frac{1}{{2n}}\)

Step by step solution

01

Given information

\({X_1}...{X_n}\) form a random sample form a normal distribution with unknown mean and known variance \(\sigma > 0\)

02

Fisher information 

Fisher information \(I\left( \theta \right)\) in the random variable X is defined as

\(I\left( \theta \right) = {E_\theta }\left\{ {{{\left( {{\lambda ^{'}}\left( {x|\theta } \right)} \right)}^{2}}} \right\}\)

Or

\(I\left( \theta \right) = - {E_\theta }\left\{ {\left( {{\lambda ^{''}}\left( {x|\theta } \right)} \right)} \right\}\)

03

calculating the lower bound specified by the information inequality for the variance of any unbiased estimator of \(\log \sigma \)

Let \(m\left( \sigma \right) = \log \sigma \)

Then

\({m^{'}}\left( \sigma \right) = \frac{1}{\sigma }\)and\({\left( {{m^{'}}\left( \sigma \right)} \right)^{2}} = \frac{1}{{{\sigma ^2}}}\)

First calculate the fisher information\(I\left( \sigma \right)\)in X as follows:

Normal distribution with parameter\(\mu = 0\)and\({\sigma ^{2}}\)is

\(\begin{align}f\left( {x|\mu ,{\sigma ^{2}}} \right) &= \frac{1}{{\sqrt {2\pi \sigma } }}\exp \left( { - \frac{{{x^2}}}{{2{\sigma ^2}}}} \right)\\\lambda \left( {x|\sigma } \right) = \log f\left( {x|\sigma } \right)\\ &= \log \left( {\frac{1}{{\sqrt {2\pi \sigma } }}\exp \left( { - \frac{{{x^2}}}{{2{\sigma ^2}}}} \right)} \right)\end{align}\)

\(\lambda \left( {x|\sigma } \right) = - \log \sigma - \frac{{{x^2}}}{{2{\sigma ^2}}} + const\)

Differentiate \(\lambda \left( {x|\sigma } \right)\) with respect to \(\sigma \)

\(\begin{align}{\lambda ^{'}}\left( {x|\sigma } \right) &= \frac{\partial }{{\partial \sigma }}\left( { - \log \sigma - \frac{{{x^2}}}{{2{\sigma ^2}}} + const} \right)\\ &= - \frac{1}{\sigma } + \frac{{{x^2}}}{{{\sigma ^3}}}\end{align}\)

Again differentiate \({\lambda ^{'}}\left( {x|\sigma } \right)\) with respect to \(\sigma \)

\(\begin{align}{\lambda ^{''}}\left( {x|\sigma } \right) &= \frac{\partial }{{\partial \sigma }}\left( { - \frac{1}{\sigma } + \frac{{{x^2}}}{{{\sigma ^3}}}} \right)\\ &= \frac{1}{{{\sigma ^2}}} + \frac{{3{x^2}}}{{{\sigma ^4}}}\end{align}\)

Hence from the equation of fisher information \(I\left( \sigma \right)\) in X is

\(\begin{align}I\left( \sigma \right) &= - {E_\sigma }\left( {{\lambda ^{''}}\left( {x|\sigma } \right)} \right)\\ &= - {E_\sigma }\left( {\frac{1}{{{\sigma ^2}}} + \frac{{3{x^2}}}{{{\sigma ^4}}}} \right)\\ &= \frac{1}{{{\sigma ^2}}} - \frac{{3E\left( {{x^2}} \right)}}{{{\sigma ^4}}}\end{align}\)

\(\begin{align}I\left( \sigma \right) &= \frac{1}{{{\sigma ^2}}} - \frac{{3\left( {{\sigma ^2}} - 0 \right)}}{{{\sigma ^4}}}\\ &= \frac{2}{{{\sigma ^2}}}\end{align}\)

Hence if T is an unbiased estimator of \(\log \sigma \), it follows from equation of cramer rao inequality that is

\(\begin{align}Var\left( T \right) \ge \frac{{{{\left( {{m^{'}}\left( \theta \right)} \right)}^{2}}}}{{nI\left( \theta \right)}}\\ &= \frac{1}{{{\sigma ^{2}}}} \times \frac{{{\sigma ^{2}}}}{{2n}}\\ &= \frac{1}{{2n}}\end{align}\)

Therefore, lower bound specified by the information inequality for the variance of any biased estimator of \(\log \sigma \) is \(\frac{1}{{2n}}\)

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Most popular questions from this chapter

Suppose that two random variables\({\bf{\mu }}\,\,{\bf{and}}\,\,{\bf{\tau }}\)have the joint normal-gamma distribution with hyperparameters\({{\bf{\mu }}_{\bf{0}}}{\bf{ = 4,}}{{\bf{\lambda }}_{\bf{0}}}{\bf{ = 0}}{\bf{.5,}}{{\bf{\alpha }}_{\bf{0}}}{\bf{ = 1,}}{{\bf{\beta }}_{\bf{0}}}{\bf{ = 8}}\)Find the values of (a)\({\bf{Pr}}\left( {{\bf{\mu > 0}}} \right)\)and (b)\({\bf{Pr}}\left( {{\bf{0}}{\bf{.736 < \mu < 15}}{\bf{.680}}} \right)\).

Suppose that a random sample of eight observations is taken from the normal distribution with unknown meanμand unknown variance\({{\bf{\sigma }}^{\bf{2}}}\), and that the observed values are 3.1, 3.5, 2.6, 3.4, 3.8, 3.0, 2.9, and 2.2. Find the shortest confidence interval forμwith each of the following three confidence coefficients:

  1. 0.90
  2. 0.95
  3. 0.99.

Suppose that a random variable X has the normal distribution with mean 0 and unknown variance σ2> 0. Find the Fisher information I(σ2) in X. Note that in this exercise, the variance σ2 is regarded as the parameter, whereas in Exercise 4, the standard deviation σ is regarded as the parameter.

Consider the analysis performed in Example 8.6.2. This time, use the usual improper before computing the parameters' posterior distribution.

Question: Consider the situation described in Exercise 7 of Sec. 8.5. Use a prior distribution from the normal-gamma family with values \({{\bf{\mu }}_{\bf{0}}}{\bf{ = 150,}}{{\bf{\lambda }}_{\bf{0}}}{\bf{ = 0}}{\bf{.5,}}{{\bf{\alpha }}_{\bf{0}}}{\bf{ = 1,}}{{\bf{\beta }}_{\bf{0}}}{\bf{ = 4}}\)

a. Find the posterior distribution of \({\bf{\mu }}\,\,{\bf{and}}\,\,{\bf{\tau = }}\frac{{\bf{1}}}{{{{\bf{\sigma }}^{\bf{2}}}}}\)

b. Find an interval (a, b) such that the posterior probability is 0.90 that a <\({\bf{\mu }}\)<b.

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