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If five balls are thrown at random into n boxes, and all throws are independent, what is the probability that no box contains more than two balls?

Short Answer

Expert verified

The probability that no box contains more than two balls is \(\frac{{{n^4} - 10{n^2} + 15n - 6}}{{{n^4}}}\)

Step by step solution

01

Given information

Here, five balls are thrown randomly into n boxes.

All thrown are independent.

02

Finding the probability that no box contains more than two balls

Let, \({A_i}\) be the event that box i have at least three balls. Then,

\(\begin{aligned}{}\Pr \left( {{A_i}} \right) = \sum\limits_{j = 3}^5 {\Pr \left( {Box\,\,i\,\,has\,\,exactly\,\,j\,\,balls} \right)} \\ = \frac{{\left( {\begin{aligned}{{}{}}5\\3\end{aligned}} \right){{\left( {n - 1} \right)}^2}}}{{{n^5}}} + \frac{{\left( {\begin{aligned}{{}{}}5\\4\end{aligned}} \right)\left( {n - 1} \right)}}{{{n^5}}} + \frac{1}{{{n^5}}}\\ = \frac{{10{{\left( {n - 1} \right)}^2}}}{{{n^5}}} + \frac{{5\left( {n - 1} \right)}}{{{n^5}}} + \frac{1}{{{n^5}}}\\ = \frac{{10{n^2} - 20n + 10 + 5n - 5 + 1}}{{{n^5}}}\\ = \frac{{10{n^2} - 15n + 6}}{{{n^5}}}\\ = p,\,\,say\end{aligned}\)

Since there are only five balls, two boxes can't have at least three balls simultaneously. Therefore, the events\({A_i}\)are disjoint, and the probability that at least one of the events,\({A_i}\)occurs is np.

Hence, the probability that no box contains more than two balls is:

\(\begin{aligned}{}1 - np = 1 - n \times \frac{{10{n^2} - 15n + 6}}{{{n^5}}}\\ = 1 - \frac{{10{n^2} - 15n + 6}}{{{n^4}}}\\ = \frac{{{n^4} - 10{n^2} + 15n - 6}}{{{n^4}}}\end{aligned}\).

That is \(\frac{{{n^4} - 10{n^2} + 15n - 6}}{{{n^4}}}\)

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Most popular questions from this chapter

Three players A, B, and C, take turns tossing a fair coin. Suppose that A tosses the coin first, B tosses second, and C tosses third; suppose that this cycle is repeated indefinitely until someone wins by being the first player to obtain ahead. Determine the probability that each of the three players will win.

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a. Suppose that the coin is flipped a third time and another head is obtained. Compute the probability that the coin is fair, given that all three flips produced

heads.

b. Suppose that the coin is flipped a fourth time, and the result is tails. Compute the posterior probability that the coin is fair.

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Suppose that a balanced die is rolled three times, and let\({X_i}\)denote the number that appears on the ith roll (i = 1, 2, 3). Evaluate\({\rm P}\left( {{X_1} > {X_2} > X3} \right)\).

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